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Resolution reportTuesday, August 11, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
74%
1,158 right414 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
13,450
No consensus
11,878

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 5,688 provider closure; 7,762 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • SD Raiders FC vs. Macarthur FC: Both Teams to Score

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 10?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Gangwon FC vs. Gamba Osaka: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on August 11?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 1PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. Mjällby AIF: ŠK Slovan Bratislava O/U 5.5 Corners

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    New York Mets
    Won
    New York Mets
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      New York Mets+$306.53
    • S
      Pan9XLast traded
      New York Mets+$7.17
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Atlanta Braves-$149.42

  • SD Raiders FC vs. Macarthur FC: SD Raiders FC O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: NK Celje (-2.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Ararat-Armenia FA
    Won
    Ararat-Armenia FA
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Ararat-Armenia FA+$86.55
    • A
      kitopesivanLast traded
      Ararat-Armenia FA+$22.81
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Ararat-Armenia FA+$51.60

  • Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 11?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down on August 11?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Helsingborgs IF (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    IFK Varnamo
    Won
    IFK Varnamo
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-6.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Arizona Diamondbacks
    Won
    Arizona Diamondbacks
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Warsaw Men, Qualifying: Completed Match: Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei vs Piotr Siekanowicz

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. Mjällby AIF: Team to Advance

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    ŠK Slovan Bratislava
    Won
    ŠK Slovan Bratislava
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      ŠK Slovan Bratislava+$17.50
    • A
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      ŠK Slovan Bratislava-$11.15
    • B
      mr-sarkozyLast traded
      ŠK Slovan Bratislava+$136.52

  • SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 13.5 Total Corners

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$74.66
    • A
      RadioFreeZergLast traded
      Under+$22.40
    • B
      ZIMA5Last traded
      Under+$44.80

  • Will Anapolis FC GO vs. Guarani FC SP end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W15 Astana 5 Women: Anjali Rathi vs Eunchae Kim

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Eunchae Kim
    Won
    Eunchae Kim
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Anapolis FC GO vs. Guarani FC SP: O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: CA Unión 3 - 3 CA Central Córdoba?

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Yes-$18.83
    • A
      aHjCzLast traded
      No-$110.07
    • A
      pelikLast traded
      No+$3

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: FK Crvena zvezda 0 - 2 MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set Handicap: Sun (-1.5) vs Nurlanuly (+1.5)

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Sun
    Won
    Nurlanuly
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: CA Belgrano (-2.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    CA Banfield
    Won
    CA Banfield
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      CA Banfield+$7.04
    • S
      LeLynxMalynxLast traded
      CA Banfield+$3.28
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      CA Banfield+$110.39

  • CA Banfield vs. CA Belgrano: CA Belgrano O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over+$289.50
    • A
      acount3Last traded
      Under-$173.62
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Under-$233.43

  • Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • SD Raiders FC vs. Macarthur FC: Macarthur FC O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$191.31
    • A
      FinHealLast traded
      Under+$2.14
    • B
      ZIMA5Last traded
      Over-$78.73

  • S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 11?

    Wrong

    SPX

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will "My Life with the Walter Boys: Season 3" be the top global Netflix show this week?

    No consensus

    Culture

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: CA Unión 0 - 3 CA Central Córdoba?

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Qairat FK 1 - 3 PFK Levski Sofia?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$43.61
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$4.59
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Yes-$72.09

  • Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on August 11?

    No consensus

    Weather

    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ekaterina Alexandrova vs. Elina Svitolina: Total Sets O/U 2.5

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Over 2.5
    Won
    Over 2.5
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

11,795 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 11,438 more positions across 1,274 markets on this day.

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