Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
All wallets: 88% on the same markets.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 13,450
- No consensus
- 11,878
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 5,688 provider closure; 7,762 first observed.
Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.
Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 11?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- APontiusPilateLast tradedNo-$93.10
- Bsleeper-serviceLast tradedYes+$99.47
- BGUZMANYGOMEZLast tradedYes+$3.72
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on August 10?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo+$0.55
- APPMTLast tradedNo+$3.45
- BAlexD87Last tradedNo+$4.44
Will Khamenei post 25-29 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- AplainfolderLast tradedNo-$1.20
- A613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last tradedYes-$0.25
- BnorthdrawerLast tradedNo-$9.17
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on August 10?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- AOraculumNobiusLast tradedNo+$0.11
- Bsleeper-serviceLast tradedYes-$114.33
- B42012Last tradedNo+$104.05
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$3.50
- SwapolLast tradedNo+$2.36
- SGC-PLast tradedNo+$0.94
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 11?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- APure-EyelinerLast tradedNo-$2.68
- BKickstandBotLast tradedNo+$6.08
- BneverhackmeLast tradedNo+$4.16
- Called
- Dorian Tremblay
- Won
- Dorian Tremblay
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedSamuel Rovai-$109.36
- SRN1Last tradedDorian Tremblay+$102.39
- SilovetennisLast tradedDorian Tremblay+$1.50
- Called
- Juventus Turin
- Won
- Juventus Turin
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedPalermo FC-$157.50
- Slukibazdonauki754Last tradedJuventus Turin+$96.39
- AHugin-og-MuninLast tradedJuventus Turin+$66.56
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 11?
No consensus- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- BdonthackmeLast tradedNo-$26.29
- Bsleeper-serviceLast tradedYes+$19.46
- BlIllIlllIlIlLast tradedYes+$0.53
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 11?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- BWhole-ChallengeLast tradedYes-$121.56
- BCommon-GirdleLast tradedNo+$69.44
- BEach-CaliberLast tradedNo+$44.09
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 11?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- Bsleeper-serviceLast tradedYes-$4.72
- BneverhackmeLast tradedNo+$4.23
- BplanktonXDLast tradedYes+$3.87
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Spolika72Last tradedOver-$3.65
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedOver+$0.70
- AWilling-TeacherLast tradedOver-$28.45
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 85%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder+$16.95
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$6.98
- SwapolLast tradedUnder+$4.48
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 11?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- BGUZMANYGOMEZLast tradedNo+$2.91
- BBeginnersLuck2Last tradedNo+$0.79
- Basdfasdf111Last tradedYes+$0.65
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 46%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedOver-$258.92
- SSnakeBallLast tradedOver-$78.24
- APBot-10Last tradedUnder+$24.89
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the August 2026 meeting?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- A613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last tradedYes+$102.31
- AaHjCzLast tradedYes-$64.04
- BnorthdrawerLast tradedNo-$25.98
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$362.69
- SRN1Last tradedNo+$359.57
- SLeLynxMalynxLast tradedNo+$6.25
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedYes-$96.69
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$86.30
- SGC-PLast tradedNo+$4.58
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SGC-PLast tradedNo+$1.08
- SNM-PLast tradedNo+$0.61
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$0.06
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$0.03
- A613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last tradedYes+$0.38
- ByuretskyivLast tradedNo+$2.07
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 11?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- AOraculumNobiusLast tradedNo+$1.19
- Basdfasdf111Last tradedYes+$1.50
- BtuterwLast tradedNo-$0.88
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on August 10?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 25%
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SNM-PLast tradedNo+$70
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$44.97
- SGC-PLast tradedYes-$9.66
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$2,885.26
- SNeat-RobotLast tradedNo+$165.06
- Sforecastication4Last tradedNo+$156.87
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 10?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AaapangLast tradedYes-$2,496.77
- A613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last tradedYes+$0.23
- BWhole-ChallengeLast tradedYes-$23.06
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 10?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AaapangLast tradedYes-$2,500
- A2B9SLast tradedYes-$10.15
- A613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last tradedYes+$0.23
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUnder+$2,137.78
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedUnder+$71.47
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder+$34.45
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder-$1,966.41
- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder-$218.65
- AwesolyjasiuLast tradedOver+$10.72
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes+$639.79
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo-$66.54
- B0x5be9…ef2bLast tradedYes+$664.38
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$145.66
- Aacount3Last tradedOver-$1,072.05
- BswisstonyLast tradedUnder+$4.76
- Called
- Zhu
- Won
- Zhu
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedZhu+$662.74
- ADCAAALast tradedZhu+$222.27
- BtnotmotnotgwcrfLast tradedZhu+$25.44
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedOver+$385.15
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedOver+$7.77
- BswisstonyLast tradedOver+$476.14
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBarren-MorbidityLast tradedOver+$135
- SGooooooollllllllllLast tradedOver+$73.07
- ANaive-BladeLast tradedOver+$660.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedDown+$603
- BfrozenriverLast tradedDown+$148.10
- BLaurenmanLast tradedDown+$61.71
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder+$411
- ARadioFreeZergLast tradedUnder+$101.08
- Bkiwi.beanLast tradedUnder+$265.14
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ARadioFreeZergLast tradedUnder-$53.66
- Bx67dsh3Last tradedUnder-$430
- Btdolf14Last tradedUnder-$258
- Called
- Jodar
- Won
- Jodar
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- Szxc368Last tradedJodar+$1.16
- BDrStatisticsLast tradedFils-$704.99
- B0xc74a…25a2Last tradedJodar+$7.95
- Called
- Colorado Rockies
- Won
- Arizona Diamondbacks
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedColorado Rockies-$1,033.12
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedArizona Diamondbacks+$690.12
- S0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedColorado Rockies-$332.78
Ethereum Up or Down - August 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedUp+$414.10
- S38791873984189Last tradedUp+$156.86
- ABonereaperLast tradedUp+$69.36
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 78%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedNo-$341.65
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo-$233.88
- BsaezzzLast tradedYes-$30.36
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$259.65
- ACactus-001Last tradedNo+$0.15
- BswisstonyLast tradedYes-$306.73
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedYes-$611.08
- S38791873984189Last tradedNo+$26.39
- BpxxpLast tradedNo+$33.66
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedDown+$90.47
- ABonereaperLast tradedUp+$72.35
- BRevolving-DescriptionLast tradedUp-$698.36
Ethereum Up or Down - August 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedUp+$362.34
- AMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$5.03
- BNo-body1234Last tradedUp+$154.67
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Right- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- BlmtscaptLast tradedUnder-$503.16
- BSqueaky-GokartLast tradedOver+$1.23
- BInterzoneCoLast tradedOver+$0.96
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SLeLynxMalynxLast tradedUnder+$93.61
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder+$67.69
- ANotradecopyLast tradedUnder+$320.45
- Called
- Lions FC
- Won
- Lions FC
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedLions FC+$364.44
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedMelbourne City FC-$68
- Aomnibus-076daaLast tradedLions FC+$177.44
11,795 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 11,438 more positions across 1,274 markets on this day.