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Resolution reportTuesday, August 11, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
74%
1,158 right414 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
13,450
No consensus
11,878

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 5,688 provider closure; 7,762 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Gabriel Hughes: Strikeouts O/U 3.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • National Bank Open (Doubles): Luz/Matos vs Andreozzi/Guinard

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Luz/Matos
    Won
    Luz/Matos
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Lions FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 4.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$331.51
    • B
      77558Last traded
      Down-$134.36
    • B
      blockbunnyLast traded
      Up+$35.94

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Baam Esports vs GnG Amazigh (BO3) - Arabian League Group Stage

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Baam Esports
    Won
    Baam Esports
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Baam Esports+$262.80
    • A
      Naive-BladeLast traded
      Baam Esports+$310.59
    • A
      AIlukaLast traded
      GnG Amazigh-$158.72

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 1AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 10PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valorant: SwimTrek Blue vs HIMMERS (BO3) - VCT Game Changers North America Group Stage

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    SwimTrek Blue
    Won
    SwimTrek Blue
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: NEC 2 - 0 Olympiakós SFP?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$537.03
    • S
      Neat-RobotLast traded
      No+$17.10
    • A
      dizzyLast traded
      No+$160.27

  • Darderi vs. Nakashima: Match O/U 23.5

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Minnesota Twins (-4.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Minnesota Twins
    Won
    Baltimore Orioles
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Minnesota Twins-$271.19
    • S
      justaluckydudeLast traded
      Minnesota Twins-$84.34
    • B
      dyn6344Last traded
      Baltimore Orioles+$0.65

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Sepsi OSK 0 - 0 FCSB?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • NK Celje vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: NK Celje 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$209.62
    • A
      acount3Last traded
      Over-$658.46
    • B
      mr-sarkozyLast traded
      Under+$130.72

  • Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FK Crvena zvezda vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: 1st Half O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Palermo FC 0 - 2 Juventus Turin?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • SD Raiders FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 11AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: FK Kauno Žalgiris 0 - 0 GNK Dinamo Zagreb?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$308.66
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$18.96
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$10.20

  • New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 15.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Mensik (+1.5)

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Shelton
    Won
    Shelton
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FK Bodø/Glimt vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 10.5 Total Corners

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Warsaw Men: Michael Gloeckler vs Vincent Reisach

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Michael Gloeckler
    Won
    Vincent Reisach
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Michael Gloeckler-$252.65
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Michael Gloeckler-$58.30
    • A
      NeedForDeadLast traded
      Vincent Reisach+$61.17

  • Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Prospect vs ENCE Prospects - Map 2 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    ENCE Prospects
    Won
    Inner Circle Prospect
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: FK Bodø/Glimt 1 - 2 RU Saint-Gilloise?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on August 11?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 11?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W15 Bucharest 3 Women: Alesia Breaz vs Angelica Raggi

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Angelica Raggi
    Won
    Angelica Raggi
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Angelica Raggi+$659.08
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Alesia Breaz-$487.48
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Angelica Raggi+$44.18

  • ITF M25 East Lansing Men: Jerry Roddick vs Joshua Peck

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Jerry Roddick
    Won
    Joshua Peck
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Jerry Roddick-$277.43
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Jerry Roddick-$114.13
    • A
      NeedForDeadLast traded
      Joshua Peck+$176.47

  • Al Jazira (UAE) vs. Al-Ittihad Club: O/U 4.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: SK Brann (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Apóllon Lemesoú
    Won
    Apóllon Lemesoú
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      KnightDasCapitalLast traded
      Apóllon Lemesoú+$94.24
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Apóllon Lemesoú+$82.47
    • B
      kiwi.beanLast traded
      Apóllon Lemesoú+$20.86

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: FK Crvena zvezda 2 - 0 MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$162.91
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$37.24
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$13.17

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Targu Jiu Men: Nicolo Toffanin vs Odysseas Geladaris

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Odysseas Geladaris
    Won
    Odysseas Geladaris
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Odysseas Geladaris+$156.50
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Odysseas Geladaris+$26.60
    • A
      pelikLast traded
      Odysseas Geladaris+$0.84

11,795 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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