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Resolution reportTuesday, August 11, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
74%
1,158 right414 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
13,450
No consensus
11,878

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 5,688 provider closure; 7,762 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: FK Kauno Žalgiris 2 - 0 GNK Dinamo Zagreb?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$15
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$14.92
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$5.97

  • FK Crvena zvezda vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: O/U 10.5 Total Corners

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Libertad Loja 3 - 2 CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ezi Magbegor: Points O/U 6.5

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Palermo FC 0 - 1 Juventus Turin?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on August 10?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on August 11?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 11?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      No-$3.54
    • B
      aspllaLast traded
      No+$34.53
    • B
      yyyykkLast traded
      Yes+$0.21

  • Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in July 2026?

    Right

    Science

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Helsingborgs IF vs. IFK Varnamo: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 East Lansing Men: Axel Nefve vs Alexander Petrov

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Axel Nefve
    Won
    Axel Nefve
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Axel Nefve+$84.75
    • A
      qrupLast traded
      Axel Nefve+$10
    • B
      IONUTLast traded
      Alexander Petrov-$123.24

  • ITF M25 East Lansing Men: Colson Wells vs Jelani Sarr

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Jelani Sarr
    Won
    Jelani Sarr
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Jelani Sarr+$23.27
    • A
      qrupLast traded
      Jelani Sarr+$4.95
    • A
      pelikLast traded
      Jelani Sarr+$0.10

  • Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during Tele-Rally?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • B
      0x234Last traded
      Yes+$202.31
    • B
      smellyEllieLast traded
      No-$175.37
    • B
      solomilloLast traded
      Yes+$0.24

  • Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    RU Saint-Gilloise
    Won
    RU Saint-Gilloise
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 11?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Lions FC 1 - 2 Melbourne City FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on August 11?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 10?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF Muttenz: Kai Wehnelt vs Thomas Gunzinger

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Kai Wehnelt
    Won
    Kai Wehnelt
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Kai Wehnelt+$14.24
    • A
      temparalLast traded
      Kai Wehnelt+$2.90
    • B
      p5l5x7Last traded
      Kai Wehnelt+$8

  • Exact Score: ŠK Slovan Bratislava 1 - 1 Mjällby AIF?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on August 10?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Pakhtakor vs. Al Hussein Irbid: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Al Jazira (UAE) vs. Al-Ittihad Club: O/U 5.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 10?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Sabah FK vs. Aarhus GF: Aarhus GF O/U 0.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over-$61.57
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Under+$105.59
    • B
      negozeLast traded
      Over-$19.64

  • Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 11?

    No consensus

    Weather

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 11?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: ŠK Slovan Bratislava 3 - 0 Mjällby AIF?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      No+$14.07
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$9.18
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$0.79

  • Exact Score: ŠK Slovan Bratislava 2 - 2 Mjällby AIF?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$11.17
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$7.39
    • B
      lbtradingLast traded
      No+$5

  • Set 1 Winner: Almeida vs Broska

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Almeida
    Won
    Almeida
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: FK Kauno Žalgiris 2 - 3 GNK Dinamo Zagreb?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set 2 Winner: Darderi vs Nakashima

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Nakashima
    Won
    Nakashima
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      zxc368Last traded
      Nakashima+$0.06
    • B
      NlxxLast traded
      Darderi-$63.64
    • B
      SomonGLast traded
      Nakashima+$40.27

  • ITF W35 Aldershot 2 Women: Anastasia Abbagnato vs Edie Griffiths

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Anastasia Abbagnato
    Won
    Edie Griffiths
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CD Cuenca vs. Manta FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W35 Aldershot 2 Women: Eliz Maloney vs Alice Gillan

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Eliz Maloney
    Won
    Eliz Maloney
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 11?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Hikaru Nakamura finish in the Top 8 of Titled Tuesday on August 11?

    No consensus

    Sports

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 11?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 11?

    No consensus

    Weather

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Sabah FK vs. Aarhus GF: Both Teams to Score in First Half

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: NEC 0 - 1 Olympiakós SFP?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Lions FC 0 - 3 Melbourne City FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in July 2026?

    No consensus

    Science

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CD Cuenca vs. Manta FC: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

11,795 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 11,438 more positions across 1,274 markets on this day.

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