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Resolution reportTuesday, August 11, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
74%
1,158 right414 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
13,450
No consensus
11,878

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 5,688 provider closure; 7,762 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in July 2026?

    Right

    Science

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W15 Tianjin 2 Women: Ha Yoon Son vs Junlu Sun

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Ha Yoon Son
    Won
    Ha Yoon Son
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Goiás EC vs. Londrina EC: Draw at halftime?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will "The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Rafael Jodar vs. Arthur Fils: Total Sets O/U 2.5

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Under 2.5
    Won
    Under 2.5
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. Mjällby AIF: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Over-$76.08
    • S
      maxiplayerLast traded
      Under+$3.14
    • A
      dv-pmLast traded
      Under+$734.55

  • Exact Score: Sabah FK 3 - 0 Aarhus GF?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$163.16
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$108.73
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$94

  • Exact Score: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz 3 - 1 Fenerbahçe SK?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$8.88
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$5.53
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$4.03

  • Exact Score: FK Kauno Žalgiris 3 - 2 GNK Dinamo Zagreb?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$1.63
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$1.51
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$1.49

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Caracas FC vs. Deportivo La Guaira: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$18.21
    • A
      pelikLast traded
      Under+$0.24
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Over-$39.67

  • NEC vs. Olympiakós SFP: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: FK Kauno Žalgiris 2 - 2 GNK Dinamo Zagreb?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$165.06
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$11.38
    • S
      Neat-RobotLast traded
      No+$11.35

  • Exact Score: Qairat FK 3 - 0 PFK Levski Sofia?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$112.06
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      No+$20.99
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Yes-$13.09

  • ITF M15 Targu Jiu Men: Vlad Cristian Breazu vs Lenny Petit

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Vlad Cristian Breazu
    Won
    Vlad Cristian Breazu
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Vlad Cristian Breazu+$84.88
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Vlad Cristian Breazu+$5.39
    • A
      yorius27Last traded
      Lenny Petit-$94.29

  • Exact Score: Qairat FK 2 - 2 PFK Levski Sofia?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$94.57
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Yes-$93.93
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$11.60

  • Libertad Loja vs. CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador: O/U 4.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W50 Hamburg Women: Eva Vedder vs Sohyun Park

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Sohyun Park
    Won
    Sohyun Park
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: FK Bodø/Glimt 2 - 2 RU Saint-Gilloise?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$3,837.30
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No-$431.09
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$61.44

  • Will "The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?

    Wrong

    Culture

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Olympique Lyonnais vs. AC Sparta Praha: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$680.64
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$337.18
    • A
      PBot-10Last traded
      Under+$39.72

  • Spread: CA Belgrano (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    CA Banfield
    Won
    CA Belgrano
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      CA Banfield-$197.98
    • S
      LeLynxMalynxLast traded
      CA Banfield-$84.06
    • A
      PBot-10Last traded
      CA Banfield-$87.64

  • AO Tríkala vs. AE Lárisas 1964: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under-$1,838.94
    • A
      wesolyjasiuLast traded
      Over+$2.50
    • A
      0x0dD9Last traded
      Over+$0.75

  • Will AD Confianca SE win on 2026-08-10?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$1,462.50
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes-$63.63
    • A
      Cactus-001Last traded
      No+$0.62

  • Set 1 Winner: Shnaider vs Swiatek

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Swiatek
    Won
    Swiatek
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 2PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Goiás EC leading at halftime?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    85%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$1,041.89
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No-$206.18
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No-$1.50

  • Unionistas de Salamanca CF vs. CD Coria: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FK Crvena zvezda vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: FK Crvena zvezda O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$1,269.19
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$944.29
    • A
      acount3Last traded
      Over-$777.08

  • Set Handicap: Samrej (-1.5) vs Isomura (+1.5)

    No consensus

    Tennis

    Won
    Isomura
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 10.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Pakhtakor vs. Al Hussein Irbid: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 11?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Map Handicap: RSTR (-1.5) vs Mindfreak (+1.5)

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Rooster
    Won
    Mindfreak
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $81 on August 11?

    Right

    Finance

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Caracas FC vs. Deportivo La Guaira end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Games Total: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Flau'jae Johnson: Points O/U 12.5

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

11,795 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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