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Resolution reportSunday, August 16, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
76%
3,050 right939 wrong

All wallets: 86% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
26,864
No consensus
22,875

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 12,992 provider closure; 13,872 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • LKP Motor Lublin vs. GKS Katowice: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$51.64
    • S
      SyrrokLast traded
      Under+$47.22
    • A
      kitopesivanLast traded
      Over-$132.82

  • Will CS Cartaginés win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will SCR Altach win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 6 and 8 million views on day 1?

    Wrong

    Culture

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 16?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$60.29
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Down+$42.69
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Up-$29.86

  • Solana Up or Down - August 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Russia target Kyiv on August 16, 2026?

    Right

    Geopolitics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      AJSVLast traded
      No+$116.81
    • A
      RobbbLast traded
      Yes+$1.18
    • A
      thoodrLast traded
      Yes+$0.76

  • Solana Up or Down - August 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on August 16?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      Yes-$98.02
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Yes+$1.05
    • B
      bby123Last traded
      No+$9.86

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Prague: Aleksandr Braynin vs Rudolf Molleker

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Rudolf Molleker
    Won
    Rudolf Molleker
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    85%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      thestingsnakeLast traded
      Rudolf Molleker+$34.12
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Rudolf Molleker+$25.20
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Rudolf Molleker+$7.49

  • Solana Up or Down - August 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C or higher on August 16?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over+$701.57
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Under-$122.86
    • S
      pauleta23Last traded
      Over+$5.48

  • Will Borussia Monchengladbach vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Won
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Deportivo Alavés 1 - 2 Getafe CF?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    92%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$79.82
    • S
      KnightDasCapitalLast traded
      No+$70
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$37.24

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Go Ahead Eagles: Both Teams to Score

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 16?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will GamerLegion Win The International 2026?

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • San Antonio FC vs. El Paso Locomotive FC: O/U 3.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: ENCE vs WBT - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    WBT
    Won
    WBT
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Miami Marlins
    Won
    Miami Marlins
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C or higher on August 15?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Tampa Bay Rays
    Won
    Tampa Bay Rays
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W15 Astana 5 Women: Haruna Arakawa vs Asylzhan Arystanbekova

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Asylzhan Arystanbekova
    Won
    Asylzhan Arystanbekova
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Asylzhan Arystanbekova+$50.80
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Haruna Arakawa+$43.90
    • A
      kitopesivanLast traded
      Haruna Arakawa-$171.26

  • Middlesbrough FC vs. Lincoln City FC: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Carrarese Calcio win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Oakland Roots SC 1 - 0 Monterey Bay FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Degerfors IF vs. IFK Goteborg end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$148.94
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No+$51.94
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$30.55

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 7PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Cincinnati leading at halftime?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: St. Louis City SC (-2.5)

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    San Jose Earthquakes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Real Racing Club 3 - 0 Villarreal CF?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$55.05
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$6.79
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Yes-$4.23

  • Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on August 15?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Twente vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

22,723 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 34,871 more positions across 3,260 markets on this day.

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