Skip to content
Resolution reportTuesday, August 11, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
74%
1,158 right414 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
13,450
No consensus
11,878

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 5,688 provider closure; 7,762 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • LoL: Pyramid IV Esports vs 3BL Esports (BO3) - Arabian League Group Stage

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Pyramid IV Esports
    Won
    Pyramid IV Esports
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      3BL Esports-$845.73
    • S
      am100Last traded
      Pyramid IV Esports+$580.53
    • A
      Naive-BladeLast traded
      Pyramid IV Esports+$1,014.64

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    82%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Russia target Kyiv on August 11, 2026?

    Right

    Geopolitics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Lions FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: CD Cuenca (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Manta FC
    Won
    Manta FC
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    88%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Manta FC+$276.92
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Manta FC+$149.61
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Manta FC+$110.92

  • Map Handicap: BW (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire Academy (+1.5)

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Eternal Fire Academy
    Won
    Bushido Wildcats
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Eternal Fire Academy-$272.68
    • A
      cryingbabydicer87Last traded
      Bushido Wildcats+$0.55
    • B
      FaZeUp1Last traded
      Eternal Fire Academy-$293

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Chunichi Dragons vs. Yokohama BayStars

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Chunichi Dragons
    Won
    Chunichi Dragons
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Chunichi Dragons+$178.91
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Chunichi Dragons+$150
    • S
      Dimkov27Last traded
      Chunichi Dragons+$58.07

  • Counter-Strike: OldBoys vs KUUSAMO.gg (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    KUUSAMO.gg
    Won
    KUUSAMO.gg
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will SD Raiders FC win on 2026-08-11?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: FK Bodø/Glimt 1 - 1 RU Saint-Gilloise?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$445.79
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$83.69
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$57.30

  • Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 11?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CA Unión vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 4.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FK CSKA 1948 Sofia vs. Panathinaikós AO: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$3.98
    • A
      SecondhandvinylLast traded
      Under+$40.84
    • A
      PalaBetLast traded
      Under+$26.73

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Games Total: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Gangwon FC vs. Gamba Osaka: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Sabah FK vs. Aarhus GF: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    73%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Unionistas de Salamanca CF win on 2026-08-11?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Super Typhoon Dolphin make landfall at Category 4 strength or higher?

    Right

    Asia

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Tianjin 2 Men: Yuquan Jin vs Adrian Arcon

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Adrian Arcon
    Won
    Adrian Arcon
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Adrian Arcon+$426.95
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Yuquan Jin-$228.62
    • A
      qrupLast traded
      Adrian Arcon+$58.03

  • Olympique Lyonnais vs. AC Sparta Praha: Olympique Lyonnais O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$264.98
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under-$92.94
    • A
      acount3Last traded
      Over-$10.82

  • Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 8AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs Teletubisie - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Teletubisie
    Won
    Teletubisie
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Qairat FK vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on August 11?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

11,795 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 11,438 more positions across 1,274 markets on this day.

Upgrade to Pro · $99/moabout $3.30/day
Developer docs