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Resolution reportSunday, August 16, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
76%
3,050 right939 wrong

All wallets: 86% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
26,864
No consensus
22,875

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 12,992 provider closure; 13,872 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-08-15?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 16?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Houston Dynamo vs. Los Angeles Galaxy end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 16?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      No-$114.85
    • A
      ShyGuy1Last traded
      Yes+$1,446.40
    • A
      godblessme2026Last traded
      No+$23.37

  • Will PFK CSKA Moskva win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will FC Juárez win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    MIBR
    Won
    MIBR
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Toronto Blue Jays
    Won
    Toronto Blue Jays
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    66%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-2.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Go Ahead Eagles
    Won
    Go Ahead Eagles
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Feyenoord Rotterdam-$1,962.10
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Go Ahead Eagles+$1,920
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Feyenoord Rotterdam-$492.87

  • CA Platense vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$392.41
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Under+$198.83
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Under+$160.67

  • Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 12 and 14 million views on day 1?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      qwe258Last traded
      Yes+$5.21
    • A
      WaterfallLast traded
      Yes+$114.11
    • A
      AJSVLast traded
      No+$16.79

  • Valorant: G2 Gozen vs Gentle Mates GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Gentle Mates GC
    Won
    Gentle Mates GC
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      G2 Gozen-$39.88
    • S
      antecLast traded
      Gentle Mates GC+$30.49
    • S
      RandomGameBetLast traded
      Gentle Mates GC-$5.24

  • Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Milwaukee Brewers
    Won
    Milwaukee Brewers
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Los Angeles Dodgers-$4,077.09
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Milwaukee Brewers+$2,344.09
    • S
      torta.techLast traded
      Los Angeles Dodgers-$890.91

  • Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Both Teams to Score

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Tottenham Hotspur vs. TSG Hoffenheim: Tottenham Hotspur O/U 0.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Operário Ferroviário EC win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Vietnam win on 2026-08-16?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$551.54
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$484.57
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Yes+$28.87

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$370.34
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down+$70.92
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$40.08

  • Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #7 Group C

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    UNiTY esports
    Won
    UNiTY esports
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    93%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will FC Famalicão vs. CS Marítimo end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 15?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      Yes-$127.65
    • S
      curieLast traded
      No+$42.79
    • S
      HighTempTationLast traded
      No+$26.13

  • Will San Jose Earthquakes vs. St. Louis City SC end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Preston North End FC win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-08-15?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$1,389.27
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No+$1,235.32
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$557.47

  • Valorant: Nova Esports vs TEC Esports - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Nova Esports
    Won
    Nova Esports
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    73%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Hamarkameratene win on 2026-08-16?

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$308.34
    • S
      CannaeLast traded
      No+$299.10
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Yes-$82.72

  • Will Beşiktaş JK vs. Eyüpspor end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    70%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Philadelphia Phillies
    Won
    Philadelphia Phillies
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$136.39
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$75.19
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Down-$62.23

  • Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-08-16?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Yes-$1,877.53
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes-$1,211.88
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Yes-$919.17

  • Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. EC Bahia: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Athletics
    Won
    Texas Rangers
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$42.40
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Down+$26.60
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$13.01

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$101.87
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$62.33
    • S
      snoopdogeLast traded
      Up-$32.09

  • Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs OG (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Group D

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    OG
    Won
    OG
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Tianjin 2 Men: Kosuke Ogura vs Omar Jasika

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Omar Jasika
    Won
    Omar Jasika
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Kosuke Ogura-$2,512.67
    • S
      Vigilant-EnvironmentLast traded
      Omar Jasika+$1,217.73
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Kosuke Ogura-$379.23

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Kingston: Lucas Andrade Da Silva vs Pietro Orlando Fellin

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Lucas Andrade Da Silva
    Won
    Lucas Andrade Da Silva
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ghostorderLast traded
      Lucas Andrade Da Silva+$1,114.23
    • S
      tradecraftLast traded
      Pietro Orlando Fellin-$341.75
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Lucas Andrade Da Silva-$325.67

  • Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-08-16?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 16?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

22,723 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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