Skip to content
Resolution reportSunday, August 16, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
76%
3,050 right939 wrong

All wallets: 86% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
26,864
No consensus
22,875

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 12,992 provider closure; 13,872 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$394.35
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$372.42
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$168.32
  • Esports

    Called
    Imperial
    Won
    Imperial
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$868.14
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over+$373.78
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$222.41
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Yes+$593.52
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$67.14
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes+$52.93
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$26.42
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$3.02
    • S
      UlamTriXLast traded
      No+$2.80
  • Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 8PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    59%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$139.17
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$130.72
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$115.99
  • Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$498.39
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$410.05
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Over-$245.58
  • Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • MMA

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    79%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down+$42.82
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$14.90
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Down+$2.72
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Up-$48.79
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$40.13
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$27.09
  • Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on August 16?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    79%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    77%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$107.19
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$70.99
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$52.36
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$483.96
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$478.17
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$448.65
  • Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Down+$73.02
    • S
      snoopdogeLast traded
      Down+$40.81
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Down+$19.09
  • Baseball

    Called
    Philadelphia Phillies
    Won
    Minnesota Twins
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    87%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Flawed-TranceLast traded
      Under+$227.60
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$224.26
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$19.05
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 16?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tennis

    Called
    Patrick Brady
    Won
    Patrick Brady
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    88%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 14 and 16 million views on day 1?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    73%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 16?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    83%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

22,723 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 34,871 more positions across 3,260 markets on this day.