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Resolution reportThursday, August 13, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
74%
1,584 right543 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
16,124
No consensus
13,997

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,168 provider closure; 8,956 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Exact Score: FK Termez Surkhon 2 - 3 PFC Sogdiana?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FK ML Viciebsk vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: FK ML Viciebsk 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Nordsjælland vs. KF Valur: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$73.41
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Under-$59.29
    • A
      0x0770Last traded
      Over+$2.28

  • Exact Score: PFK CSKA Sofia 0 - 2 MH Maccabi Tel Aviv?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      youngwhaleLast traded
      Yes-$91.50
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$89.56
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$8.77

  • Will FC Sheriff Tiraspol win on 2026-08-13?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$258.95
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$165.02
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$90

  • RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W15 Campos do Jordao Women: Romina Ccuno vs Victoria Luiza Barros

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Victoria Luiza Barros
    Won
    Victoria Luiza Barros
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      User7429Last traded
      Victoria Luiza Barros+$5.07
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Victoria Luiza Barros+$3.06
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Romina Ccuno+$0.50

  • Will Kai or Speed die to a ghast?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Abha Saudi Club 2 - 1 Al Hazem SC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      youngwhaleLast traded
      No+$38.60
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Yes-$4.69
    • A
      KeF666Last traded
      Yes-$52.25

  • ITF M15 Warsaw Men: Adam Majchrzak vs Leonardo Rossi

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Adam Majchrzak
    Won
    Leonardo Rossi
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Universitatea Craiova CS vs. Kuopion PS: Both Teams to Score in First Half

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$748.26
    • S
      bluddLast traded
      Yes+$22.11
    • A
      acount3Last traded
      No-$713.40

  • Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 2.4% and 2.6%?

    Right

    CPI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Tobyl FK (-2.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    FK Partizan Beograd
    Won
    FK Partizan Beograd
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Tobyl FK-$76.12
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      FK Partizan Beograd+$11.57
    • S
      Pan9XLast traded
      FK Partizan Beograd+$8.48

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Sion vs. Noah FA: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will San Marcos de Arica vs. Union San Felipe end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Orlando City SC vs. Atlético San Luis: Atlético San Luis O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Orlando City SC vs. Atlético San Luis: Atlético San Luis O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Durban City FC 2024 vs. Lamontville Golden Arrows: Draw at halftime?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: RoundsGG vs Inner Circle Academy (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    RoundsGG
    Won
    RoundsGG
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RandomGameBetLast traded
      Inner Circle Academy-$79.59
    • A
      XDDOOOGXDLast traded
      RoundsGG+$148.66
    • A
      drhouzLast traded
      RoundsGG+$71.57

  • Exact Score: Ilves Tampere 3 - 0 HNK Rijeka?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 12, 2026?

    Wrong

    AI

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      aHjCzLast traded
      Yes-$4.40
    • A
      PPMTLast traded
      Yes+$3.67
    • A
      plainfolderLast traded
      No-$3.60

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Sharky6999Last traded
      Up+$1.14
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$691.30
    • B
      FXCLast traded
      Up-$1,528.60

  • Will Francesca Hong win Waukesha County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • SE Palmeiras leading at halftime?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$1,135.65
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No+$300.17
    • A
      Xander-XXLast traded
      No+$0.63

  • Will Coco Gauff Win the WTA 1000 Toronto?

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ETO FC vs. Rīga FC: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 38°C or higher on August 12?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Hammarby Fotboll vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 13?

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Dinamo City vs. FK Auda: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees: O/U 3.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      justaluckydudeLast traded
      Over+$882.51
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under-$346.04
    • S
      torta.techLast traded
      Under-$88.88

  • Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 12?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Sal Stewart: Home Runs O/U 0.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Games Total: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      antecLast traded
      Under+$180.96
    • S
      funfactsLast traded
      Under+$62.97
    • S
      youngwhaleLast traded
      Under+$53.02

  • FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda vs. FC Twente: O/U 5.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

13,904 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 20,036 more positions across 1,749 markets on this day.

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