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Resolution reportSunday, August 16, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
76%
3,050 right939 wrong

All wallets: 86% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
26,864
No consensus
22,875

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 12,992 provider closure; 13,872 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Brownsburg: Andre Ilagan vs Lloyd Harris

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Lloyd Harris
    Won
    Lloyd Harris
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W15 Bucharest 3 Women: Maria Sara Popa vs Ida Wobker

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Ida Wobker
    Won
    Maria Sara Popa
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Atlas FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • San Jose Earthquakes vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Incheon United FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Sion: Nicolas Parizzia vs Theo Papamalamis

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Nicolas Parizzia
    Won
    Theo Papamalamis
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Theo Papamalamis+$5,296.43
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Nicolas Parizzia-$1,611.76
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Nicolas Parizzia-$1,133.60

  • Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    84%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ic4creamLast traded
      No+$805.58
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$771.33
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$306.55

  • CA Sarmiento vs. CA Huracán: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Score

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$848.51
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No-$390.22
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$234.89

  • Cincinnati Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Lucrezia Stefanini

    No consensus

    Tennis

    Won
    Marie Bouzkova
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Ulsan HD FC vs. Gangwon FC end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    45%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      No+$393.60
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$386.07
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$369.46

  • Will Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Go Ahead Eagles end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Willem II Tilburg vs. NEC: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Todi: Nicolas Kicker vs Maxim Mrva

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Maxim Mrva
    Won
    Maxim Mrva
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    72%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    79%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$1,311.51
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$903.75
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$404.80

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up-$43.26
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Down+$43.17
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Down+$36.35

  • Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 16?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$246.79
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down-$78.88
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$48.20

  • Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    61%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$285.21
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$272.21
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down-$79.38

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$34.79
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$29.49
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$14.02

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    68%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 Muttenz Men: Luca Staeheli vs Louis Wessels

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Louis Wessels
    Won
    Luca Staeheli
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Odense BK vs. AC Horsens: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$1,714.78
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Under-$750
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under-$354.54

  • Will FC København win on 2026-08-16?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Vitality
    Won
    Vitality
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    81%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    96%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Girona FC win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    73%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Prague: Michael Vrbensky vs Oleksii Krutykh

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Oleksii Krutykh
    Won
    Oleksii Krutykh
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Michael Vrbensky-$5,000.13
    • S
      KnightDasCapitalLast traded
      Oleksii Krutykh+$634.02
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Michael Vrbensky-$505.55

  • Yellow-Red KV Mechelen vs. Standard Liege: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 16?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Real Madrid (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Schalke 04
    Won
    Real Madrid
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Schalke 04-$6,881.85
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Schalke 04-$6,534.96
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Schalke 04-$2,756.52

  • CA Belgrano vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$2,833.95
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$881.75
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$808.16

  • Roehampton: Rhys Lawlor vs Nicolas Tepmahc

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Nicolas Tepmahc
    Won
    Nicolas Tepmahc
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    45%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Nicolas Tepmahc+$1,145.14
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Nicolas Tepmahc+$548.53
    • S
      TRCMLast traded
      Nicolas Tepmahc+$426.03

  • Cincinnati Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Arthur Fils

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Arthur Fils
    Won
    Arthur Fils
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Watford FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

22,723 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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