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Resolution reportThursday, August 13, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
74%
1,584 right543 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
16,124
No consensus
13,997

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,168 provider closure; 8,956 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set 2 Winner: Vukic vs Blanch

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Vukic
    Won
    Vukic
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: Qarabağ Ağdam FK O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Inter Miami CF 0 - 2 Club León FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$34.58
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$7.04
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$6.28

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: CA Platense 1 - 0 CD Coquimbo Unido?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    87%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$57.87
    • S
      youngwhaleLast traded
      No+$55.76
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$10.02

  • Spread: Universitatea Craiova CS (-2.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Kuopion PS
    Won
    Kuopion PS
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 13?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Yes+$1.44
    • B
      aspllaLast traded
      No+$29.50
    • B
      AlexD87Last traded
      No+$17.86

  • NSÍ Runavík vs. FC Lugano: Both Teams to Score

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by a cactus?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      catalanpathsLast traded
      No+$37.85
    • A
      CarLast traded
      No+$13.92
    • A
      yen4uLast traded
      No+$1.79

  • Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Luminosity make playoffs?

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Stickman22Last traded
      Yes-$115.43
    • A
      title1Last traded
      No+$49.64
    • B
      name505Last traded
      No+$157.90

  • Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs Bebop - Map 1 Winner

    No consensus

    Esports

    Won
    Bebop
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      ZeljkoLast traded
      Honvéd-$101.52
    • A
      BookWarriorLast traded
      Honvéd-$19.66
    • A
      kozelblackLast traded
      Bebop+$0.87

  • Exact Score: Deportivo Toluca FC 1 - 0 FC Dallas?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FK Dynama-Minsk vs. SC Braga: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Páfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: Draw at halftime?

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Inter Miami CF 1 - 0 Club León FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$71.42
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$66.03
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$27.36

  • Will Kai or Speed die to a phantom?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 12?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or higher on August 13?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CF Monterrey vs. Nashville SC: Nashville SC O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Seattle Sounders FC 0 - 0 CD Guadalajara?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$73.86
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Yes-$39
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Yes-$30.82

  • KF Shkëndija 79 vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: FC Nordsjælland 1 - 1 KF Valur?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No+$7.55
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$1.99
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$0.21

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Tobyl FK vs. FK Partizan Beograd: 1st Half O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over-$60.27
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$4.46
    • A
      Cactus-001Last traded
      Under+$0.90

  • Exact Score: Deportivo Toluca FC 1 - 2 FC Dallas?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$4.24
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$3.34
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Yes-$2.69

  • Will Kai or Speed die to a blaze?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Tianjin 2 Men: Matthew Dellavedova vs Matthew Shearer

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Matthew Shearer
    Won
    Matthew Dellavedova
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Matthew Shearer+$12.09
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Matthew Shearer+$6.30
    • A
      qrupLast traded
      Matthew Dellavedova+$10.20

  • NSÍ Runavík vs. FC Lugano: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 1 - 0 Club Cerro Porteño?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: FC Flora 2 - 2 Inter Club d'Escaldes?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$102.55
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$55.25
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$54.57

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Game 1: Any Player Rampage?

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    60%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • B
      Fluffy-RamenLast traded
      Yes-$104.76
    • B
      4423-mLast traded
      No+$19.53
    • B
      ALM4Last traded
      No+$19.53

  • Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      LeLynxMalynxLast traded
      Under+$6.91
    • A
      pelikLast traded
      Under+$0.20
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Over-$36.94

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$180.12
    • A
      SecondhandvinylLast traded
      Under+$13.63
    • A
      PBot-10Last traded
      Under+$1.71

  • Counter-Strike: ENCE vs ENJOY - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    ENJOY
    Won
    ENJOY
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Shelbourne FC 0 - 0 AFC Ajax?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$20.97
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$20.01
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$8.07

  • ITF W15 Astana 5 Women: Zeel Desai vs Leonie Rabl

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Zeel Desai
    Won
    Zeel Desai
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Zeel Desai+$68.99
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Leonie Rabl+$35.95
    • A
      kitopesivanLast traded
      Leonie Rabl-$177.31

  • SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño: O/U 5.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over-$426.25
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$18.03
    • S
      LeLynxMalynxLast traded
      Under+$3.90

  • First round outright winner in the SC Special Republican Senate Primary?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Cincinnati Reds
    Won
    Cincinnati Reds
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 12?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

13,904 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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