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Resolution reportSunday, August 16, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
76%
3,050 right939 wrong

All wallets: 86% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
26,864
No consensus
22,875

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 12,992 provider closure; 13,872 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Cleveland Guardians
    Won
    Cleveland Guardians
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Cleveland Guardians+$14,706.58
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      San Diego Padres-$2,271.42
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      San Diego Padres-$1,062.54

  • Cincinnati Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Maria Sakkari

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Maria Sakkari
    Won
    Maria Sakkari
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$121.02
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$108
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Down-$78.51

  • Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Sion: Dimitris Sakellaridis vs Gian Luca Tanner

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Gian Luca Tanner
    Won
    Dimitris Sakellaridis
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    59%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Gian Luca Tanner-$15,596.21
    • S
      Vigilant-EnvironmentLast traded
      Gian Luca Tanner-$3,140.59
    • S
      tradecraftLast traded
      Gian Luca Tanner-$794.44

  • Académico de Viseu FC vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    93%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$3,760.30
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Under+$819.78
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$485.02

  • Roehampton: Benjamin Gusic Wan vs Leonardo Rossi

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Benjamin Gusic Wan
    Won
    Leonardo Rossi
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Substantial-ServiceLast traded
      Leonardo Rossi+$19,501.21
    • S
      pauleta23Last traded
      Benjamin Gusic Wan-$1,594.40
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Benjamin Gusic Wan-$1,337.88

  • Will Académico de Viseu FC win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    83%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No+$971.76
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$840.22
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$795.88

  • Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Sebastian Baez

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Learner Tien
    Won
    Learner Tien
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    34%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$429.25
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$192.02
    • S
      NIULAI4Last traded
      Down+$106.92

  • Will Nashville SC win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$479.38
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$257.15
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$177.89

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down-$293.86
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Up+$149.61
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$140.14

  • Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Team Falcons
    Won
    Team Falcons
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down+$231.68
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$104.92
    • S
      wqewqaLast traded
      Up-$33.60

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$91.40
    • S
      G-Penis-MonsterLast traded
      Up-$53.03
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Down+$51.29

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$201.78
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$201.21
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$104.08

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$307.87
    • S
      gabigolLast traded
      Down+$277.96
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$166.50

  • Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$7,625.33
    • S
      sunnyboyLast traded
      Under+$943.71
    • S
      LonnieHawkinsLast traded
      Over+$887.74

  • Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$12,242.83
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      No+$4,560.94
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$2,402.54

  • Will Levante UD win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$3,870.91
    • S
      LilybaeumLast traded
      No+$536.11
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$535.86

  • Jaguars vs. Saints

    Right

    NFL

    Called
    Jaguars
    Won
    Jaguars
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Yes+$2,952.40
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$2,780.68
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$2,376.46

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$290.42
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$244.36
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$137.59

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      StayFocusLuiaLast traded
      Down-$155.26
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$144.46
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Down-$79.33

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Talia Gibson

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Won
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Iran leadership change by August 15?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    97%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: paiN Gaming vs Fluxo W7M - Game 1 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Fluxo W7M
    Won
    paiN Gaming
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mpyhLast traded
      Fluxo W7M-$1,342.88
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      paiN Gaming+$777.78
    • S
      pauleta23Last traded
      paiN Gaming+$737.06

  • Cincinnati Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin Vacherot

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Adolfo Vallejo
    Won
    Adolfo Vallejo
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    45%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Adolfo Vallejo+$4,173.84
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Adolfo Vallejo+$3,922.08
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Adolfo Vallejo+$3,570.88

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Emiliana Arango

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Iga Swiatek
    Won
    Iga Swiatek
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$257.05
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$223.30
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Up-$176.72

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$85.13
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$81.46
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Up+$38.49

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$260.56
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$158.04
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$109.24

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    1%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NIULAI4Last traded
      Up-$896.99
    • S
      En111006Last traded
      Down+$394.72
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$218.99

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    63%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$245.47
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$71.81
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$61.58

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will San Diego FC win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Molde FK win on 2026-08-16?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      6kke1tLast traded
      No+$981.83
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Yes+$867.02
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes+$799.95

22,723 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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