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Resolution reportTuesday, August 11, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
74%
1,158 right414 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
13,450
No consensus
11,878

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 5,688 provider closure; 7,762 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on August 11?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF Muttenz: Calvin Mueller vs Justin Schlageter

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Calvin Mueller
    Won
    Justin Schlageter
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Justin Schlageter+$1,144.85
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Calvin Mueller-$60.84
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Calvin Mueller+$5.48

  • FK Crvena zvezda vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: Draw at halftime?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$56.67
    • A
      acount3Last traded
      No-$166.94
    • A
      Xander-XXLast traded
      Yes+$0.09

  • SD Raiders FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$82.43
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over-$59.79
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Under+$43.26

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Chiba Lotte Marines

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
    Won
    Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ghostorderLast traded
      Chiba Lotte Marines-$122.55
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks+$107.36
    • A
      BobbyBakedBeansLast traded
      Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks+$206.80

  • ITF W15 Tianjin 2 Women: Duanrui Gao vs Michika Ozeki

    No consensus

    Tennis

    Won
    Duanrui Gao
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Michika Ozeki-$143.16
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Duanrui Gao+$91.09
    • A
      LSS1Last traded
      Duanrui Gao+$488.66

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Al Jazira (UAE) vs. Al-Ittihad Club: O/U 2.5

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Pakhtakor vs. Al Hussein Irbid: Both Teams to Score

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Paysandu SC PA vs. AD Confianca SE: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over+$90.82
    • S
      MiLiveLast traded
      Under+$1.37
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Under+$272.88

  • Silkeborg IF vs. Odense BK: O/U 11.5 Total Corners

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 10?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      PontiusPilateLast traded
      No-$105.35
    • B
      w...Last traded
      Yes+$227.33
    • B
      xxtechnoLast traded
      Yes+$164.44

  • Will July 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?

    No consensus

    Science

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Qairat FK vs. PFK Levski Sofia: PFK Levski Sofia O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over+$167.69
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over+$161.78
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      Under-$148.48

  • Fram Reykjavik vs. KR Reykjavik: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: CA Central Córdoba (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    CA Unión
    Won
    CA Unión
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      CA Unión+$103.25
    • A
      PBot-10Last traded
      CA Unión+$8.56
    • A
      pelikLast traded
      CA Unión+$0.05

  • Spread: Pakhtakor (-2.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Pakhtakor
    Won
    Pakhtakor
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Pakhtakor+$62.91
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Al Hussein Irbid+$52.06
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Pakhtakor+$194.12

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: CA Unión 0 - 2 CA Central Córdoba?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Silkeborg IF vs. Odense BK: Silkeborg IF O/U 4.5 Corners

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CA Unión vs. CA Central Córdoba: CA Unión O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs pugdesonesto - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    pugdesonesto
    Won
    pugdesonesto
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Turku Men: Eliot Nobel vs Demetris Azoidis

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Eliot Nobel
    Won
    Demetris Azoidis
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 13.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Helsingborgs IF vs. IFK Varnamo: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will China's CPI increase by ≤0.6% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?

    Right

    CPI

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CA Banfield vs. CA Belgrano: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over-$407.63
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$162.15
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$43.04

  • NK Celje leading at halftime?

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: FK Kauno Žalgiris 0 - 2 GNK Dinamo Zagreb?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 6.5

    No consensus

    Baseball

    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Buster Club vs shoke Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Buster Club
    Won
    Buster Club
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 11?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • National Bank Open (Doubles): Helioevaara/Patten vs Cerundolo/Etcheverry

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Cerundolo/Etcheverry
    Won
    Cerundolo/Etcheverry
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      qrupLast traded
      Cerundolo/Etcheverry+$11.90
    • A
      cryingbabydicer87Last traded
      Cerundolo/Etcheverry+$2.24
    • B
      rdimathLast traded
      Helioevaara/Patten-$201.15

  • Will Trump say "Biden" during Tele-Rally?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      JonnyALast traded
      Yes-$1
    • B
      smellyEllieLast traded
      Yes-$314.30
    • B
      FluoLast traded
      No+$70

11,795 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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