Skip to content
Resolution reportTuesday, August 11, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
74%
1,158 right414 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
13,450
No consensus
11,878

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 5,688 provider closure; 7,762 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Lions FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF Turku: Emile Hudd vs Iiro Vasa

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Emile Hudd
    Won
    Emile Hudd
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Emile Hudd+$305.37
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Iiro Vasa-$246.61
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Emile Hudd+$39.15

  • Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 11?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 10?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on August 11?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Baam Esports vs GnG Amazigh - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Baam Esports
    Won
    Baam Esports
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      Naive-BladeLast traded
      Baam Esports+$252.96
    • A
      T1FakerrrLast traded
      Baam Esports+$0.86
    • B
      Puny-BatterLast traded
      GnG Amazigh-$281.21

  • Will "72 Hours" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will AO Tríkala win on 2026-08-11?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$34.98
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$23.77
    • A
      aHjCzLast traded
      Yes-$170.87

  • Will "Super Troopers 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: CA Unión 2 - 2 CA Central Córdoba?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No+$4.21
    • A
      aHjCzLast traded
      Yes-$111.87
    • A
      pelikLast traded
      No+$0.11

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Deportivo Rayo Zuliano vs. Estudiantes de Merida: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Younglings vs ENRAGE (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    ENRAGE
    Won
    ENRAGE
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: A Great Chaos vs Banger Gang (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Banger Gang
    Won
    Banger Gang
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz 0 - 2 Fenerbahçe SK?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$52.64
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$39.23
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$23.62

  • Will Trump say "America First" during Tele-Rally?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      DREAMBIG.Last traded
      No+$0.64
    • B
      0x234Last traded
      No+$118.67
    • B
      smellyEllieLast traded
      Yes-$59.98

  • Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    New York Mets
    Won
    Atlanta Braves
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • SK Iberia 1999 vs. Larne FC: Larne FC O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on August 11?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Metro Bank One Day Cup: Somerset vs Lancashire

    Wrong

    Cricket

    Called
    Somerset
    Won
    Lancashire
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 11?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Fram Reykjavik vs. KR Reykjavik: 1st Half O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      kitopesivanLast traded
      Under-$87.63
    • A
      sisioc-74Last traded
      Over+$48.62
    • A
      sntoloLast traded
      Over+$36.94

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • AC Horsens vs. Brøndby IF: Brøndby IF O/U 4.5 Corners

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Houston Astros vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in July 2026?

    Right

    Science

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Silkeborg IF vs. Odense BK: O/U 10.5 Total Corners

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$122.40
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$68.16
    • A
      acount3Last traded
      Over-$201.26

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?

    No consensus

    Geopolitics

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$333.26
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Over+$61.33
    • A
      acount3Last traded
      Over+$339.37

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Libertad Loja vs. CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$26.84
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under-$17.33
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over+$9.05

  • Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Palermo FC 3 - 1 Juventus Turin?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    NEC
    Won
    NEC
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      NEC+$19.83
    • S
      Pan9XLast traded
      NEC+$8.52
    • A
      pelikLast traded
      NEC+$0.15

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Games Total: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CD Cuenca vs. Manta FC: Manta FC O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

11,795 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 11,438 more positions across 1,274 markets on this day.

Upgrade to Pro · $99/moabout $3.30/day
Developer docs