Skip to content
Resolution reportSunday, August 16, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
76%
3,050 right939 wrong

All wallets: 86% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
26,864
No consensus
22,875

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 12,992 provider closure; 13,872 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will SS Lazio win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-08-15?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    FURIA
    Won
    FURIA
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$1,956.49
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$994.80
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$629.55

  • CA Platense vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Atlas FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 3.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    86%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$232.41
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$134.67
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$123.47

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$169.12
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up+$115.56
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$55.64

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    83%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$134.02
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$104
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$62

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$113.48
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$47.52
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$45.92

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$186.63
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down-$83.95
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$36.53

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Down-$29.56
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$22.29
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Up-$12.53

  • San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Cleveland Guardians
    Won
    San Diego Padres
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      San Diego Padres+$2,336.09
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Cleveland Guardians-$646.69
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Cleveland Guardians-$311.45

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    83%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$105.33
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$101.54
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down+$94.49

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$272.17
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$98.45
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Up-$92.77

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down-$69.94
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$64.78
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Up+$20.16

  • Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Fire Flux Esports
    Won
    Fire Flux Esports
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Fire Flux Esports+$2,646.36
    • S
      trgparkingLast traded
      Fire Flux Esports+$380.78
    • S
      antecLast traded
      Fire Flux Esports+$123.67

  • Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Vitality
    Won
    Vitality
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No+$2,375.21
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$1,691.04
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$1,410.82

  • Will SK Brann win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Yes+$699.81
    • S
      CannaeLast traded
      Yes+$636.65
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Yes+$605.21

  • Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    MOUZ
    Won
    MOUZ
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Toronto FC vs. New England Revolution: Both Teams to Score

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No-$703.15
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$603.02
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$581.43

  • Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    77%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Yes+$1,876.84
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$1,052.42
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes+$1,037.01

  • Fluminense FC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: RoundsGG vs Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #1 Group A

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Vexar
    Won
    Vexar
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$414.67
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$365.35
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$46.57

  • Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      En111006Last traded
      Down+$110.79
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up-$58.58
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$45.93

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Watford FC win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Yes+$2,156.02
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$1,722.96
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Yes+$539.06

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    74%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$171.99
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$73.59
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Up+$69.36

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$106.32
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$99.93
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$89.34

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$162
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$115.48
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Up+$31.28

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

22,723 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 34,871 more positions across 3,260 markets on this day.

Upgrade to Pro · $99/moabout $3.30/day
Developer docs