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Resolution reportTuesday, August 11, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
74%
1,158 right414 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
13,450
No consensus
11,878

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 5,688 provider closure; 7,762 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will XRP dip to $1.00 in August?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs Inner Circle Academy (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Inner Circle Academy
    Won
    Inner Circle Academy
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FK CSKA 1948 Sofia vs. Panathinaikós AO: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 11?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Caracas FC vs. Deportivo La Guaira: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over+$44.61
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Over+$12.93
    • B
      mpdhLast traded
      Over+$0.30

  • Libertad Loja vs. CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 10?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Game 1: Any Player Rampage?

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Olympique Lyonnais vs. AC Sparta Praha: 1st Half O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 11?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 11?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Libertad Loja (-2.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador
    Won
    CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador+$22.76
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador+$27.75
    • B
      lIllIlllIlIlLast traded
      CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador+$0.17

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Games Total: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Apóllon Lemesoú 0 - 1 SK Brann?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" during Tele-Rally?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • NK Celje vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: Team to Advance

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    NK Celje
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      LeLynxMalynxLast traded
      Ararat-Armenia FA-$51.16
    • A
      tiago1878Last traded
      NK Celje+$3.75
    • A
      Xander-XXLast traded
      NK Celje+$1.29

  • Spread: MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva (-2.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    FK Crvena zvezda
    Won
    FK Crvena zvezda
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      FK Crvena zvezda+$1.17
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva+$0.62
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      FK Crvena zvezda+$43.36

  • Counter-Strike: FAST LAYNERS vs EvolupeGG (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    EvolupeGG
    Won
    FAST LAYNERS
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs PENSIONERS (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Fire Flux Esports
    Won
    Fire Flux Esports
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RandomGameBetLast traded
      Fire Flux Esports+$38.01
    • B
      InterzoneCoLast traded
      Fire Flux Esports+$3.26
    • B
      ResignationLast traded
      Fire Flux Esports+$3.22

  • FK Bodø/Glimt vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: RU Saint-Gilloise O/U 0.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: FK Crvena zvezda 3 - 3 MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C on August 11?

    No consensus

    Weather

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. Mjällby AIF: 1st Half O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      Under+$15.83
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$12.61
    • A
      RadioFreeZergLast traded
      Under+$15.35

  • Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on August 11?

    No consensus

    Weather

    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Tianjin 2 Men: Venedikt Tsirikidze vs Ruochen Gao

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Venedikt Tsirikidze
    Won
    Venedikt Tsirikidze
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Venedikt Tsirikidze+$97.02
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Ruochen Gao-$54.47
    • B
      lIllIlllIlIlLast traded
      Venedikt Tsirikidze+$0.21

  • ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. Mjällby AIF: Both Teams to Score in First Half

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: KR Reykjavik (-2.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    KR Reykjavik
    Won
    KR Reykjavik
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      KR Reykjavik-$6.33
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Fram Reykjavik-$28.21
    • B
      nemesis18Last traded
      Fram Reykjavik-$7.71

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$39.60
    • A
      c4acapLast traded
      Down+$1.45
    • B
      norm1e69Last traded
      Up-$0.59

  • Will MrBeast's next video get at least 56 million views on day 3?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Kruger United win on 2026-08-11?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: CA Unión 1 - 1 CA Central Córdoba?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: 1st Half O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set 1 Winner: Perricard vs Svajda

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Perricard
    Won
    Svajda
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W35 Aldershot 2 Women: Ankita Raina vs Emily Appleton

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Emily Appleton
    Won
    Emily Appleton
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • AO Tríkala vs. AE Lárisas 1964: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$34.95
    • B
      fcddLast traded
      Under+$3.19
    • B
      solomilloLast traded
      Under+$0.09

  • Libertad Loja vs. CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador: Both Teams to Score in First Half

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FK CSKA 1948 Sofia vs. Panathinaikós AO: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 11?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on August 11?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Palermo FC 2 - 2 Juventus Turin?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 11?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 50+ bps at the August 2026 meeting?

    Wrong

    World

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

11,795 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 11,438 more positions across 1,274 markets on this day.

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