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Resolution reportSunday, August 16, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
76%
3,050 right939 wrong

All wallets: 86% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
26,864
No consensus
22,875

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 12,992 provider closure; 13,872 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      CannaeLast traded
      No-$107.40
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No-$57.33
    • S
      LilybaeumLast traded
      Yes+$22.83

  • Valorant: Team Envy vs Sentinels - Map 1 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Sentinels
    Won
    Team Envy
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • SK Beveren vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$1,928.52
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$1,150.11
    • S
      Hard-IroncladLast traded
      Over-$452.25

  • Exact Score: Real Racing Club 2 - 2 Villarreal CF?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W15 Tianjin 2 Women: Chengyiyi Yuan vs Thasaporn Naklo

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Chengyiyi Yuan
    Won
    Chengyiyi Yuan
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Chengyiyi Yuan-$818.54
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Thasaporn Naklo-$206.40
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Thasaporn Naklo-$107.13

  • Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    66%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$444.54
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      No+$404.93
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes-$358.85

  • Girona FC vs. CD Leganés: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Games Total: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Burnley FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to Score

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will GKS Katowice win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      6kke1tLast traded
      No+$785.22
    • S
      retarbLast traded
      Yes-$46.77
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$14.80

  • Will Operário Ferroviário EC vs. Avaí FC end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes-$435.68
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$143.78
    • S
      pauleta23Last traded
      Yes-$103.17

  • Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 15?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      No-$153.08
    • S
      curieLast traded
      No-$17.59
    • A
      fildoroLast traded
      Yes+$88.44

  • Orlando City SC vs. FC Cincinnati: Both Teams to Score

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No-$607.17
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No-$359.39
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$335.50

  • Kalmar FF vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Islam Makhachev win by KO or TKO?

    Right

    MMA

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Jest55Last traded
      No+$335.48
    • A
      BreakTheBankLast traded
      No+$661.47
    • A
      GeepaPLast traded
      Yes-$400

  • Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$541
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$204.47
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes+$160

  • Will US Catanzaro 1929 win on 2026-08-15?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will WKW ETO FC Gyor win on 2026-08-16?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Frosinone Calcio vs. SS Juve Stabia: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    79%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Hard-IroncladLast traded
      Over+$304.82
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$233.45
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under-$211.52

  • SK Brann vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Nashville SC
    Won
    Nashville SC
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will CA Platense vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Watford FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    88%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Hannover 96 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: Both Teams to Score

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    59%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$336.56
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$249.24
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$136.10

  • CF Monterrey vs. FC Juárez: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over-$425.52
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over+$160.22
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Under-$66.07

  • CA Mineiro vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will CF Universidad de Chile win on 2026-08-15?

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$601.87
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$400
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$400

  • Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    G2 Esports
    Won
    G2 Esports
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Burnley FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    86%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Degerfors IF win on 2026-08-16?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$961.78
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$517.42
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      No-$163.45

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    77%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$58.03
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Down-$24.26
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Down+$19.99

  • Charlotte FC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$726.94
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$125.28
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$101.40

  • Roehampton: Billy Blaydes vs Alexis Gautier

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Alexis Gautier
    Won
    Billy Blaydes
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Alexis Gautier-$794.42
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Billy Blaydes+$95.02
    • S
      KnightDasCapitalLast traded
      Alexis Gautier-$65.26

  • Will Avaí FC win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Yes+$1,235.28
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$1,179.56
    • S
      CannaeLast traded
      No-$264.30

  • Roehampton: Peter Makk vs Roan Jones

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Peter Makk
    Won
    Peter Makk
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Willem II Tilburg vs. NEC: O/U 3.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under-$397.14
    • S
      SyrrokLast traded
      Under-$377.74
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Under-$125.99

  • Degerfors IF vs. IFK Goteborg: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$841.14
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Under+$73.56
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under-$52.14

  • Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 15?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    66%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 11PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$71.97
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$46.33
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$22.86

  • Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 15?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Oakland Roots SC vs. Monterey Bay FC: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under-$1,185.44
    • S
      retarbLast traded
      Over+$40.09
    • A
      romuluxLast traded
      Over+$267.27

  • Will Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$572.31
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$347.22
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$275.13

  • Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on August 16?

    No consensus

    Weather

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Shakira's monthly listeners figure hit 107m by August 31?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 11AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Colorado Rapids SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Under+$430
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over-$194.40
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Under+$139.51

22,723 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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