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Resolution reportSunday, August 16, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
76%
3,050 right939 wrong

All wallets: 86% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
26,864
No consensus
22,875

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 12,992 provider closure; 13,872 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    94%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$1,344.41
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$1,274.74
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$1,090.06

  • New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$175.44
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$80
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$75.36

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    1%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NIULAI4Last traded
      Down+$282.72
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$195.55
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Down+$156.82

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$71.46
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$70.07
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down-$63.24

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    89%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    1%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Open: Diana Shnaider vs Tatjana Maria

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Diana Shnaider
    Won
    Diana Shnaider
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Tatjana Maria-$3,050.02
    • S
      flatbarrelLast traded
      Tatjana Maria-$1,752.24
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Diana Shnaider+$722.01

  • Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Philadelphia Phillies
    Won
    Philadelphia Phillies
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Legacy
    Won
    Legacy
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: paiN Gaming vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    paiN Gaming
    Won
    paiN Gaming
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Open: Daria Snigur vs Madison Keys

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Madison Keys
    Won
    Madison Keys
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    1%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    34%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$121.31
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$88.12
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$77.48

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$144.74
    • S
      NIULAI4Last traded
      Down-$51.99
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Down+$32.31

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Down+$48.86
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down+$47.70
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$39.95

  • Will Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    59%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      CannaeLast traded
      No+$2,221.20
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No+$1,639.93
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$1,048.65

  • St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Go Ahead Eagles
    Won
    Go Ahead Eagles
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Go Ahead Eagles+$11,664.69
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Feyenoord Rotterdam-$3,678.21
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Go Ahead Eagles+$1,502.44

  • Browns vs. Bears

    Wrong

    NFL

    Called
    Browns
    Won
    Bears
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Team Secret Whales vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    CTBC Flying Oyster
    Won
    CTBC Flying Oyster
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      THEHIGHLIFELast traded
      CTBC Flying Oyster+$3,111.88
    • S
      pauleta23Last traded
      CTBC Flying Oyster+$1,622.14
    • S
      PEYZ-BIGGEST-FANLast traded
      Team Secret Whales-$1,170.97

  • Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    New York Mets
    Won
    New York Mets
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      New York Mets+$2,210.36
    • S
      justaluckydudeLast traded
      Washington Nationals-$975.35
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Washington Nationals-$913.02

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will FC Twente win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NIULAI4Last traded
      Down+$462.38
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$138.67
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$137.76

  • Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Arizona Diamondbacks
    Won
    Arizona Diamondbacks
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes+$4,385.42
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$3,665.27
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$2,880.47

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$176.37
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$121.81
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down-$111.66

  • Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs INOX Division (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    BASEMENT BOYS
    Won
    BASEMENT BOYS
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    9z
    Won
    9z
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will ADO Den Haag win on 2026-08-16?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$12,704.48
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No+$3,044.44
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$892.61

  • Brownsburg: Andre Ilagan vs Jack Pinnington Jones

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Andre Ilagan
    Won
    Andre Ilagan
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    1%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Boston Red Sox
    Won
    Boston Red Sox
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Boston Red Sox+$1,838.42
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Boston Red Sox+$1,129.53
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Boston Red Sox+$1,016.50

  • Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Fnatic
    Won
    Fnatic
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Open: Elise Mertens vs Diane Parry

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Diane Parry
    Won
    Diane Parry
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      tradecraftLast traded
      Elise Mertens-$6,806.28
    • S
      GamblingOdysseyLast traded
      Diane Parry+$6,737.46
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Elise Mertens-$2,123.96

  • Will Southampton FC win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?

    Wrong

    Geopolitics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      whigLast traded
      Yes-$1,363.01
    • S
      tetraseLast traded
      Yes-$106.50
    • S
      StarMasterLast traded
      No+$41.35

  • LoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 1 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    T1 Academy
    Won
    DN SOOPers Challengers
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

22,723 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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