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Resolution reportSunday, August 16, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
76%
3,050 right939 wrong

All wallets: 86% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
26,864
No consensus
22,875

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 12,992 provider closure; 13,872 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will FC Groningen win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Yes+$3,751.39
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$1,596.62
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$602.18

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$124.86
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$96.56
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$64.42

  • Dota 2: Iron Wing vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Elimination Round

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Iron Wing
    Won
    Iron Wing
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Lorenzo Musetti

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Won
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$32.25
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Up-$17.05
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Down-$16.35

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$141.53
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$31.66
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$29.43

  • Burnley FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$715.11
    • S
      LilybaeumLast traded
      Under-$180.93
    • S
      LonnieHawkinsLast traded
      Over+$164.59

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City: Both Teams to Score

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    74%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$5,321.44
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$2,637.71
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$1,622.51

  • Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    FURIA
    Won
    9z
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • The Hundred: Trent Rockets vs Manchester Super Giants

    Wrong

    Cricket

    Called
    Trent Rockets
    Won
    Manchester Super Giants
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      02-Last traded
      Trent Rockets-$1,809.61
    • S
      KnightDasCapitalLast traded
      Manchester Super Giants+$968.79
    • S
      Bagwell306Last traded
      Trent Rockets-$771.60

  • Will CS Marítimo win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No-$4,083.53
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes+$1,700.80
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No-$811.05

  • Toronto FC vs. New England Revolution: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Roehampton: Alec Deckers vs Conor Gannon

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Alec Deckers
    Won
    Alec Deckers
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Conor Gannon-$1,096.71
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Conor Gannon+$804.88
    • S
      KnightDasCapitalLast traded
      Alec Deckers+$789.24

  • Todi: Nicolas Kicker vs Marco Cecchinato

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Marco Cecchinato
    Won
    Nicolas Kicker
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Nicolas Kicker+$3,992.80
    • S
      KnightDasCapitalLast traded
      Marco Cecchinato-$1,440
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Marco Cecchinato-$911.99

  • Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 15?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      justaluckydudeLast traded
      Over-$2,426.65
    • S
      Bagwell306Last traded
      Over-$2,362.10
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$1,667.51

  • Roehampton: Radu Albot vs Viktor Frydrych

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Radu Albot
    Won
    Radu Albot
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    66%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Radu Albot+$1,259.49
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Radu Albot-$634.62
    • S
      thestingsnakeLast traded
      Radu Albot+$496.21

  • Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-08-16?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$163.36
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$140.70
    • S
      En111006Last traded
      Down-$110.69

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    72%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$132
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$106.35
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$106.30

  • Will Burnley FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$126.42
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$62.01
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Down+$56.87

  • Will Toronto FC win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: LOUD vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    LOUD
    Won
    LOUD
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      antecLast traded
      LOUD+$77.09
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      LOUD+$74.17
    • S
      frohp5Last traded
      LOUD+$61.53

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down-$67
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$42.19
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Up-$37.82

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$138.42
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$113.79
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$61.46

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$131.34
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down-$54
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$35.18

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$103.88
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$71.67
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$42.27

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$68.50
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$50
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down-$40.30

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Real Racing Club 0 - 0 Villarreal CF?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    97%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$1,621.85
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$1,384.92
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      No+$523.76

  • Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    MOUZ
    Won
    MOUZ
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Open: Tamara Korpatsch vs Iva Jovic

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Iva Jovic
    Won
    Iva Jovic
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    63%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Iva Jovic+$3,622.50
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Iva Jovic+$1,790.30
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Tamara Korpatsch-$788.10

  • Will Atlas FC vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

22,723 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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