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Resolution reportTuesday, August 11, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
74%
1,158 right414 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
13,450
No consensus
11,878

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 5,688 provider closure; 7,762 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Over $500k committed to the Ryvo public sale?

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Fenerbahçe SK: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 11?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Deportivo Maldonado vs. Racing Club Montevideo end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$183.29
    • A
      NotJumpLast traded
      Yes+$0.57
    • A
      pelikLast traded
      Yes+$0.54

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Tianjin 2 Men: Yunseong Chung vs Eric Jr. Olivarez

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Yunseong Chung
    Won
    Yunseong Chung
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz 1 - 0 Fenerbahçe SK?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    86%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$186.24
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$43.13
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$19

  • Will Kai or Speed die to a zombified piglin?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 11?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CA Banfield vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    83%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$38.39
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$13.20
    • A
      SecondhandvinylLast traded
      Under+$10.29

  • Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 11?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Targu Jiu Men: Giovanni Boi vs Alexandru Hebhang Balan

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Giovanni Boi
    Won
    Alexandru Hebhang Balan
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Giovanni Boi-$243.68
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Alexandru Hebhang Balan+$188.77
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Giovanni Boi-$9.44

  • Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs STATE - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    STATE
    Won
    STATE
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF Turku: Kacper Szymkowiak vs Melios Efstathiou

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Melios Efstathiou
    Won
    Melios Efstathiou
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Kacper Szymkowiak-$28.78
    • A
      clownlyLast traded
      Melios Efstathiou+$74.90
    • A
      qrupLast traded
      Melios Efstathiou+$6.30

  • Al Jazira (UAE) vs. Al-Ittihad Club: Both Teams to Score

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: NEC (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Olympiakós SFP
    Won
    Olympiakós SFP
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Olympiakós SFP+$41.92
    • S
      Pan9XLast traded
      Olympiakós SFP+$13.54
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Olympiakós SFP-$6.22

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: FAST LAYNERS vs DNK (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    FAST LAYNERS
    Won
    FAST LAYNERS
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Qairat FK vs. PFK Levski Sofia: Qairat FK O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$180.65
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      Over-$161.25
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over-$68.94

  • Will "My Life with the Walter Boys: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?

    Wrong

    Culture

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on August 10?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Hermine Esports Club vs Spirit Academy Green (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Hermine Esports Club
    Won
    Spirit Academy Green
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RandomGameBetLast traded
      Hermine Esports Club-$63.20
    • A
      drhouzLast traded
      Spirit Academy Green+$2.46
    • B
      mbrenjoyerLast traded
      Spirit Academy Green+$17.84

  • Counter-Strike: KUUSAMO.gg vs Diamant Esports (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    KUUSAMO.gg
    Won
    KUUSAMO.gg
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Palermo FC vs. Juventus Turin end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Lions FC vs. Melbourne City FC end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Pakhtakor vs. Al Hussein Irbid: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$66.37
    • B
      jaisiLast traded
      Down+$378.34
    • B
      AristotLast traded
      Up-$193.30

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Tampa Bay Rays vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Tianjin 2 Men: Jae-sung Choe vs Boxiong Zhang

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Boxiong Zhang
    Won
    Jae-sung Choe
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Manta FC (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    CD Cuenca
    Won
    CD Cuenca
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    85%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      CD Cuenca+$13.99
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      CD Cuenca+$13.20
    • A
      RadioFreeZergLast traded
      CD Cuenca+$4.88

  • Will Chippa United FC win on 2026-08-11?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W35 Aldershot 2 Women: Mary Lewis vs Mingge Xu

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Mingge Xu
    Won
    Mingge Xu
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 10?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Qairat FK vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W15 Bucharest 3 Women: Patricia Georgiana Goina vs Alexia Iulia Marginean

    No consensus

    Tennis

    Won
    Patricia Georgiana Goina
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Patricia Georgiana Goina+$65.66
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Alexia Iulia Marginean-$35.23
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Alexia Iulia Marginean-$34.62

11,795 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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