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Resolution reportSunday, August 16, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
76%
3,050 right939 wrong

All wallets: 86% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
26,864
No consensus
22,875

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 12,992 provider closure; 13,872 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Down-$21.64
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Down-$14.86
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$10.78

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Imperial vs BESTIA (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffs

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    BESTIA
    Won
    Imperial
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    66%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    93%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$16,765.75
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$1,161.59
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$697.03

  • Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 171.5

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Texas Rangers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Kasımpaşa SK vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-15?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$2,093.06
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$941.73
    • S
      KnightDasCapitalLast traded
      No-$646.30

  • Bristol City FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    61%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    FC Basel 1893
    Won
    FC Barcelona
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      FC Basel 1893-$1,999.42
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      FC Basel 1893-$1,277.65
    • S
      VD721lsj4938Dk388Last traded
      FC Basel 1893-$342.38

  • Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-08-15?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Eagles vs. Ravens

    Wrong

    NFL

    Called
    Eagles
    Won
    Ravens
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 16?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    95%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will EC Bahia win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$2,449.53
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$1,110.26
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$809.24

  • Will PEC Zwolle win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    73%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Real Salt Lake vs. Minnesota United FC end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    96%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down-$249.63
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$124.16
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$97.45

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    79%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    91%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NIULAI4Last traded
      Up-$182.88
    • S
      gabigolLast traded
      Up-$164.90
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$62.09

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    77%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$58.54
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up-$47.20
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Down+$27.06

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      trinity42Last traded
      Up+$168.18
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down-$30.80
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Up+$23.20

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$81.94
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Down-$69.16
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$46.98

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$38.82
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Down-$22
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Down+$15.37

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$246.89
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Down-$24.63
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$21.40

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$135.30
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$99.19
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$94.42

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will LKP Motor Lublin win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$274.23
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$83.66
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$69.22

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Agile-SpacingLast traded
      Up-$139.49
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down+$96.76
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Down+$79.68

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Down+$171.09
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Down+$143.56
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$110.26

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5)

    Wrong

    WNBA

    Called
    Las Vegas Aces
    Won
    Minnesota Lynx
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

22,723 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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