Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
All wallets: 86% on the same markets.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 26,864
- No consensus
- 22,875
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 12,992 provider closure; 13,872 first observed.
Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.
Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
Counter-Strike: QUINTESSÊNCIA vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #2 Playoffs
Wrong- Called
- METANOIA WOLVES
- Won
- QUINTESSÊNCIA
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 6%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedQUINTESSÊNCIA+$927.13
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedMETANOIA WOLVES-$330.68
- SRandomGameBetLast tradedMETANOIA WOLVES-$87.72
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 21%
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 69%
Profitable wallets' positions- SGC-PLast tradedNo+$297.01
- S38791873984189Last tradedNo+$212.98
- SgollazaLast tradedNo+$68.79
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$160.29
- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$45.93
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$41.78
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- Spspspsps5Last tradedDown+$16.37
- SOhioRiskManagementLast tradedDown+$9.83
- AgansinimenLast tradedUp-$84.10
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 32%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedOver-$396.44
- Storta.techLast tradedUnder+$102.43
- SWagerWizardLast tradedOver-$99.03
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 15?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 30%
Profitable wallets' positions- Syen4uLast tradedNo+$31.04
- AHerrieDavisLast tradedYes-$104.03
- AleCommissaireLast tradedYes-$100.89
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 16?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 52%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHighTempTationLast tradedNo+$27.43
- ScurieLast tradedYes-$1.44
- AnorthdrawerLast tradedNo+$8
O/U 4.5 Rounds
Wrong- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- STalvez10Last tradedUnder-$992.44
- Sic4creamLast tradedUnder-$509.11
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedOver+$295.96
Will Djurgardens IF win on 2026-08-16?
No consensus- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$4,945.99
- SNM-PLast tradedNo+$903.62
- SGC-PLast tradedNo+$784.54
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 58%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedNo-$4,340.23
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo-$1,619.21
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo-$1,154.12
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 44%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver-$8,677.71
- SRN1Last tradedUnder+$2,768.18
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver-$1,379.62
- Called
- Thiago Cigarran
- Won
- Thiago Cigarran
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedMichael Zhu-$4,685.13
- SsentrioLast tradedThiago Cigarran+$711.36
- SRN1Last tradedThiago Cigarran-$386.37
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedOver-$6,405.55
- SRN1Last tradedOver-$626.47
- SLilybaeumLast tradedUnder+$64.46
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 68%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder+$5,018.04
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUnder+$632.65
- Storta.techLast tradedUnder+$584.50
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 10%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo-$813.51
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo-$720.97
- SbluddLast tradedYes+$118
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedYes-$552.58
- SNM-PLast tradedNo+$60.56
- Storta.techLast tradedNo+$37.34
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 21%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedYes+$1,835.41
- SRN1Last tradedNo-$1,298.87
- SKnightDasCapitalLast tradedNo-$326.42
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 12%
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 3%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUnder-$709.29
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder-$530.09
- SRN1Last tradedOver+$355.22
- Called
- Kansas City Royals
- Won
- Kansas City Royals
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 2%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedKansas City Royals+$609.27
- S38791873984189Last tradedKansas City Royals+$354.71
- Storta.techLast tradedLos Angeles Angels-$235.28
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 15%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedUnder+$1,881.95
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver-$434.78
- SSnakeBallLast tradedOver-$159.35
- Called
- Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
- Won
- Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedFukuoka SoftBank Hawks+$1,127.25
- SBagwell306Last tradedFukuoka SoftBank Hawks+$86.17
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedFukuoka SoftBank Hawks+$34
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 74%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedNo-$844.38
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo-$621.94
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo-$582
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 29%
Profitable wallets' positions- SsentrioLast tradedUnder+$1,468.19
- SwapolLast tradedOver-$144.58
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver-$140.19
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 18%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes+$1,984.66
- SNM-PLast tradedNo-$890.39
- SGC-PLast tradedNo-$760.66
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Right- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 3%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sgr5qxLast tradedOver-$1,297.78
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver-$72.96
- SyoungwhaleLast tradedUnder+$71.15
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 83%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedOver+$897.20
- SWagerWizardLast tradedOver+$5.35
- SRN1Last tradedOver-$2.23
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$1,282.53
- SRN1Last tradedOver-$646.73
- SGordinhoDoAlfaLast tradedUnder+$348.07
- Called
- Colorado Rockies
- Won
- Colorado Rockies
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 74%
Profitable wallets' positions- Storta.techLast tradedColorado Rockies+$1,519.27
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedColorado Rockies+$116.47
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedColorado Rockies+$89.17
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 26%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver+$3,159.32
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedOver+$482.14
- S38791873984189Last tradedUnder-$361.13
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder+$2,854.22
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedOver-$2,023.42
- SsentrioLast tradedUnder+$1,193.29
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 87%
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$851.85
- SGamblingOdysseyLast tradedYes-$800.91
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedNo+$770.92
- Called
- St. Louis Cardinals
- Won
- St. Louis Cardinals
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 47%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedSt. Louis Cardinals+$1,320
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedSt. Louis Cardinals+$868.89
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedSt. Louis Cardinals+$799.44
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 82%
Profitable wallets' positions- SLilybaeumLast tradedNo+$966.65
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$188.56
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedNo+$147.18
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- SsentrioLast tradedUnder+$964.21
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedOver-$477.94
- SGC-PLast tradedUnder+$59.29
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 32%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver+$727.87
- SRN1Last tradedUnder-$507.90
- S38791873984189Last tradedOver+$486.45
- Called
- Trinbago Knight Riders
- Won
- Jamaica Kingsmen
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 22%
Profitable wallets' positions- SKnightDasCapitalLast tradedJamaica Kingsmen+$1,293.70
- SUlamTriXLast tradedTrinbago Knight Riders+$73.48
- Amidwicket72Last tradedTrinbago Knight Riders-$2,274.74
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 48%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedUnder+$1,958.64
- SRN1Last tradedOver-$1,408.32
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedOver-$979.69
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 21%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedOver-$3,720.68
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$2,539.86
- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder+$237.86
- Called
- mellren
- Won
- mellren
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 22%
Profitable wallets' positions- SdabossrealmanLast tradedHonvéd-$153.23
- SCandleHammerDrumsLast tradedmellren+$45.36
- A0x4f16eD062561B54EIsDs5aj7B484E7sx1d35034Last tradedmellren+$131.50
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 37%
Profitable wallets' positions- SsentrioLast tradedUnder-$373.81
- S38791873984189Last tradedUnder-$366.33
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedOver+$55.36
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUnder-$1,316.34
- SRN1Last tradedOver+$1,257.03
- ScurieLast tradedOver+$321.73
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 44%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedOver+$1,234.73
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver+$248.86
- SsentrioLast tradedOver+$126.32
- Called
- Nerman Fatic
- Won
- Nerman Fatic
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 54%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedNerman Fatic+$788.66
- SthestingsnakeLast tradedAlec Beckley-$611.46
- StradecraftLast tradedNerman Fatic-$214.15
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 63%
Profitable wallets' positions- SsentrioLast tradedOver+$226.65
- SNM-PLast tradedOver+$224.74
- S38791873984189Last tradedUnder-$130.60
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 3%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder-$1,453.69
- SSnakeBallLast tradedOver+$565.10
- SsentrioLast tradedOver+$251.19
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedOver-$1,498.81
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedOver-$17.13
- A0x9f15…bdb3Last tradedUnder+$123.71
- Called
- Norbert Gombos
- Won
- Norbert Gombos
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 79%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedNorbert Gombos+$424.64
- SghostorderLast tradedNorbert Gombos+$148.45
- SKnightDasCapitalLast tradedNorbert Gombos+$70.80
22,723 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 34,871 more positions across 3,260 markets on this day.