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Resolution reportTuesday, August 11, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
74%
1,158 right414 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
13,450
No consensus
11,878

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 5,688 provider closure; 7,762 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Montgomery vs. Grabher: Match O/U 21.5

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Unionistas de Salamanca CF vs. CD Coria end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Anapolis FC GO vs. Guarani FC SP: Both Teams to Score

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 Asuncion Men: Maxwell Exsted vs Tomas Martinez

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Maxwell Exsted
    Won
    Maxwell Exsted
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Maxwell Exsted+$180.58
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Maxwell Exsted-$137.25
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Tomas Martinez+$107.21

  • FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: Team to Advance

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    GNK Dinamo Zagreb
    Won
    GNK Dinamo Zagreb
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      CypyaLast traded
      GNK Dinamo Zagreb+$30.73
    • S
      Neat-RobotLast traded
      GNK Dinamo Zagreb+$4.28
    • A
      trampecLast traded
      GNK Dinamo Zagreb+$24.11

  • ITF M25 East Lansing Men: Mitchell Sheldon vs Ozan Baris

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Ozan Baris
    Won
    Ozan Baris
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Ozan Baris+$237.68
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Ozan Baris+$27.27
    • A
      ddspeakerLast traded
      Mitchell Sheldon-$92.47

  • Will AE Lárisas 1964 win on 2026-08-11?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will "72 Hours" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • NEC vs. Olympiakós SFP: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Game Handicap: KRX.C (-1.5) vs BNK FearX Youth (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    BNK FearX Youth
    Won
    BNK FearX Youth
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GooooooollllllllllLast traded
      Kiwoom DRX Challengers-$767.05
    • S
      antecLast traded
      BNK FearX Youth+$177.22
    • S
      youngwhaleLast traded
      BNK FearX Youth+$30

  • ITF W15 Astana 5 Women: Sonal Patil vs Akanksha Dileep Nitture

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Akanksha Dileep Nitture
    Won
    Akanksha Dileep Nitture
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Akanksha Dileep Nitture+$92.58
    • A
      0x5317…9a3bLast traded
      Akanksha Dileep Nitture+$45.07
    • A
      RadioFreeZergLast traded
      Akanksha Dileep Nitture+$36.59

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Trump say "Save America Act" during Tele-Rally?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      shiifooLast traded
      Yes+$62
    • A
      title1Last traded
      Yes+$38.97
    • B
      0x234Last traded
      Yes+$57.03

  • Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Baltimore Orioles
    Won
    Minnesota Twins
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Qairat FK vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 10.5 Total Corners

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: NEC 3 - 0 Olympiakós SFP?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$84.15
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      No+$12.57
    • A
      dizzyLast traded
      No+$140

  • Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 11?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set 1 Winner: Alexandrova vs Svitolina

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Alexandrova
    Won
    Alexandrova
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set 1 Winner: Zakharova vs Stefanini

    No consensus

    Tennis

    Won
    Stefanini
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      DCAAALast traded
      Zakharova+$88.54
    • A
      hihheLast traded
      Stefanini+$2.65
    • B
      tnotmotnotgwcrfLast traded
      Stefanini+$128.17

  • AO Tríkala vs. AE Lárisas 1964: O/U 2.5

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Warsaw Men, Qualifying: Completed Match: William McLennaghan vs Ethan Terblanche

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Warsaw Men, Qualifying: Completed Match: Barney Fitzpatrick vs Adam Bajurko

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Tampa Bay Rays vs. Athletics: O/U 7.5

    No consensus

    Baseball

    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will "72 Hours" be the top global Netflix movie this week?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Richards Bay FC win on 2026-08-11?

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 11?

    No consensus

    Weather

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on August 11?

    Right

    Finance

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      C03BLast traded
      No+$130.04
    • B
      GurupolimarketLast traded
      No+$9.28
    • B
      jeevLast traded
      No-$7.69

  • FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: GNK Dinamo Zagreb O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Over $250k committed to the Ryvo public sale?

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Back to Back vs Damajuana - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Back to Back
    Won
    Back to Back
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      RadioFreeZergLast traded
      Back to Back +$8.31
    • A
      467j6yjLast traded
      Back to Back +$1.41
    • B
      FaZeUp1Last traded
      Back to Back +$116.91

  • Darderi vs. Nakashima: Match O/U 22.5

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Banger Gang vs Diamant Esports (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Banger Gang
    Won
    Diamant Esports
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RandomGameBetLast traded
      Banger Gang-$249.89
    • B
      mbrenjoyerLast traded
      Diamant Esports+$93.34
    • B
      hellokim1Last traded
      Diamant Esports+$25.78

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

11,795 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 11,438 more positions across 1,274 markets on this day.

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