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Resolution reportSunday, August 16, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
76%
3,050 right939 wrong

All wallets: 86% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
26,864
No consensus
22,875

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 12,992 provider closure; 13,872 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Prague: Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski vs Matthew William Donald

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Matthew William Donald
    Won
    Matthew William Donald
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Matthew William Donald+$220.81
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski+$138.80
    • S
      tradecraftLast traded
      Matthew William Donald+$133.92

  • FC Nordsjælland vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$289.86
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$236.29
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Over-$145.38

  • Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Galorys (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffs

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Galorys
    Won
    Keyd
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Tampa Bay Rays
    Won
    Tampa Bay Rays
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      torta.techLast traded
      Tampa Bay Rays+$1,530.83
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Baltimore Orioles-$729.17
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Baltimore Orioles-$283.99

  • Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Yes-$129.55
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$113.26
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes-$88.59

  • KV Kortrijk vs. Royal Antwerp FC: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Lyngby BK vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Hard-IroncladLast traded
      Over-$1,006.93
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$288.55
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$114.68

  • Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on August 16?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$146.22
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$100.64
    • S
      snoopdogeLast traded
      Up-$37.65

  • Will CD Cobresal win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Kocaelispor end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    59%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$1,251.16
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$333.99
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$310.82

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down+$139.16
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Down-$36.52
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Down+$25.67

  • Real Salt Lake vs. Minnesota United FC: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Gimnasia y Esgrima de Jujuy vs. CA Chaco For Ever: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$1,746.94
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Over-$690
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over-$175.21

  • Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    59%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Bayern Munich vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$491.31
    • S
      KnightDasCapitalLast traded
      No+$224.48
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$215.79

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Up-$62.98
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Down+$57.83
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$39.64

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Down+$118.70
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Down+$91.62
    • S
      gabigolLast traded
      Up-$76.70

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    74%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 15?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    91%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Atlanta United FC vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$191.68
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down-$82.40
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Down-$44.64

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Oakland Roots SC win on 2026-08-15?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Yes+$421.63
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$367.98
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$137.21

  • Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Resilience (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Team Resilience
    Won
    Team Resilience
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 Koksijde Men: Lars Goran Verwerft vs Michael Geerts

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Lars Goran Verwerft
    Won
    Lars Goran Verwerft
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Lars Goran Verwerft+$9,227.06
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Lars Goran Verwerft+$316.91
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Michael Geerts-$296.12

  • CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CD Riestra: O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Game Handicap: LLL (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5)

    No consensus

    Esports

    Won
    LOUD
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Inter Milano vs. Real Betis Seville: Both Teams to Score

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    73%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Arouca vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 3.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under-$1,461.10
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under-$309.52
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Under-$178.37

  • Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    FC Porto
    Won
    FC Porto
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    73%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Norwich City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$1,638.09
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$156.92
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$125.70

  • Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 172.5

    Wrong

    WNBA

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • DAL vs. SEA: O/U 37.5

    Right

    NFL

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    94%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    T1
    Won
    Gen.G
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kia Tigers

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Kia Tigers
    Won
    Kia Tigers
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    94%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Newcastle United win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      No+$1,690.62
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$214.36
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$67.04

  • Will Mansur Abdul-Malik win by KO or TKO?

    Right

    MMA

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Under+$2,273.12
    • S
      newwmanLast traded
      Under+$253.23
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Over-$185.88

  • Texas Rangers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    94%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    Mantova 1911
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      SS Lazio-$722.76
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      SS Lazio-$170.04
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      SS Lazio-$150.47

  • Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$1,224.82
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Under-$510.90
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Under-$136.94

22,723 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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