Skip to content
Resolution reportThursday, August 13, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
74%
1,584 right543 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
16,124
No consensus
13,997

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,168 provider closure; 8,956 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Motherwell FC vs. Helsingin JK: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$170.59
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Over+$14.86
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Over+$454.17

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Al Diraiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ETO FC vs. Rīga FC: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1 - 0 Shamrock Rovers FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      No+$37.67
    • S
      Neat-RobotLast traded
      No+$22.79
    • A
      dv-pmLast traded
      Yes-$601.73

  • Spread: CA Tigre (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Montevideo City Torque
    Won
    Montevideo City Torque
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Montevideo City Torque+$225.01
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Montevideo City Torque+$186.10
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Montevideo City Torque+$20.22

  • Coco Gauff vs. Elena Rybakina: Total Sets O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Under 2.5
    Won
    Over 2.5
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CA Tigre vs. Montevideo City Torque: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$326.14
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$203.88
    • S
      mdepay1Last traded
      Over-$10.15

  • Games Total: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      Under+$94.72
    • S
      antecLast traded
      Under+$46.12
    • A
      beeepbeepLast traded
      Under+$276.37

  • Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      am100Last traded
      Over+$431.34
    • A
      taemaxxLast traded
      Over+$11.90
    • B
      232323kkLast traded
      Over+$25.28

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$521.40
    • B
      KimPawnDenisLast traded
      Up-$52.75
    • B
      FXCLast traded
      Down+$43.92

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W35 Vigo Women: Sofia Costoulas vs Sofia Camila Rojas

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Sofia Costoulas
    Won
    Sofia Costoulas
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Sofia Costoulas+$380.90
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Sofia Costoulas+$36.11
    • A
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Sofia Costoulas+$4.39

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down on August 13?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will GamerLegion make playoffs?

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      ananistoLast traded
      Yes+$216.81
    • A
      TypeShiLast traded
      Yes+$121.22
    • A
      crckrLast traded
      Yes+$2.41

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Washington Nationals
    Won
    Washington Nationals
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Páfos FC 1 - 1 FC Red Bull Salzburg?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$130
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$130
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$30.17

  • Exact Score: Ilves Tampere 1 - 2 HNK Rijeka?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$100
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$89.49
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$84.94

  • Exact Score: Beşiktaş JK 0 - 0 FC Hradec Králové?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$331.38
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$20.44
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$20.25

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: AS Omónoia Leukosías 1 - 1 Lincoln Red Imps FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: FC Drita (-2.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    FC Drita
    Won
    FC Drita
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FK Buxoro vs. AGMK FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under-$198.09
    • A
      0x0dD9Last traded
      Over+$7.99
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Under-$82.92

  • Ilves Tampere vs. HNK Rijeka: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under-$237.15
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over-$46.18
    • A
      Xander-XXLast traded
      Under+$0.97

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Games Total: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA Mineiro: Draw at halftime?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: STATE vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    STATE
    Won
    Bushido Wildcats
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Kai or Speed die to a witch?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Orlando City SC vs. Atlético San Luis: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$233.67
    • S
      pauleta23Last traded
      Under+$1.96
    • A
      -reefLast traded
      Under+$4.85

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Tobyl FK vs. FK Partizan Beograd: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under-$236.54
    • S
      CypyaLast traded
      Over+$6.34
    • S
      Hard-IroncladLast traded
      Over+$1.07

13,904 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 20,036 more positions across 1,749 markets on this day.

Upgrade to Pro · $99/moabout $3.30/day
Developer docs