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Resolution reportSunday, August 16, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
76%
3,050 right939 wrong

All wallets: 86% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
26,864
No consensus
22,875

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 12,992 provider closure; 13,872 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Astralis
    Won
    Astralis
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    St. Louis Cardinals
    Won
    St. Louis Cardinals
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Talvez10Last traded
      Chicago Cubs-$5,688.14
    • S
      AnonymousUsernameLast traded
      St. Louis Cardinals+$4,862.21
    • S
      curieLast traded
      St. Louis Cardinals+$3,948.80

  • Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Los Angeles Angels
    Won
    Kansas City Royals
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valorant: Trace Esports vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffs

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Trace Esports
    Won
    All Gamers
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: G2 Esports vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    G2 Esports
    Won
    G2 Esports
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • UFC 330: Eric McConico vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Early Prelims)

    Wrong

    MMA

    Called
    Eric McConico
    Won
    Donte Johnson
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    1%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GamblingOdysseyLast traded
      Donte Johnson+$2,400.48
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Eric McConico-$2,253.16
    • S
      elmcap2Last traded
      Donte Johnson+$1,275

  • Cincinnati Open: Anna Blinkova vs Ekaterina Alexandrova

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Anna Blinkova
    Won
    Ekaterina Alexandrova
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Ekaterina Alexandrova+$18,383.46
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Anna Blinkova-$11,184.24
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Anna Blinkova-$10,786.15

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$165.58
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$114
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$67.94

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down-$248.55
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$73.72
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$71.82

  • Will Konyaspor win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    91%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$8,837.51
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$6,299.83
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$1,433.37

  • Orlando City SC vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 3.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    77%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over-$2,755.73
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$2,710.64
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Over-$2,129.97

  • New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun

    Wrong

    WNBA

    Called
    Connecticut Sun
    Won
    New York Liberty
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • UFC 330: Edson Barboza vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)

    Right

    MMA

    Called
    Esteban Ribovics
    Won
    Esteban Ribovics
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Esteban Ribovics+$2,893.32
    • S
      elmcap2Last traded
      Esteban Ribovics+$1,190.54
    • S
      gaclfzLast traded
      Esteban Ribovics+$628.71

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$350.39
    • S
      NIULAI4Last traded
      Down-$230.11
    • S
      En111006Last traded
      Up+$129.90

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Open: Emma Navarro vs Anhelina Kalinina

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Anhelina Kalinina
    Won
    Emma Navarro
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    63%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Cincinnati Reds
    Won
    Miami Marlins
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Francisco Cerundolo

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Nuno Borges
    Won
    Nuno Borges
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Francisco Cerundolo-$3,179.42
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Francisco Cerundolo-$1,518.36
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Francisco Cerundolo-$742.71

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    34%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    59%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$232.01
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$191.97
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$114.29

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Baltimore Orioles
    Won
    Baltimore Orioles
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Open: Luciano Darderi vs Rinky Hijikata

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Rinky Hijikata
    Won
    Rinky Hijikata
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    68%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Rinky Hijikata+$19,764.66
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Rinky Hijikata+$11,227.91
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Rinky Hijikata+$7,314.01

  • Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$7,350.99
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Yes-$2,670.30
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$2,368.70

  • Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$5,744.97
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$1,180.87
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$1,166.99

  • LoL: Team Secret Whales vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 4 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    CTBC Flying Oyster
    Won
    CTBC Flying Oyster
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Ann Li

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Ann Li
    Won
    Ann Li
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Ann Li+$3,404.77
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Shuai Zhang-$2,958.83
    • S
      HVABLast traded
      Ann Li+$2,204.72

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$174.12
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$165.30
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$136.02

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$232.43
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$184.27
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$121.62

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    45%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$329.42
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down-$277.02
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$232.18

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$313.43
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$163.07
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down-$129.82

  • Valorant: Team Envy vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Team Envy
    Won
    Team Envy
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces

    Wrong

    WNBA

    Called
    Las Vegas Aces
    Won
    Minnesota Lynx
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-08-15?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$736.78
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$663.88
    • S
      NIULAI4Last traded
      Up-$419.17

  • Middlesbrough FC vs. Lincoln City FC: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$257.03
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$176
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$91.34

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Yes-$4,285.19
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No+$3,154.85
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$2,391.01

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$378.95
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$305.69
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Down+$150.03

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Sara Bejlek

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Sara Bejlek
    Won
    Sara Bejlek
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

22,723 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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