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Resolution reportSunday, August 16, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
76%
3,050 right939 wrong

All wallets: 86% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
26,864
No consensus
22,875

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 12,992 provider closure; 13,872 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Zealous-ViolenceLast traded
      No+$720.98
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$586.04
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$294.89

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$162.01
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$126.90
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$118.12

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$222.45
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$206.11
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$138.95

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$391.94
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$190.41
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$98.87

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    63%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NIULAI4Last traded
      Down-$145.01
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$115.31
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Up+$105.27

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up-$205.93
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$192.10
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$105.99

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$209.21
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$148.32
    • S
      NIULAI4Last traded
      Up-$136.80

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$268.02
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$181.56
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$106.76

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    59%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$495.05
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$119.01
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$105.49

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    66%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Up-$97.88
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up-$78.40
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$77.54

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    45%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NIULAI4Last traded
      Down-$267.75
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Up+$199.05
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$155.97

  • Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    70%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ic4creamLast traded
      Over+$6,252.35
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Under-$2,882.77
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Over+$2,637.90

  • Spread: Washington Mystics (-6.5)

    Wrong

    WNBA

    Called
    Los Angeles Sparks
    Won
    Washington Mystics
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ic4creamLast traded
      Los Angeles Sparks-$15,573.34
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Washington Mystics+$9,679.80
    • S
      justaluckydudeLast traded
      Washington Mystics+$3,307.23

  • Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    TheMongolz
    Won
    TheMongolz
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will AZ win on 2026-08-15?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No-$3,451.74
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$1,616.45
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$1,590.24

  • Cowboys vs. Seahawks

    Right

    NFL

    Called
    Cowboys
    Won
    Cowboys
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld win on 2026-08-16?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    34%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes-$3,603.67
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Yes-$635.71
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$560.74

  • Will FBC Melgar win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Team Secret Whales vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 3 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    CTBC Flying Oyster
    Won
    Team Secret Whales
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$4,695.40
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over-$2,431.38
    • S
      torta.techLast traded
      Under+$723.31

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$93.23
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$87.88
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Down-$74.67

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      StayFocusLuiaLast traded
      Down-$331.26
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$147.25
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down-$112.66

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Eyüpspor win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      CannaeLast traded
      Yes-$659.83
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$445.23
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$436.34

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$144.13
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$52.26
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down-$47.83

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$121.82
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$93.58
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down-$80.68

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NIULAI4Last traded
      Down+$530.15
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$242.72
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$201.61

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down-$141
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$124.41
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$109.11

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$177.69
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$133.77
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up-$72.57

  • Cincinnati Open: Linda Noskova vs Katie Boulter

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Katie Boulter
    Won
    Linda Noskova
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up+$104.72
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Up+$37.04
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$25.35

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$177.21
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$159.26
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Down+$89.97

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up-$61.69
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$58.68
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$28.61

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Up-$212.67
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$169.88
    • S
      En111006Last traded
      Down+$145.02

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Rams vs. Chiefs

    Wrong

    NFL

    Called
    Chiefs
    Won
    Rams
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes+$7,222.74
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      No-$1,992.25
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$1,615.77

  • Will Real Madrid win on 2026-08-16?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner

    No consensus

    Esports

    Won
    magic
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

22,723 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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