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Resolution reportTuesday, August 11, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
74%
1,158 right414 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
13,450
No consensus
11,878

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 5,688 provider closure; 7,762 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on August 11?

    Right

    Finance

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      PBot-10Last traded
      Down+$18.79
    • A
      C03BLast traded
      Down+$11.98
    • B
      jeevLast traded
      Up+$25.32

  • Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on August 11?

    No consensus

    Weather

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Pyramid IV Esports vs 3BL Esports - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Pyramid IV Esports
    Won
    Pyramid IV Esports
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      3BL Esports-$775.19
    • S
      am100Last traded
      Pyramid IV Esports+$107.21
    • A
      Naive-BladeLast traded
      Pyramid IV Esports+$718.25

  • ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. Mjällby AIF: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 11?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 11?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: ŠK Slovan Bratislava 1 - 2 Mjällby AIF?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      No+$27.08
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$20.77
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$1.84

  • Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 11?

    No consensus

    Weather

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will "Let's Marry Harry: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Olympique Lyonnais vs. AC Sparta Praha: Olympique Lyonnais O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 10?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Hikaru Nakamura win Titled Tuesday on August 11?

    Right

    Sports

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF Turku: Stian Klaassen vs Arvid Nordquist

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Arvid Nordquist
    Won
    Arvid Nordquist
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Stian Klaassen-$51.63
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Arvid Nordquist+$40.57
    • A
      clownlyLast traded
      Arvid Nordquist+$45.69

  • Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 11?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: AO Tríkala 0 - 2 AE Lárisas 1964?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Londrina EC leading at halftime?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will MrBeast's next video get between 52 and 53 million views on day 3?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 11?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: ODDIK Academy vs Patins da Ferrari (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #2 Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Patins da Ferrari
    Won
    Patins da Ferrari
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Libertad Loja vs. CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 Asuncion Men: Nicolas Zanellato vs Jackson Pereira Xavier

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Nicolas Zanellato
    Won
    Nicolas Zanellato
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      VTL777Last traded
      Nicolas Zanellato+$24.42
    • A
      temparalLast traded
      Nicolas Zanellato+$2.89
    • A
      pelikLast traded
      Nicolas Zanellato+$0.95

  • Spread: RU Saint-Gilloise (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    FK Bodø/Glimt
    Won
    FK Bodø/Glimt
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      RU Saint-Gilloise-$161.82
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      FK Bodø/Glimt+$15.57
    • A
      Medoed69Last traded
      FK Bodø/Glimt+$109.03

  • Macarthur FC leading at halftime?

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: United Arab Emirates vs Canada - Who wins the toss?

    Right

    Cricket

    Called
    Canada
    Won
    Canada
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W15 Bucharest 3 Women: Alexia Clara Adascalitei vs Aurora Urso

    No consensus

    Tennis

    Won
    Alexia Clara Adascalitei
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Aurora Urso+$22.17
    • A
      temparalLast traded
      Alexia Clara Adascalitei+$2.02
    • B
      iesdLast traded
      Alexia Clara Adascalitei+$0.69

  • MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva leading at halftime?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will another outcome occur in the NY-07 Democratic Primary?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: CD Santa Clara 3 - 0 CD Nacional?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$14.57
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$4.24
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$3.97

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs A Great Chaos (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

    No consensus

    Esports

    Won
    XI Esport
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 11?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      PBot-10Last traded
      Yes+$11.97
    • A
      nonkenny90Last traded
      Yes+$1.29
    • B
      ZZXZZLast traded
      Yes+$5.40

  • CD Cuenca vs. Manta FC: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs pugdesonesto - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    pugdesonesto
    Won
    pugdesonesto
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Tianjin 2 Men: Seongwoo Cho vs Woong BI Lee

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Seongwoo Cho
    Won
    Seongwoo Cho
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Woong BI Lee-$23.96
    • A
      0x5317…9a3bLast traded
      Seongwoo Cho+$4.68
    • A
      pelikLast traded
      Seongwoo Cho+$1

  • Spread: Ararat-Armenia FA (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    NK Celje
    Won
    NK Celje
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    85%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      NK Celje+$9.73
    • S
      Neat-RobotLast traded
      NK Celje+$5.75
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      NK Celje+$4.50

  • Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: FK Crvena zvezda 3 - 1 MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W35 Aldershot 2 Women: Clara Vlasselaer vs Julia Avdeeva

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Julia Avdeeva
    Won
    Julia Avdeeva
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during Tele-Rally?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 11?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

11,795 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 11,438 more positions across 1,274 markets on this day.

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