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Resolution reportSunday, August 16, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
76%
3,050 right939 wrong

All wallets: 86% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
26,864
No consensus
22,875

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 12,992 provider closure; 13,872 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • LoL: Top Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Top Esports
    Won
    Top Esports
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    59%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moeller

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Jan Kumstat
    Won
    Jan Kumstat
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Marvin Moeller-$4,153.73
    • S
      tradecraftLast traded
      Marvin Moeller-$3,906.91
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Jan Kumstat+$3,770.32

  • Cincinnati Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Sofia Kenin

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Marta Kostyuk
    Won
    Marta Kostyuk
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Sharkbets.proLast traded
      Over+$9,350.03
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$2,313.74
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over+$1,648.26

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will FC Arouca win on 2026-08-16?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Detroit Tigers
    Won
    Chicago White Sox
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Elimination Round

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    BoomBoys
    Won
    BoomBoys
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alejandro Tabilo

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Alejandro Tabilo
    Won
    Alejandro Tabilo
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Jan-Lennard Struff-$3,724.01
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Jan-Lennard Struff-$2,653.89
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Jan-Lennard Struff-$989.33

  • Cincinnati Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Katerina Siniakova
    Won
    Katerina Siniakova
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Dota 2: Iron Wing vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Iron Wing
    Won
    Iron Wing
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    66%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Elimination Round

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Team Falcons
    Won
    Team Falcons
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$217.87
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$184.71
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$180.16

  • Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Won
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-08-15?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No-$3,031.49
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$2,017.64
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Yes+$1,602.79

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    86%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$349.23
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$233.09
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Down+$197.03

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Shopify Rebellion
    Won
    Shopify Rebellion
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$364.46
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Up+$255.47
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$75.95

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$346.13
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$145.08
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$109.47

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    66%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$343.48
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$150.16
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up-$76.20

  • Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    NIP
    Won
    NIP
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes+$13,777.51
    • S
      AnonymousUsernameLast traded
      No-$11,248.30
    • S
      CannaeLast traded
      No-$6,583.39

  • Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    San Francisco Giants
    Won
    San Francisco Giants
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Inferior-TrafficLast traded
      San Francisco Giants+$12,396.92
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      San Francisco Giants+$4,943.74
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Colorado Rockies-$4,531.73

  • Cincinnati Open: Terence Atmane vs Tomas Etcheverry

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Tomas Etcheverry
    Won
    Terence Atmane
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Colorado Rockies
    Won
    Colorado Rockies
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Colorado Rockies+$5,714.28
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Colorado Rockies+$3,701.48
    • S
      curieLast traded
      San Francisco Giants-$2,788.50

  • Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-08-15?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Miami Marlins
    Won
    Miami Marlins
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Miami Marlins+$4,456.79
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Cincinnati Reds-$3,443.28
    • S
      torta.techLast traded
      Miami Marlins+$3,386.52

  • Cincinnati Open: Ugo Humbert vs Michael Zheng

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Michael Zheng
    Won
    Michael Zheng
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Aleksandar Kovacevic

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Brandon Nakashima
    Won
    Brandon Nakashima
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Houston Astros
    Won
    Seattle Mariners
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      torta.techLast traded
      Houston Astros-$4,484.39
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Houston Astros-$3,349.91
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Seattle Mariners+$3,149.23

  • Will Atlas FC win on 2026-08-15?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    MOUZ
    Won
    MOUZ
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    DN SOOPers Challengers
    Won
    T1 Academy
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      pauleta23Last traded
      DN SOOPers Challengers-$1,362.12
    • S
      mpyhLast traded
      T1 Academy+$580.21
    • S
      Vigilant-EnvironmentLast traded
      DN SOOPers Challengers-$213.96

  • Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsen

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Alex Michelsen
    Won
    Taylor Fritz
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Substantial-ServiceLast traded
      Alex Michelsen-$2,598.35
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Taylor Fritz+$1,625.85
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Taylor Fritz-$1,320.46

  • LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Dignitas - Game 1 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Shopify Rebellion
    Won
    Dignitas
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Dearest-UrgeLast traded
      Dignitas+$7,753.28
    • S
      rf13g145g41g4g4Last traded
      Dignitas+$2,434.96
    • S
      minjiLast traded
      Shopify Rebellion-$2,385.71

  • Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Open: Joao Fonseca vs Botic van de Zandschulp

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Joao Fonseca
    Won
    Joao Fonseca
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Botic van de Zandschulp-$6,313.30
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Joao Fonseca+$3,274.36
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Botic van de Zandschulp-$2,090.27

  • Will Getafe CF win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes-$2,606.92
    • S
      ic4creamLast traded
      No+$2,391.35
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$1,628.81

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    TheMongolz
    Won
    TheMongolz
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

22,723 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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