Resolution reportSunday, August 16, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets backed the winner
76%
3,050 right939 wrong
All wallets: 86% on the same markets.
No settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 26,864
- No consensus
- 22,875
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 12,992 provider closure; 13,872 first observed.
Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.
Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 70
- Confidence
- 12%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedNo-$7,214.41
- SRN1Last tradedNo-$5,027.65
- S6kke1tLast tradedNo-$4,299.79
- Called
- CTBC Flying Oyster
- Won
- CTBC Flying Oyster
- Profitable wallets
- 69
- Confidence
- 18%
Profitable wallets' positions- SmpyhLast tradedCTBC Flying Oyster+$13,041.70
- SSunshine.SmileLast tradedCTBC Flying Oyster+$9,432.91
- Srf13g145g41g4g4Last tradedTeam Secret Whales-$4,025.52
- Called
- Donna Vekic
- Won
- Xinyu Wang
- Profitable wallets
- 68
- Confidence
- 36%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedXinyu Wang+$17,878.77
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedXinyu Wang+$16,611.31
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedDonna Vekic-$10,823.65
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 67
- Confidence
- 41%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedYes-$15,716
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$10,658.28
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedNo+$5,617
- Called
- Jalin Turner
- Won
- Jalin Turner
- Profitable wallets
- 67
- Confidence
- 52%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedJalin Turner+$24,783.59
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedJalin Turner+$3,916.23
- SPowerSupplyUnitLast tradedJalin Turner+$1,682.48
- Called
- Team Falcons
- Won
- Team Falcons
- Profitable wallets
- 66
- Confidence
- 64%
- Called
- Fnatic
- Won
- Fnatic
- Profitable wallets
- 65
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDearest-UrgeLast tradedFnatic+$27,634.80
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedFnatic+$13,071.36
- SsentrioLast tradedFnatic+$4,025.51
- Called
- Movistar KOI
- Won
- Movistar KOI
- Profitable wallets
- 65
- Confidence
- 42%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDearest-UrgeLast tradedNatus Vincere-$20,693.05
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedMovistar KOI+$8,810.40
- SSunshine.SmileLast tradedNatus Vincere-$4,014.39
- Called
- MOUZ
- Won
- MOUZ
- Profitable wallets
- 64
- Confidence
- 62%
Profitable wallets' positions- SdsasdaasLast tradedMOUZ+$65,489.97
- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedMOUZ+$26,555.67
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedMOUZ+$5,437.14
- Called
- Taylor Townsend
- Won
- Elena Rybakina
- Profitable wallets
- 63
- Confidence
- 3%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedElena Rybakina+$5,483.74
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedTaylor Townsend-$3,862.64
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedTaylor Townsend-$2,734.23
- Called
- Los Angeles Dodgers
- Won
- Milwaukee Brewers
- Profitable wallets
- 62
- Confidence
- 4%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedLos Angeles Dodgers-$125,474.83
- Sgmpm2Last tradedLos Angeles Dodgers-$26,465.79
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedLos Angeles Dodgers-$20,105.17
- Called
- Janice Tjen
- Won
- Janice Tjen
- Profitable wallets
- 62
- Confidence
- 3%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedViktorija Golubic-$14,741.33
- SghostorderLast tradedViktorija Golubic-$4,424.07
- SsentrioLast tradedViktorija Golubic-$3,471.33
- Called
- Alexander Zverev
- Won
- Alexander Zverev
- Profitable wallets
- 62
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedAlexander Zverev+$23,853.92
- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedAlexander Zverev+$14,703.55
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedCameron Norrie-$13,872.52
- Called
- Shopify Rebellion
- Won
- Shopify Rebellion
- Profitable wallets
- 62
- Confidence
- 13%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSineNooneEILast tradedShopify Rebellion+$3,586.64
- Srf13g145g41g4g4Last tradedShopify Rebellion+$2,092.56
- SxytestLast tradedDignitas-$1,501.60
- Called
- Dustin Stoltzfus
- Won
- Dustin Stoltzfus
- Profitable wallets
- 61
- Confidence
- 26%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedMansur Abdul-Malik-$190,133.40
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedMansur Abdul-Malik-$84,023.57
- Sfrohp5Last tradedDustin Stoltzfus+$1,599.29
- Called
- Texas Rangers
- Won
- Athletics
- Profitable wallets
- 61
- Confidence
- 28%
Profitable wallets' positions- STalvez10Last tradedAthletics+$20,146.76
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedTexas Rangers-$13,410.73
- SAnonymousUsernameLast tradedTexas Rangers-$12,375.19
- Called
- Movistar KOI
- Won
- Movistar KOI
- Profitable wallets
- 61
- Confidence
- 21%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSineNooneEILast tradedMovistar KOI+$8,553.60
- S-PainLast tradedMovistar KOI+$3,655.80
- SGooooooollllllllllLast tradedMovistar KOI+$2,631.35
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 61
- Confidence
- 69%
- Called
- TheMongolz
- Won
- TheMongolz
- Profitable wallets
- 58
- Confidence
- 48%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedTheMongolz+$17,014.54
- SWiretransferxyzLast tradedpaiN-$13,634.24
- SdsasdaasLast tradedTheMongolz+$3,530.91
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 58
- Confidence
- 23%
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 57
- Confidence
- 45%
- Called
- New York Yankees
- Won
- New York Yankees
- Profitable wallets
- 57
- Confidence
- 4%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedNew York Yankees+$19,642.87
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedNew York Yankees+$7,777.87
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedNew York Yankees+$5,215.96
- Called
- Legacy
- Won
- Legacy
- Profitable wallets
- 57
- Confidence
- 13%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedMIBR-$15,247.09
- Sblack-rabbitLast tradedMIBR-$1,722.66
- SminjiLast tradedMIBR-$873.33
- Called
- Matteo Arnaldi
- Won
- Martin Landaluce
- Profitable wallets
- 57
- Confidence
- 4%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedMartin Landaluce+$15,005.25
- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedMatteo Arnaldi-$9,164.56
- StradecraftLast tradedMatteo Arnaldi-$5,492.40
- Called
- Arthur Fery
- Won
- Arthur Fery
- Profitable wallets
- 57
- Confidence
- 44%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedArthur Fery+$5,769.08
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedArthur Fery+$1,647.30
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedJames Duckworth-$1,388.28
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 57
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$382.30
- SBoneOhioLast tradedUp+$187.53
- SG-Penis-MonsterLast tradedUp+$144.24
- Called
- Iron Wing
- Won
- Iron Wing
- Profitable wallets
- 55
- Confidence
- 49%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedGamerLegion-$21,955.26
- SSisyphus-Last tradedIron Wing+$2,476.79
- SRandomGameBetLast tradedIron Wing+$249.63
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 55
- Confidence
- 34%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$244.76
- SNIULAI4Last tradedUp-$213.10
- SquantbarbieLast tradedDown+$129.10
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 54
- Confidence
- 31%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo-$12,977.31
- SRN1Last tradedNo-$11,129.91
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedYes+$8,716.98
- Called
- Texas Rangers
- Won
- Texas Rangers
- Profitable wallets
- 54
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- SInferior-TrafficLast tradedTexas Rangers+$12,933.33
- SAnonymousUsernameLast tradedAthletics-$4,751.99
- Sic4creamLast tradedTexas Rangers+$3,301.01
- Called
- Alexander Blockx
- Won
- Alexander Blockx
- Profitable wallets
- 54
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- SjtwyslljyLast tradedMariano Navone-$6,335.94
- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedAlexander Blockx+$2,769.27
- SRN1Last tradedMariano Navone-$1,788.02
- Called
- Myktybek Orolbai
- Won
- Jeremiah Wells
- Profitable wallets
- 54
- Confidence
- 13%
Profitable wallets' positions- SGamblingOdysseyLast tradedMyktybek Orolbai-$13,500
- SPowerSupplyUnitLast tradedJeremiah Wells+$6,346.26
- Selmcap2Last tradedMyktybek Orolbai-$4,539.02
- Called
- Stefanos Tsitsipas
- Won
- Felix Auger-Aliassime
- Profitable wallets
- 53
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedStefanos Tsitsipas-$16,381.81
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedStefanos Tsitsipas-$8,375.89
- STRCMLast tradedStefanos Tsitsipas-$5,186.16
- Called
- Tommy Paul
- Won
- Tommy Paul
- Profitable wallets
- 53
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedTommy Paul+$25,706.36
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedTommy Paul+$15,450.34
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedHubert Hurkacz-$10,125.90
- Called
- Milwaukee Brewers
- Won
- Milwaukee Brewers
- Profitable wallets
- 52
- Confidence
- 22%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAnonymousUsernameLast tradedMilwaukee Brewers+$4,986.80
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedLos Angeles Dodgers-$4,729.97
- S-JB-Last tradedMilwaukee Brewers+$2,303
- Called
- Matteo Berrettini
- Won
- Jiri Lehecka
- Profitable wallets
- 52
- Confidence
- 6%
Profitable wallets' positions- SGamblingOdysseyLast tradedMatteo Berrettini-$5,459.99
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedJiri Lehecka+$3,167.43
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedMatteo Berrettini-$2,705.40
- Called
- Hayato Matsuoka
- Won
- Hayato Matsuoka
- Profitable wallets
- 52
- Confidence
- 30%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedAziz Dougaz-$3,752.65
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedHayato Matsuoka+$1,899.21
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedHayato Matsuoka-$1,472.53
- Called
- Chidi Njokuani
- Won
- Chidi Njokuani
- Profitable wallets
- 51
- Confidence
- 35%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedJoel Álvarez-$20,617.11
- Spauleta23Last tradedChidi Njokuani+$1,031.36
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedJoel Álvarez-$796.57
- Called
- Baltimore Orioles
- Won
- Baltimore Orioles
- Profitable wallets
- 51
- Confidence
- 26%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedTampa Bay Rays-$11,255.77
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedBaltimore Orioles+$9,737.49
- SRN1Last tradedBaltimore Orioles+$5,939.37
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 51
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$617.04
- SNIULAI4Last tradedUp-$350.33
- SalmachLast tradedUp+$197.36
- Called
- G2 Esports
- Won
- G2 Esports
- Profitable wallets
- 51
- Confidence
- 49%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDearest-UrgeLast tradedShifters-$6,549.19
- Srf13g145g41g4g4Last tradedG2 Esports+$3,176.03
- SSineNooneEILast tradedG2 Esports+$607.06
- Called
- Team Spirit
- Won
- Team Spirit
- Profitable wallets
- 50
- Confidence
- 46%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSisyphus-Last tradedTeam Spirit+$3,456.88
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedTeam Spirit+$606.59
- SNooseracLast tradedTeam Spirit+$280.72
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 50
- Confidence
- 10%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$310.54
- Strinity42Last tradedDown+$173.26
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown+$83.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 50
- Confidence
- 70%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStayFocusLuiaLast tradedDown+$29.19
- Sx-MoneyForWhiskasLast tradedDown+$27.26
- Sstd0Last tradedDown+$19.05
- Called
- Atlanta Braves
- Won
- Atlanta Braves
- Profitable wallets
- 49
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedAtlanta Braves+$27,651.92
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedArizona Diamondbacks-$10,265.63
- SRN1Last tradedAtlanta Braves+$2,013.73
- Called
- Vitality
- Won
- Vitality
- Profitable wallets
- 49
- Confidence
- 49%
Profitable wallets' positions- SColdWLast tradedVitality+$643.82
- S0x29b52d98ac9ef9414b04164246c95BC63d7Last tradedVitality+$488.43
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedLynn Vision-$363.08
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 49
- Confidence
- 12%
Profitable wallets' positions- SEn111006Last tradedUp+$284.15
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$237.60
- SuninfromedflowwLast tradedUp+$199.66
- Called
- Clara Tauson
- Won
- Clara Tauson
- Profitable wallets
- 48
- Confidence
- 22%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedClara Tauson+$52,667.19
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedClara Tauson+$28,456.47
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedClara Tauson+$10,582.84
- Called
- Zizou Bergs
- Won
- Daniel Merida Aguilar
- Profitable wallets
- 48
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedZizou Bergs-$45,352.68
- SRN1Last tradedZizou Bergs-$11,032.30
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedZizou Bergs-$7,066.44
- Called
- Los Angeles Angels
- Won
- Los Angeles Angels
- Profitable wallets
- 48
- Confidence
- 54%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedLos Angeles Angels+$12,215.17
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedLos Angeles Angels+$8,226.26
- SAnonymousUsernameLast tradedLos Angeles Angels+$7,165.59
22,723 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
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