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Resolution reportThursday, August 13, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
74%
1,584 right543 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
16,124
No consensus
13,997

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,168 provider closure; 8,956 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • San Diego FC vs. Club Puebla: O/U 5.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: LEO vs Epic Avalanche - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    LEO
    Won
    LEO
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Skillcamp Esport (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Karmine Corp Blue
    Won
    Karmine Corp Blue
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GooooooollllllllllLast traded
      Karmine Corp Blue+$218.63
    • S
      youngwhaleLast traded
      Skillcamp Esport-$156.56
    • S
      antecLast traded
      Karmine Corp Blue+$51.26

  • Exact Score: PFK CSKA Sofia 3 - 3 MH Maccabi Tel Aviv?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$91.24
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      No+$7.68
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$5.36

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 4.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova Men: Izan Almazan Valiente vs Tristan McCormick

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Tristan McCormick
    Won
    Tristan McCormick
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Tristan McCormick+$466.27
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Tristan McCormick+$58.68
    • A
      kitopesivanLast traded
      Izan Almazan Valiente-$512

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Hradec Králové end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    86%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$77.89
    • S
      LilybaeumLast traded
      No+$25.93
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$16.17

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Orlando City SC 2 - 0 Atlético San Luis?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Deportivo Toluca FC 2 - 0 FC Dallas?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$59.85
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Yes-$40.98
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$12.28

  • ITF W75 Kursumlijska Banja 2 Women: Elena Milovanovic vs Darya Astakhova

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Elena Milovanovic
    Won
    Darya Astakhova
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      fortunekingLast traded
      Darya Astakhova-$211.02
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Elena Milovanovic+$38.51
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Elena Milovanovic-$13.31

  • Spread: HNK Hajduk Split (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    FK Žalgiris Vilnius
    Won
    HNK Hajduk Split
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 12?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    82%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Al Diraiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 4.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.4%?

    Right

    CPI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Kai or Speed die to a piglin?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Deportivo Toluca FC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    82%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in London be 38°C on August 13?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      No+$0.47
    • A
      plainfolderLast traded
      No-$6.35
    • A
      ghorrockLast traded
      No+$0.21

  • FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda vs. FC Twente: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$360
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under-$270.96
    • A
      Tv12345Last traded
      Over+$6.31

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Universitatea Craiova CS vs. Kuopion PS: Draw at halftime?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 8.5 Total Corners

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 12?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Hammarby Fotboll vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$58.70
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$55.55
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$48.89

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 13?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 12?

    No consensus

    Weather

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Ilves Tampere 0 - 1 HNK Rijeka?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Yes-$85.35
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$78.09
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$23.19

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Seattle Mariners
    Won
    New York Yankees
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      New York Yankees+$1,158.39
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Seattle Mariners-$889.58
    • S
      justaluckydudeLast traded
      Seattle Mariners-$263.72

  • Exact Score: Universitatea Craiova CS 0 - 1 Kuopion PS?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$45.23
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$19.68
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      No+$12.32

  • S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 13?

    Right

    SPX

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Inter Miami CF 1 - 3 Club León FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$11.51
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$9.73
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Yes-$0.56

  • Valorant: SEN Otters vs HIMMERS (BO3) - VCT Game Changers North America Group Stage

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    HIMMERS
    Won
    HIMMERS
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      rushiyaLast traded
      HIMMERS+$59.09
    • S
      madoka123Last traded
      HIMMERS+$1.49
    • A
      cbfe5306Last traded
      HIMMERS+$86.37

  • Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 2 - 1 Club Cerro Porteño?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

13,904 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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