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Resolution reportSunday, August 16, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
76%
3,050 right939 wrong

All wallets: 86% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
26,864
No consensus
22,875

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 12,992 provider closure; 13,872 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #7 Group A

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    ex-RUSTEC
    Won
    ex-RUSTEC
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City: O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Under-$446.25
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Under-$166.68
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under-$67.23

  • Colorado Rapids SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Standard Liege win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$2,046.70
    • S
      6kke1tLast traded
      Yes-$2,037.82
    • S
      Flawed-TranceLast traded
      No-$390.87

  • Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-16?

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$432.07
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      No-$255.46
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Yes+$253.50

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$159.70
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$14.94
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$12.83

  • Will Millwall FC win on 2026-08-15?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No-$830.38
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$686.11
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$414.34

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    81%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 16?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    82%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 16?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Charlotte FC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Under-$512.68
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over+$461.06
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Under-$446.62

  • Will Atlanta United FC vs. New York Red Bulls end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    34%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Yes-$863.84
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$211.57
    • S
      pauleta23Last traded
      No+$124.08

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$66.81
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Down-$54.88
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down-$25.60

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$238.14
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$94.34
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down+$84.05

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Disguised vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Team Liquid
    Won
    Team Liquid
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will AFC Ajax vs. SC Heerenveen end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$2,081.77
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$1,868.18
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes+$480.51

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    61%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$99.69
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$36
    • S
      En111006Last traded
      Up+$15.48

  • Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-08-16?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    81%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes-$16,491.57
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Yes+$1,208.46
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Yes-$619.22

  • Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Milwaukee Brewers
    Won
    Milwaukee Brewers
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    91%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$6,853.55
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over-$762.55
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$244.04

  • Todi: Maxim Mrva vs Alex Barrena

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Maxim Mrva
    Won
    Maxim Mrva
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-08-16?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    59%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$2,456.79
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$1,968.71
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$1,892.40

  • Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group D

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    ex-RUSTEC
    Won
    Inner Circle Academy
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Top Esports
    Won
    Top Esports
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the fight be won by submission?

    Right

    MMA

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Fight to Go the Distance?

    Right

    MMA

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CR Vasco da Gama vs. Santos FC: O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • SC Freiburg vs. Crystal Palace: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Over+$1,357.82
    • S
      MiLiveLast traded
      Over+$548.63
    • S
      CypyaLast traded
      Under-$316.20

  • Metro Bank One Day Cup: Leicestershire vs Nottinghamshire

    Right

    Cricket

    Called
    Leicestershire
    Won
    Leicestershire
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Atlante FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Over-$1,800.89
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Over-$1,169.99
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Over-$302.25

  • LoL: LOUD vs Leviatan Esports - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    LOUD
    Won
    LOUD
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will SK Beveren win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will KRC Genk win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$763.77
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$623.81
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$365.76

  • Valorant: T1 vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    FULL SENSE
    Won
    T1
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NooseracLast traded
      FULL SENSE-$1,932.36
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      FULL SENSE-$294.99
    • S
      trgparkingLast traded
      T1+$278.18

  • Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$1,203.11
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Under-$160.32
    • S
      SyrrokLast traded
      Over+$61.53

  • Will Incheon United FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$1,317.07
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$666.36
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No-$325.46

  • Sion: Daniel Salazar Martinez vs Lorenzo Bocchi

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Lorenzo Bocchi
    Won
    Lorenzo Bocchi
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Royal Charleroi SC win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$801.22
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$299.92
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$209.82

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

22,723 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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