Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
All wallets: 86% on the same markets.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 26,864
- No consensus
- 22,875
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 12,992 provider closure; 13,872 first observed.
Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.
Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SNM-PLast tradedNo+$394.35
- SGC-PLast tradedNo+$372.42
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$168.32
- Called
- Imperial
- Won
- Imperial
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 19%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x29b52d98ac9ef9414b04164246c95BC63d7Last tradedImperial+$279.71
- Siii252Last tradedImperial+$184.36
- SSnakeBallLast tradedKeyd-$91.85
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 4%
Profitable wallets' positions- SLexingtonLast tradedUnder+$730.16
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedUnder+$190.64
- SSnakeBallLast tradedOver-$138.30
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$238.67
- SBoneOhioLast tradedDown+$8.11
- AthesidehustleLast tradedDown+$85.63
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder-$868.14
- SSnakeBallLast tradedOver+$373.78
- SRN1Last tradedOver+$222.41
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 37%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$97.69
- A1kto1mLast tradedUp-$269.31
- A0xfb1c…963eLast tradedDown+$131.09
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 36%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes+$410.18
- SUlamTriXLast tradedNo-$94.34
- Sblackewolf83Last tradedYes-$41.63
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedYes+$593.52
- SGC-PLast tradedNo-$67.14
- SRN1Last tradedYes+$52.93
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 10%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$202.52
- SSnakeBallLast tradedYes-$84.83
- SNordhavenCapLast tradedNo+$31.86
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 15%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder+$654.58
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver-$349.66
- Sjack.jrLast tradedOver-$8.57
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedNo+$26.42
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$3.02
- SUlamTriXLast tradedNo+$2.80
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 10%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder-$509.58
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver+$336.87
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedUnder-$305.91
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 8PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 59%
Profitable wallets' positions- SalmachLast tradedDown+$139.17
- Smo-moneyLast tradedDown+$130.72
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$115.99
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 4%
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 19%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedUnder-$149.07
- S38791873984189Last tradedUnder-$67.08
- SRN1Last tradedUnder-$56.76
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- S4751346Last tradedYes-$617.58
- SFlamboyant-WarmingLast tradedNo+$39
- ALegal-Knot-NeglectLast tradedNo+$471.98
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedNo-$1,245.04
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes+$308.54
- SSnakeBallLast tradedYes+$163.36
Ethereum Up or Down - August 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 79%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$42.82
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$14.90
- SBoneOhioLast tradedDown+$2.72
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 31%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$48.79
- SalmachLast tradedUp-$40.13
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$27.09
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on August 16?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 79%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo+$73.92
- Agod83743894Last tradedNo+$57.57
- AOnlyLuckNoBrainLast tradedNo+$48.74
Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 77%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$107.19
- Smo-moneyLast tradedDown+$70.99
- SalmachLast tradedDown+$52.36
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 44%
Profitable wallets' positions- SNM-PLast tradedNo+$483.96
- SGC-PLast tradedNo+$478.17
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$448.65
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 21%
Profitable wallets' positions- SfortunekingLast tradedUnder+$228.37
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedOver-$192.55
- SsentrioLast tradedOver-$156.55
Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 37%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp+$289.42
- SBoneOhioLast tradedDown+$24.48
- SOhioRiskManagementLast tradedUp-$21.70
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder+$493.46
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver-$308.63
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedOver-$285.19
Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 38%
Profitable wallets' positions- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp+$56.81
- Spspspsps5Last tradedDown+$37.51
- SOhioRiskManagementLast tradedUp+$17.69
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 19%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$119.47
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$88.08
- Sstd0Last tradedUp+$60.92
Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 78%
- Called
- Philadelphia Phillies
- Won
- Minnesota Twins
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedMinnesota Twins+$581.93
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedPhiladelphia Phillies-$470.67
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedPhiladelphia Phillies-$259.95
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder-$253.84
- Arabbitfoot1Last tradedUnder-$555.95
- AsslavagaLast tradedUnder-$213.73
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 87%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$51.14
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$40.30
- SOhioRiskManagementLast tradedUp+$31.54
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFlawed-TranceLast tradedUnder+$227.60
- SRN1Last tradedOver-$224.26
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$19.05
Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SalmachLast tradedUp-$49.71
- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp-$47.46
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$44.12
Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 19%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$25.15
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$15.66
- SOhioRiskManagementLast tradedUp-$14.09
Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 78%
Profitable wallets' positions- Spspspsps5Last tradedDown+$21.78
- SOhioRiskManagementLast tradedDown+$18.77
- Smo-moneyLast tradedDown+$18.70
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 16?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- A0x8e7a1d1N2KdE17a0e8Kh31F8b0F56B8dEa08ELast tradedYes+$62.65
- Ashanze8Last tradedYes+$43.73
- Aopopv3Last tradedYes-$13.43
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 26%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder-$734.58
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder-$395.19
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedOver+$267.79
- Called
- Patrick Brady
- Won
- Patrick Brady
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 88%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedPatrick Brady+$89.13
- SKnightDasCapitalLast tradedPatrick Brady+$63.36
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedPatrick Brady+$13.35
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 14 and 16 million views on day 1?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 38%
Profitable wallets' positions- AHasty-WorkerLast tradedNo-$75.12
- AplainfolderLast tradedNo-$70.09
- AWaterfallLast tradedNo+$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$174.23
- SohioismLast tradedDown+$113.10
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$51.20
Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$39.30
- SsnoopdogeLast tradedUp+$34.60
- SOhioRiskManagementLast tradedUp+$21.75
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 28%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedOver+$415.92
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder-$215.03
- SMartyMcFoxLast tradedOver+$40.34
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 73%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder-$50.28
- S38791873984189Last tradedOver+$35.14
- SNordhavenCapLast tradedOver+$26.71
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStayFocusLuiaLast tradedDown-$71.06
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$68.36
- SOhioRiskManagementLast tradedUp+$30.18
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$24.14
- Smo-moneyLast tradedDown+$17.79
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$16.13
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 16?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 83%
Profitable wallets' positions- Agodblessme2026Last tradedNo-$22.47
- BPricey-MillionLast tradedNo-$86.62
- B0x2048Last tradedNo-$4.14
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SZaiZoiBeleLast tradedUnder+$575.99
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedOver-$219.78
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$194.88
Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 47%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$103.06
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$89.65
- SBoneOhioLast tradedUp-$53.36
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 3%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedOver-$220.18
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$181.93
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver-$77.94
Ethereum Up or Down - August 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$43.74
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$14.01
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$10.07
22,723 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 34,871 more positions across 3,260 markets on this day.