Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
All wallets: 86% on the same markets.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 26,864
- No consensus
- 22,875
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 12,992 provider closure; 13,872 first observed.
Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.
Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 29%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$326.65
- SGC-PLast tradedNo+$271.85
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$29.41
O/U 1.5 Rounds
Right- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 39%
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 30%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo-$481.96
- SRN1Last tradedNo-$460.08
- S38791873984189Last tradedNo-$70.62
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 26%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedYes-$95.36
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$41.01
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$6.47
- Called
- Cincinnati Reds
- Won
- Miami Marlins
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 26%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedMiami Marlins+$395.92
- S38791873984189Last tradedCincinnati Reds-$355.68
- ScurieLast tradedCincinnati Reds-$184.90
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 30%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedOver-$1,293.82
- SSnakeBallLast tradedOver-$1,003.23
- S38791873984189Last tradedOver-$431.79
- Called
- Hanshin Tigers
- Won
- Hanshin Tigers
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 38%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedHiroshima Carp-$727.53
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedHanshin Tigers+$0.65
- AlooppauLast tradedHanshin Tigers+$0.64
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 83%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHard-IroncladLast tradedOver+$36.52
- AfooooolLast tradedOver+$1,209.98
- BSecondhandvinylLast tradedUnder-$554.11
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 16?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 77%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sopopv.Last tradedYes+$668.13
- ScurieLast tradedYes-$4.91
- AHappening9014Last tradedYes+$24.98
- Called
- Chunichi Dragons
- Won
- Yomiuri Giants
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedChunichi Dragons-$728.08
- SghostorderLast tradedChunichi Dragons-$215.35
- AChristopherMoneymakerLast tradedYomiuri Giants+$0.10
- Called
- Daria Kuczer
- Won
- Daria Kuczer
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 44%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedYelyzaveta Kotliar-$639.77
- SRN1Last tradedDaria Kuczer-$151.28
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedDaria Kuczer+$22.48
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder+$751.69
- SSnakeBallLast tradedOver-$138.63
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$38.72
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 29%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder-$351.96
- SsentrioLast tradedOver-$224.78
- Amacs.Macsnyi90Last tradedOver+$196.26
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 28%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver+$11,528.66
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver+$1,620.73
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedUnder-$1,171.68
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 13%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedOver-$222.54
- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder+$41.18
- ApredictiondiabloLast tradedOver-$66.74
- Called
- Lavked
- Won
- Lavked
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 78%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedLavked+$277.31
- SRandomGameBetLast tradedLavked+$75.11
- A0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedLavked+$156.22
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedOver+$311.62
- SCorrupt-HornLast tradedOver+$12
- AFlipadelphiaLast tradedOver+$2,278.68
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 69%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$249.24
- SKnightDasCapitalLast tradedNo+$18.61
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$8.02
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 22%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedOver-$1,311.47
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$1,234.23
- SSnakeBallLast tradedOver-$550.81
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 30%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder-$226.58
- S38791873984189Last tradedOver+$117.28
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedUnder-$58.62
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 92%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedYes+$196.63
- SSnakeBallLast tradedYes+$92.76
- SretarbLast tradedYes+$69.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 8AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$390.54
- SalmachLast tradedDown+$54.50
- Smo-moneyLast tradedDown+$39.54
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 36%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder-$159.30
- SGrowing-ToughguyLast tradedOver+$33.55
- SRN1Last tradedOver+$11.37
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 4%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$704.20
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedYes-$287.46
- SRN1Last tradedYes-$126.87
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 16?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 88%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedNo+$899.09
- S0xDB5Last tradedNo+$20.15
- STokorLast tradedNo+$10.38
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedYes-$269.24
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$7.21
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedNo+$6.75
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHard-IroncladLast tradedUnder+$9.95
- SRock.SanLast tradedUnder+$2.70
- AkitopesivanLast tradedUnder+$105.26
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$624.03
- S38791873984189Last tradedYes-$129.31
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedYes-$34.45
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 29%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedYes-$197.78
- SVD721lsj4938Dk388Last tradedNo+$184.82
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedYes-$7.82
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedUnder-$309.53
- SRN1Last tradedUnder-$79.74
- SWagerWizardLast tradedOver+$4.10
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 24%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder-$362.87
- SgollazaLast tradedOver+$92.46
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedOver+$24.92
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$137.29
- SRN1Last tradedYes+$63.65
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedYes-$59.20
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 54%
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 13%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$84.25
- SRN1Last tradedYes-$16.52
- ANeat-RobotLast tradedYes-$79.20
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 89%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder+$214.16
- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder+$97.36
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$11.17
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 37%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder+$281.70
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$270.31
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver-$99.42
Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 65%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$158.98
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$74.95
- SOhioRiskManagementLast tradedUp+$71.87
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Dewa United Esports (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season
Right- Called
- Team Liquid ID
- Won
- Team Liquid ID
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SZhangMuZhi..Last tradedTeam Liquid ID+$0.74
- AGOLDCRYPT12Last tradedDewa United Esports-$66.34
- ALegal-Knot-NeglectLast tradedTeam Liquid ID+$20.40
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder-$236.40
- SZaiZoiBeleLast tradedUnder-$61.34
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedOver+$4.82
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedOver-$512.21
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver-$310.45
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$299.45
- Called
- HAVU
- Won
- HAVU
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 81%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on August 16?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHighTempTationLast tradedNo+$467.52
- SFlamboyant-WarmingLast tradedYes-$70.49
- Sopopv.Last tradedYes-$50.80
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 46%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder+$529.11
- S38791873984189Last tradedOver-$84.53
- ScurieLast tradedUnder-$4.05
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 15?
Wrong- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedNo-$88.62
- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo-$36.30
- Asailor82Last tradedNo-$170.02
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes+$496.71
- SRN1Last tradedYes+$235.60
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo-$95.19
- Called
- San Diego Padres
- Won
- Cleveland Guardians
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 62%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedCleveland Guardians+$1,529.75
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedSan Diego Padres-$1,513.80
- SRN1Last tradedSan Diego Padres-$225.94
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 92%
Profitable wallets' positions- SKnightDasCapitalLast tradedNo+$139.18
- SNM-PLast tradedNo+$74.74
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$41.94
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 16?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SbalthazarLast tradedYes-$334.67
- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedNo-$103.21
- S0xDB5Last tradedNo+$9.20
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 47%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedNo+$143.54
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$137.20
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$90.60
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$139.66
- SRN1Last tradedNo+$53.54
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$13.97
22,723 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 34,871 more positions across 3,260 markets on this day.