Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
All wallets: 86% on the same markets.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 26,864
- No consensus
- 22,875
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 12,992 provider closure; 13,872 first observed.
Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.
Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 16?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 65%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sopopv.Last tradedNo+$42.28
- AfildoroLast tradedNo+$67.67
- Amildwindow27Last tradedNo+$49.03
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 24%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown-$89.62
- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$54.50
- SOhioRiskManagementLast tradedUp+$27.94
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedUp-$84.12
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$33.31
- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$26.14
Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 47%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$37.82
- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$24.31
- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp-$23.98
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 16?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 18%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedYes-$18.87
- SHighTempTationLast tradedNo+$18.44
- A0x9506…1c4fLast tradedYes-$302.40
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 42%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedOver-$499.76
- SsentrioLast tradedUnder+$121.27
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedOver-$98.48
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 69%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$123.54
- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$37.79
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$24.59
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 31%
Profitable wallets' positions- SZaiZoiBeleLast tradedOver+$474.38
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUnder-$272.22
- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder-$218.79
- Called
- John Echeverria
- Won
- John Echeverria
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SghostorderLast tradedJohn Echeverria+$85
- S38791873984189Last tradedJohn Echeverria+$78.02
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOliver Bonding-$21.73
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 16?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 37%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedYes-$68.23
- AAliciaLast tradedNo-$326.64
- AwuxiumingLast tradedNo+$75.39
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- AplainfolderLast tradedNo-$35.97
- Agodblessme2026Last tradedNo-$8.41
- Amildwindow27Last tradedNo-$4.80
- Called
- Milwaukee Brewers
- Won
- Milwaukee Brewers
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 77%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedMilwaukee Brewers+$403.33
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedMilwaukee Brewers+$255.36
- S38791873984189Last tradedMilwaukee Brewers+$175.18
Ethereum Up or Down - August 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 81%
Profitable wallets' positions- SOhioRiskManagementLast tradedDown-$14.37
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$9.72
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$8.77
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 38%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$138.15
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$127.45
- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp-$15.33
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 9PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 77%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$260.56
- SalmachLast tradedUp+$147.51
- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp+$113.88
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 21%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$39.88
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$29.95
- SOhioRiskManagementLast tradedDown+$23.63
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$133.41
- SalmachLast tradedUp+$7.64
- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp-$4.32
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 4.5
No consensus- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedOver-$427.56
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedOver-$242.60
- SRN1Last tradedOver-$123.89
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on August 16?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 37%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedYes+$0.21
- Amildwindow27Last tradedNo-$4.24
- A0x8e7a1d1N2KdE17a0e8Kh31F8b0F56B8dEa08ELast tradedNo+$1.20
- Called
- Iron Wing
- Won
- Iron Wing
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 63%
Profitable wallets' positions- SspartachioLast tradedIron Wing+$2,049.75
- SwapolLast tradedIron Wing+$240.64
- SyoungwhaleLast tradedIron Wing+$169.87
- Called
- Racing Club De Lens
- Won
- Racing Club De Lens
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 86%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCannaeLast tradedRacing Club De Lens+$2,075.53
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedRacing Club De Lens+$1,460
- SSnakeBallLast tradedRacing Club De Lens+$322.88
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 65%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder+$964.43
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedOver-$629.49
- S38791873984189Last tradedUnder+$321.56
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 74%
Profitable wallets' positions- SJest55Last tradedNo+$445.96
- SFlamboyant-WarmingLast tradedNo+$23.40
- SshoemanhereLast tradedNo+$6.76
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 36%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo-$1,750.21
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedNo-$1,179.62
- SSnakeBallLast tradedYes+$25.16
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 54%
Profitable wallets' positions- SGC-PLast tradedNo-$667.92
- SNM-PLast tradedNo-$619.71
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo-$464.46
- Called
- FORZE Reload
- Won
- FORZE Reload
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 30%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x29b52d98ac9ef9414b04164246c95BC63d7Last tradedFORZE Reload+$2,138.59
- SsentrioLast tradedFORZE Reload+$1,434.61
- S38791873984189Last tradedDonstu Esports-$59.45
- Called
- Los Angeles Dodgers
- Won
- Milwaukee Brewers
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 38%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedLos Angeles Dodgers-$2,917.18
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedLos Angeles Dodgers-$465.71
- ScurieLast tradedMilwaukee Brewers+$266.21
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedNo-$418.10
- SNM-PLast tradedNo-$58.65
- SRN1Last tradedNo+$5.78
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 19%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAnonymousUsernameLast tradedYes-$1,472.69
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedYes-$240.62
- S38791873984189Last tradedYes-$108.39
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 64%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo-$1,168.74
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo-$836.20
- SNM-PLast tradedNo-$293.57
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 31%
Profitable wallets' positions- SsentrioLast tradedUnder-$539.08
- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder-$226.69
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder-$127.84
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 6%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo-$859.35
- SRN1Last tradedNo-$263.05
- SNM-PLast tradedNo-$235.47
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedOver+$1,309
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedOver+$286.72
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedUnder-$109.04
- Called
- Seattle Mariners
- Won
- Seattle Mariners
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 44%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedSeattle Mariners+$854.71
- ScurieLast tradedSeattle Mariners+$575.74
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedSeattle Mariners+$350.58
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedNo-$266.95
- SKnightDasCapitalLast tradedYes+$262
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo-$64.27
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 21%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver-$1,731.87
- SRN1Last tradedOver-$406.28
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$312.63
Will Bangladesh win?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 6%
Profitable wallets' positions- SmishipolisLast tradedYes+$434
- APan9XLast tradedNo-$124.91
- A0x312d…6814Last tradedNo-$67.40
- Called
- Connecticut Sun
- Won
- Connecticut Sun
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedNew York Liberty-$4,079.27
- SAnonymousUsernameLast tradedConnecticut Sun+$1,645.77
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedConnecticut Sun+$614.40
- Called
- Matyas Cerny
- Won
- Matyas Cerny
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedMatyas Cerny+$648.91
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedMatyas Cerny+$381.30
- SRN1Last tradedMatyas Cerny+$251.02
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$2,489.04
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$556.42
- SRN1Last tradedNo-$190.59
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 46%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedUnder-$1,006.87
- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder-$93.52
- SNordhavenCapLast tradedOver+$77.16
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedYes+$536.85
- S6kke1tLast tradedYes+$189.32
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedYes+$148.03
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedUnder+$405
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedOver-$41.29
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedUnder+$39.14
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 29%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedOver-$476.56
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$310.12
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedOver-$192.54
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 15%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedOver-$434.87
- SSnakeBallLast tradedOver-$345.29
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$227.08
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo-$1,017.84
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo-$399.22
- SRN1Last tradedNo-$382.39
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes+$521.87
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedYes+$434.92
- Adv-pmLast tradedYes+$623.95
- Called
- Imperial
- Won
- BESTIA
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedBESTIA+$234.91
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedImperial-$167.30
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedImperial-$68.04
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$336.43
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$80.95
- SFlamboyant-WarmingLast tradedYes-$66.18
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 16?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 36%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedNo+$542.36
- STokorLast tradedNo+$261.76
- S0xDB5Last tradedNo+$140.21
22,723 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 34,871 more positions across 3,260 markets on this day.