Skip to content
Resolution reportSunday, August 16, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
76%
3,050 right939 wrong

All wallets: 86% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
26,864
No consensus
22,875

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 12,992 provider closure; 13,872 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • São Paulo FC vs. Coritiba FBC: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    86%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$186.15
    • S
      Hard-IroncladLast traded
      Over+$7.85
    • B
      88MLast traded
      Over+$1,194.95

  • Will Aurora Gaming Win The International 2026?

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Zaglebie Lubin vs. WKS Slask Wroclaw end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the 1996 McLaren F1 GTR sell for at least $35m at auction?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    91%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Warsaw Men: Robert Strombachs vs Vincent Reisach

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Vincent Reisach
    Won
    Robert Strombachs
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Vincent Reisach-$142.64
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Vincent Reisach+$94.26
    • A
      kitopesivanLast traded
      Robert Strombachs+$36.15

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will SBV Excelsior vs. PSV end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    70%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      CannaeLast traded
      No+$65.68
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes+$56.70
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No-$56.42

  • Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 15?

    No consensus

    Weather

    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will RAAL La Louviere win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Yes-$149.72
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$59.25
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$28.48

  • Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on August 16?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Chicago White Sox
    Won
    Chicago White Sox
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Detroit Tigers-$863.08
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Chicago White Sox+$616.96
    • S
      justaluckydudeLast traded
      Detroit Tigers-$147.95

  • Will FF Jaro win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Maranhao AC MA win on 2026-08-15?

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Saskatchewan Roughriders vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats

    No consensus

    CFL

    Won
    Hamilton Tiger-Cats
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Hamilton Tiger-Cats+$2,245.38
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Saskatchewan Roughriders-$8.13
    • A
      dv-pmLast traded
      Saskatchewan Roughriders-$1,279.21

  • AFC Ajax vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$367.42
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Under+$279.15
    • S
      GordinhoDoAlfaLast traded
      Under+$45.37

  • Will FC Arouca vs. Moreirense FC end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$146.30
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes-$143.54
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$100.44

  • Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs Inner Circle Academy - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Inner Circle Academy
    Won
    Inner Circle Academy
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Inner Circle Academy+$290.45
    • S
      RandomGameBetLast traded
      ex-RUSTEC+$3.56
    • A
      gonnachangelaterLast traded
      Inner Circle Academy+$29.41

  • Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 16?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 16 million or more views on day 1?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Fortress - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Bushido Wildcats
    Won
    Bushido Wildcats
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 16?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • São Paulo FC vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    79%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$32.78
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      Under+$25.60
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$19.06

  • Will RAAL La Louviere vs. KAA Gent end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$307.87
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$243.12
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$233.83

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the match end in a draw?

    Right

    Cricket

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    76%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Malaysia vs. Vietnam end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$615.05
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$235.60
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$220.38

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 16?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 16?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Watford FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 1.5

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Toronto Blue Jays
    Won
    Toronto Blue Jays
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    66%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      justaluckydudeLast traded
      New York Yankees-$1,714.30
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Toronto Blue Jays+$767.58
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Toronto Blue Jays+$762.75

  • Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 6 million views on day 1?

    Wrong

    Culture

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-08-16?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: ENCE vs WBT - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    WBT
    Won
    WBT
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Atreides vs LPH Gaming - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Atreides
    Won
    Atreides
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Real Racing Club 2 - 0 Villarreal CF?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 31°C on August 16?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 16?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    63%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

22,723 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 34,871 more positions across 3,260 markets on this day.

Upgrade to Pro · $99/moabout $3.30/day
Developer docs