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Resolution reportTuesday, August 11, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
74%
1,158 right414 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
13,450
No consensus
11,878

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 5,688 provider closure; 7,762 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Exact Score: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz 1 - 2 Fenerbahçe SK?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Pakhtakor (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Pakhtakor
    Won
    Pakhtakor
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Pakhtakor+$99.50
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Pakhtakor+$79.31
    • A
      kitopesivanLast traded
      Al Hussein Irbid-$72.32

  • Will "The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 11?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set 1 Winner: Gogineni vs Virtanen

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Virtanen
    Won
    Virtanen
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Over $3M committed to the Ryvo public sale?

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: NEC 3 - 3 Olympiakós SFP?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • SK Iberia 1999 vs. Larne FC: SK Iberia 1999 O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$58.72
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$21.18
    • A
      acount3Last traded
      Under+$17.10

  • Will "The Bombing of Pan Am 103: Limited Series" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 11?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • NK Celje vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Shri Thanedar win the MI-13 Democratic primary by at least 16%?

    No consensus

    Politics

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FK Crvena zvezda vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over-$72.96
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over-$67.81
    • A
      acount3Last traded
      Under+$52.57

  • SD Raiders FC vs. Macarthur FC: Macarthur FC O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$113.23
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$52.40
    • A
      FinHealLast traded
      Over-$80.14

  • Set Handicap: Alexandrova (-1.5) vs Svitolina (+1.5)

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Alexandrova
    Won
    Svitolina
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Svitolina+$841.43
    • A
      DCAAALast traded
      Alexandrova-$537.43
    • B
      888ballLast traded
      Alexandrova-$220

  • Al Jazira (UAE) vs. Al-Ittihad Club: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FK Kauno Žalgiris leading at halftime?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • AO Tríkala vs. AE Lárisas 1964: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FK CSKA 1948 Sofia vs. Panathinaikós AO: FK CSKA 1948 Sofia O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 East Lansing Men: Tyler Bowers vs Zachary Fuchs

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Tyler Bowers
    Won
    Tyler Bowers
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • SD Raiders FC vs. Macarthur FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      EH-1Last traded
      Under-$95.46
    • A
      Trotz.85Last traded
      Over+$37.03
    • B
      MuneerLast traded
      Under-$21

  • RU Saint-Gilloise leading at halftime?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 11?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Helsingborgs IF vs. IFK Varnamo: Both Teams to Score

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Yes+$38.99
    • A
      MEK9Last traded
      Yes+$0.70
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      No-$108.64

  • Exact Score: FK CSKA 1948 Sofia 0 - 0 Panathinaikós AO?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on August 11?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set 1 Winner: Fomin vs Zhukov

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Fomin
    Won
    Fomin
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 10?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C or below on August 11?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valorant: MIBR GC vs GATO PENSANTE? (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Brazil Final Stage Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    MIBR GC
    Won
    MIBR GC
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 10, 2026?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 11?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Game 2: Any Player Rampage?

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • B
      justinadamiLast traded
      No+$27.04
    • B
      alm3Last traded
      No+$20.58
    • B
      4423-mLast traded
      No+$13.71

11,795 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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