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Resolution reportSunday, August 16, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
76%
3,050 right939 wrong

All wallets: 86% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
26,864
No consensus
22,875

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 12,992 provider closure; 13,872 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Sharper Esport
    Won
    Sharper Esport
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SineNooneEILast traded
      Sharper Esport+$2,481.07
    • S
      trgparkingLast traded
      DetonatioN FocusMe-$480
    • S
      youngwhaleLast traded
      DetonatioN FocusMe-$117.69

  • Will Hammarby IF win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: LOUD vs Leviatan Esports - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    LOUD
    Won
    LOUD
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Atlante FC win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No+$1,699.76
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$972.69
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$384.57

  • Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Eintracht Frankfurt
    Won
    Eintracht Frankfurt
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Eternal Fire-$1,609.99
    • S
      trgparkingLast traded
      Eintracht Frankfurt+$395.44
    • S
      pauleta23Last traded
      Eintracht Frankfurt+$245.25

  • Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Won
    Boston Red Sox
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 16?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Club Guabirá win on 2026-08-15?

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$76.87
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$61.48
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Down-$57.36

  • Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Nongshim RedForce
    Won
    Nongshim RedForce
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$212.15
    • S
      NIULAI4Last traded
      Down+$50.65
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Down+$33.30

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$230.02
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$156.64
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$110.27

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Down+$56.77
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$33.37
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Up-$33.32

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$126.91
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$69.47
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Down-$68.17

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Iran successfully targets shipping on August 14, 2026?

    Wrong

    Geopolitics

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      yen4uLast traded
      No-$197.22
    • S
      AhpoLast traded
      No-$49.52
    • S
      tetraseLast traded
      Yes+$20.88

  • Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next?

    Right

    MMA

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    66%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      4751346Last traded
      Yes+$289.52
    • S
      qwe258Last traded
      Yes-$0.03
    • A
      oneAceLast traded
      Yes+$5,087.22

  • Sion: Alex Marti Pujolras vs Maximilian Neuchrist

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Alex Marti Pujolras
    Won
    Alex Marti Pujolras
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Alex Marti Pujolras+$4,276.99
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Maximilian Neuchrist+$784.79
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Alex Marti Pujolras+$628.86

  • Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-08-16?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will New England Revolution win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will FC Bayern Munich Legends vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • San Jose Earthquakes vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 4.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Toronto FC vs. New England Revolution end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Orlando City SC vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will CD Riestra win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$2,209.26
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No+$833.62
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$501.60

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$362.43
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$290.92
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$62

  • Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$62
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$44.19
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down-$28.46

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$116.74
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$107.54
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Down+$48.11

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    76%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$66.35
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$41.22
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Up+$33.71

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down-$41.10
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Up+$33.51
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Up-$12.21

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$86.37
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$82.55
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Up+$15.15

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NIULAI4Last traded
      Down-$143.96
    • S
      Agile-SpacingLast traded
      Down-$124.92
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up+$101.20

22,723 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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