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Resolution reportThursday, August 13, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
74%
1,584 right543 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
16,124
No consensus
13,997

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,168 provider closure; 8,956 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • ITF M25 Koksijde Men: Geoffrey Blancaneaux vs Noah Schlagenhauf

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Geoffrey Blancaneaux
    Won
    Geoffrey Blancaneaux
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Geoffrey Blancaneaux+$950.61
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Geoffrey Blancaneaux-$0.62
    • A
      HarryRitterLast traded
      Noah Schlagenhauf-$63.92

  • ITF M15 Warsaw Men: Luc Fomba vs Filip Peliwo

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Luc Fomba
    Won
    Luc Fomba
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Deportivo Toluca FC vs. FC Dallas: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Map Handicap: ex-RUSTEC (-1.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Bushido Wildcats
    Won
    Bushido Wildcats
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on August 12?

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: AS Omónoia Leukosías 2 - 1 Lincoln Red Imps FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: QUINTESSÊNCIA vs Back to Back - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    QUINTESSÊNCIA
    Won
    QUINTESSÊNCIA
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RandomGameBetLast traded
      QUINTESSÊNCIA-$129.72
    • A
      467j6yjLast traded
      Back to Back -$794.16
    • A
      BookWarriorLast traded
      Back to Back +$348.35

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: NightBirds vs eSuba - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    NightBirds
    Won
    NightBirds
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Los Angeles FC vs. Querétaro FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: CA Platense 1 - 1 CD Coquimbo Unido?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set 1 Winner: Tirante vs Choinski

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Tirante
    Won
    Tirante
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    82%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: CF Monterrey 1 - 1 Nashville SC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$453.97
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$128.01
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Yes-$89.02

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: FC St. Gallen (-2.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    FC St. Gallen
    Won
    FC St. Gallen
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      FC St. Gallen+$253.22
    • A
      sntoloLast traded
      FC St. Gallen+$33.30
    • B
      NatoAlfistaLast traded
      FC St. Gallen+$149.35

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Seattle Sounders FC vs. CD Guadalajara: CD Guadalajara O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over-$181.56
    • A
      acount3Last traded
      Under+$86.22
    • A
      qrupLast traded
      Under+$15.18

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC: Lincoln Red Imps FC O/U 0.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      Under+$535.74
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over-$189.91
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over-$101.62

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Trier Men: Adrian Oetzbach vs Thiago Cigarran

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Adrian Oetzbach
    Won
    Adrian Oetzbach
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Adrian Oetzbach+$437.61
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Adrian Oetzbach+$131.68
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Thiago Cigarran-$56.57

  • ITF W75 Kursumlijska Banja 2 Women: Lea Boskovic vs Katarina Zavatska

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Katarina Zavatska
    Won
    Katarina Zavatska
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Boston Red Sox
    Won
    Boston Red Sox
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Toronto Blue Jays-$1,385.25
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Boston Red Sox+$1,335.45
    • S
      Adorable-AcquaintanceLast traded
      Toronto Blue Jays-$479.45

  • Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 0.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • San Diego FC vs. Club Puebla: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Men: Vuk Radjenovic vs Ognjen Milic

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Ognjen Milic
    Won
    Vuk Radjenovic
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Ognjen Milic-$442.61
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Ognjen Milic-$191.36
    • A
      HarryRitterLast traded
      Vuk Radjenovic+$203.56

  • Spread: CF Monterrey (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    CF Monterrey
    Won
    Nashville SC
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      CF Monterrey-$21.63
    • A
      kitopesivanLast traded
      Nashville SC+$21.84
    • B
      dips.Last traded
      Nashville SC+$248.75

  • Burruchaga vs. Struff: Match O/U 22.5

    No consensus

    Tennis

    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Under-$45.68
    • A
      simbichLast traded
      Over+$0.34
    • A
      pelikLast traded
      Over+$0.15

  • WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 13?

    Right

    Finance

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      C03BLast traded
      Up-$595.87
    • A
      PBot-10Last traded
      Down+$504.51
    • B
      Paul973973Last traded
      Down+$438.96

  • Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 17.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Union San Felipe win on 2026-08-12?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W35 Vigo Women: Britt Du Pree vs Arantxa Rus

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Arantxa Rus
    Won
    Britt Du Pree
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Arantxa Rus-$348.23
    • A
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Britt Du Pree+$766.30
    • B
      igloooLast traded
      Arantxa Rus-$89.58

  • Julie Allemand: Rebounds O/U 2.5

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 0 - 0 CR Flamengo?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$119.93
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$110
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$11.46

  • CF Monterrey vs. Nashville SC: Nashville SC O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 17.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by December 31?

    Wrong

    Recurring

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    25%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

13,904 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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