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Resolution reportThursday, August 13, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
74%
1,584 right543 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
16,124
No consensus
13,997

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,168 provider closure; 8,956 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • CR Flamengo leading at halftime?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CF Monterrey vs. Nashville SC: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W35 Aldershot 2 Women: Emily Appleton vs Julia Avdeeva

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Julia Avdeeva
    Won
    Julia Avdeeva
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Typhoon Dolphin be a "Violent Typhoon" at Japan landfall?

    Right

    Japan

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Malmö Men: Filip Soderqvist vs William Rejchtman Vinciguerra

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Filip Soderqvist
    Won
    William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FK Dynama-Minsk vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Kai or Speed die to a pillager?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Games Total: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?

    Right

    SPX

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    60%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 12?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Inter Miami CF 3 - 1 Club León FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$79.45
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$48.85
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$45.79

  • Deportivo Toluca FC vs. FC Dallas: 1st Half O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Tromsø IL vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: Both Teams to Score

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Midtjylland leading at halftime?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    SC Braga
    Won
    FK Dynama-Minsk
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Rangers FC 2 - 1 Jagiellonia Białystok?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    73%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • AFC Ajax leading at halftime?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Teletubisie vs FaZe Up Next - Map 2 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Teletubisie
    Won
    FaZe Up Next
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RandomGameBetLast traded
      Teletubisie-$0.56
    • A
      BookWarriorLast traded
      Teletubisie-$183.05
    • A
      467j6yjLast traded
      FaZe Up Next+$17.96

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W50 Hamburg Women: Anna Siskova vs Sonja Zhenikhova

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Anna Siskova
    Won
    Anna Siskova
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Páfos FC 2 - 1 FC Red Bull Salzburg?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$80
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$68.10
    • S
      Neat-RobotLast traded
      No+$9.12

  • Exact Score: Orlando City SC 3 - 0 Atlético San Luis?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$67.16
    • S
      SyrrokLast traded
      Under+$0.03
    • A
      ZeljkoLast traded
      Over-$100.65

  • RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SmallcoinsLast traded
      Under-$1,180.95
    • S
      Flawed-TranceLast traded
      Over+$1,108.09
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      Under-$171.52

  • Games Total: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • National Bank Open (Doubles): Siniakova/Zhang vs Mihalikova/Nicholls

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Siniakova/Zhang
    Won
    Siniakova/Zhang
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      qrupLast traded
      Siniakova/Zhang+$75.74
    • B
      earthisgoodLast traded
      Siniakova/Zhang+$82.40
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Mihalikova/Nicholls-$12.30

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      cc9999Last traded
      Down+$0.07
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$202.71
    • A
      c4acapLast traded
      Down+$5.10

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      En111006Last traded
      Up+$29.02
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$20.59
    • B
      xxxlllLast traded
      Up+$48.87

  • Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Górnik Zabrze 1 - 0 Ferencvárosi TC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes-$96.08
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$19.20
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$13.33

  • Will Kīlauea's Episode 53 begin August 13 or later?

    Right

    Science

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • B
      ZorroDeLaVegaLast traded
      Yes-$134.33
    • B
      MysariaLast traded
      No-$43.60
    • B
      AJSVLast traded
      Yes+$29.34

  • Tobyl FK vs. FK Partizan Beograd: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$89.12
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over-$46.51
    • S
      SyrrokLast traded
      Under+$0.95

  • SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño: O/U 9.5 Total Corners

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    FaZe
    Won
    FaZe
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: CF Monterrey 3 - 1 Nashville SC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$104.68
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$11.30
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Yes-$4.35

  • ITF M15 Trier Men: Thanaphat Boosarawongse vs Marcel Zielinski

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Marcel Zielinski
    Won
    Marcel Zielinski
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Thanaphat Boosarawongse-$157.71
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Marcel Zielinski+$3.92
    • A
      RadioFreeZergLast traded
      Marcel Zielinski+$24.80

13,904 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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