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Resolution reportTuesday, August 11, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
74%
1,158 right414 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
13,450
No consensus
11,878

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 5,688 provider closure; 7,762 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FK Bodø/Glimt vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: Draw at halftime?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$741.62
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$492.36
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$401.51

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • KBO: LG Twins vs. Kiwoom Heroes

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Kiwoom Heroes
    Won
    LG Twins
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Deportivo Maldonado vs. Racing Club Montevideo: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over+$175.24
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$113.44
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over+$5.15

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Flau'jae Johnson: Rebounds O/U 4.5

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Lions FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Qairat FK 2 - 1 PFK Levski Sofia?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on August 10?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    FK CSKA 1948 Sofia
    Won
    FK CSKA 1948 Sofia
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Panathinaikós AO-$77.07
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      FK CSKA 1948 Sofia+$70.65
    • S
      Pan9XLast traded
      FK CSKA 1948 Sofia+$20.71

  • Games Total: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?

    No consensus

    Politics

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Olympique Lyonnais vs. AC Sparta Praha: O/U 10.5 Total Corners

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Al Hussein Irbid win on 2026-08-11?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Trump say "Radical Left" during Tele-Rally?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: NEC 0 - 0 Olympiakós SFP?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 8, 2026?

    Right

    Geopolitics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      yen4uLast traded
      No+$20.29
    • A
      thoodrLast traded
      No+$12
    • A
      viniiLast traded
      Yes+$8.17

  • Exact Score: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz 2 - 3 Fenerbahçe SK?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$57.53
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$10.31
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$8.52

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Qairat FK 3 - 1 PFK Levski Sofia?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$109.46
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Yes-$17.48
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      No+$2.84

  • Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?

    Right

    Geopolitics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 10?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 Asuncion Men: Federico Aguilar Cardozo vs Rodrigo Alujas

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Federico Aguilar Cardozo
    Won
    Federico Aguilar Cardozo
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Federico Aguilar Cardozo+$221.01
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Rodrigo Alujas-$101.61
    • A
      looppauLast traded
      Federico Aguilar Cardozo+$0.09

  • Exact Score: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz 0 - 1 Fenerbahçe SK?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$1,138.58
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$780.22
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No-$240.48

  • NK Celje vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$63.37
    • A
      dv-pmLast traded
      Under+$755.44
    • A
      acount3Last traded
      Over-$500.67

  • Helsingborgs IF vs. IFK Varnamo: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Targu Jiu Men: Leonardo Angeloni vs Adrian Constantin

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Adrian Constantin
    Won
    Leonardo Angeloni
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Adrian Constantin-$138.61
    • S
      Pan9XLast traded
      Adrian Constantin-$8.55
    • A
      temparalLast traded
      Leonardo Angeloni+$3.20

  • Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs Benched gods (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Fire Flux Esports
    Won
    Fire Flux Esports
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      drhouzLast traded
      Fire Flux Esports+$12.52
    • A
      cryingbabydicer87Last traded
      Fire Flux Esports+$0.58
    • B
      MisterDellLast traded
      Fire Flux Esports+$98.08

  • Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 56 million views on day 3?

    No consensus

    Culture

    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      PPMTLast traded
      No-$3.79
    • B
      Webbed-MinnowLast traded
      Yes+$50.89
    • B
      cryboy89Last traded
      Yes+$40.61

  • Exact Score: CA Unión 2 - 1 CA Central Córdoba?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: FK Bodø/Glimt 0 - 2 RU Saint-Gilloise?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$154.71
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$19.63
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      No+$15.51

  • Will Al Jazira (UAE) vs. Al-Ittihad Club end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Sabah FK vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Chicago Sky (-3.5)

    Wrong

    WNBA

    Called
    Chicago Sky
    Won
    Seattle Storm
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will XRP dip to $1.00 by December 31, 2026?

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    67%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      nonkenny90Last traded
      No-$158.59
    • B
      AJSVLast traded
      No+$53.82
    • B
      planktonXDLast traded
      No-$15.39

  • Qairat FK vs. PFK Levski Sofia: Qairat FK O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      Over-$151.03
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$93.19
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$52.93

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 11?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

11,795 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 11,438 more positions across 1,274 markets on this day.

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