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Resolution reportSunday, August 16, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
76%
3,050 right939 wrong

All wallets: 86% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
26,864
No consensus
22,875

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 12,992 provider closure; 13,872 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$133.46
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$118.33
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$88.89

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    45%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$110.50
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Up+$93.35
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up+$92.80

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$240.35
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$201.87
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$190.20

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Down+$115.02
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Down+$61.44
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down+$54.79

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down+$80.31
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Up-$69.10
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$35.62

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$120
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$94.58
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down-$83.14

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valorant: Nova Esports vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffs

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    TEC Esports
    Won
    Nova Esports
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      dsasdaasLast traded
      TEC Esports-$14,506.26
    • S
      WiretransferxyzLast traded
      Nova Esports+$9,207.50
    • S
      SineNooneEILast traded
      TEC Esports-$3,917.80

  • Texas Rangers vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$2,542.30
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Yes-$1,784.22
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$1,119.63

  • Panthers vs. Bills

    Right

    NFL

    Called
    Bills
    Won
    Bills
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics

    Wrong

    WNBA

    Called
    Los Angeles Sparks
    Won
    Washington Mystics
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$490.72
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$465.29
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$67.11

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NIULAI4Last traded
      Down+$510.87
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$316.30
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$251.92

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    93%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ulsan HD FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Brownsburg: Daniel Milavsky vs Lloyd Harris

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Lloyd Harris
    Won
    Lloyd Harris
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Lloyd Harris+$2,428.05
    • S
      GamblingOdysseyLast traded
      Daniel Milavsky-$2,405.06
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Daniel Milavsky-$1,491.44

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    81%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$95.11
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$72.62
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$67.99

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NIULAI4Last traded
      Up-$219.28
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down-$208.37
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$38.83

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    85%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$40.20
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$17.07
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Down+$14.84

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$114.41
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$105.01
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$50.92

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$134.16
    • S
      NIULAI4Last traded
      Up+$80.03
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$70.85

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$172.98
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$164.53
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Down-$134.12

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mirra Andreeva

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Mirra Andreeva
    Won
    Mirra Andreeva
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Oleksandra Oliynykova-$261.14
    • S
      ghostorderLast traded
      Mirra Andreeva+$207.01
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Mirra Andreeva+$192.50

  • CA Sarmiento vs. CA Huracán: O/U 1.5

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: CA Mineiro (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Grêmio FBPA
    Won
    CA Mineiro
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Grêmio FBPA-$9,086.40
    • S
      ic4creamLast traded
      Grêmio FBPA-$5,501.28
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Grêmio FBPA-$4,199.89

  • Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Tottenham Hotspur win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$664.93
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$657.06
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Down-$211.96

  • Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    9z
    Won
    magic
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    MIBR
    Won
    MIBR
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Yes+$1,907.12
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$1,035.05
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$708.64

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

22,723 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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