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Resolution reportTuesday, August 11, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
74%
1,158 right414 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
13,450
No consensus
11,878

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 5,688 provider closure; 7,762 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • ITF M15 Warsaw Men: Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei vs Piotr Siekanowicz

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei
    Won
    Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei+$41.07
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei-$0.43
    • A
      NeedForDeadLast traded
      Piotr Siekanowicz-$58.74

  • Sabah FK vs. Aarhus GF: 1st Half O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Over $4M committed to the Ryvo public sale?

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W35 Aldershot 2 Women: Mio Mushika vs Naho Sato

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Naho Sato
    Won
    Naho Sato
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W35 Bydgoszcz Women: Adelina Lacinova vs Veronika Kulhava

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Veronika Kulhava
    Won
    Adelina Lacinova
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Adelina Lacinova+$262.91
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Veronika Kulhava-$256.80
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Veronika Kulhava-$22.95

  • Exact Score: Palermo FC 0 - 3 Juventus Turin?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Olympique Lyonnais vs. AC Sparta Praha: AC Sparta Praha O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$21.44
    • A
      acount3Last traded
      Under-$45.55
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Over+$8.72

  • Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Milwaukee Brewers
    Won
    San Diego Padres
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Milwaukee Brewers-$35.95
    • S
      Pan9XLast traded
      Milwaukee Brewers-$1.02
    • A
      0x2d2c…00b5Last traded
      San Diego Padres+$21.60

  • FK CSKA 1948 Sofia vs. Panathinaikós AO: Panathinaikós AO O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 11?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 11?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Sabah FK vs. Aarhus GF: Neither team to score first?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Racing Club Montevideo (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Deportivo Maldonado
    Won
    Deportivo Maldonado
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Deportivo Maldonado+$11.33
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Deportivo Maldonado+$3.39
    • A
      pelikLast traded
      Deportivo Maldonado+$0.11

  • Exact Score: NK Celje 0 - 0 Ararat-Armenia FA?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$33.06
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$4.76
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Yes-$52.38

  • ITF W15 Tianjin 2 Women: Yushan Shao vs Natsuki Yoshimoto

    No consensus

    Tennis

    Won
    Yushan Shao
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Natsuki Yoshimoto-$83.17
    • A
      ZeljkoLast traded
      Yushan Shao+$42.40
    • A
      qrupLast traded
      Yushan Shao+$27.16

  • Will Parham Maghsoodloo finish in the Top 8 of Titled Tuesday on August 11?

    No consensus

    Sports

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: FK Bodø/Glimt 1 - 0 RU Saint-Gilloise?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$151.92
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$79.88
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$58.62

  • Set Handicap: Neumayer (-1.5) vs Weis (+1.5)

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Weis
    Won
    Neumayer
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: CD Santa Clara 0 - 3 CD Nacional?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Qairat FK 3 - 3 PFK Levski Sofia?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$6.89
    • S
      renzentLast traded
      No+$4
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$1.44

  • Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 11?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: FK Crvena zvezda 1 - 1 MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Cori Bush win the MO-01 Democratic primary by 4–8%?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      plainfolderLast traded
      No-$1.87
    • B
      AJSVLast traded
      Yes+$7.31
    • B
      FluoLast traded
      No+$5.95

  • Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 38°C on August 10?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      No+$1.38
    • A
      2B9SLast traded
      Yes-$16.03
    • B
      AndreaPirloLast traded
      No+$3.51

  • Exact Score: CA Banfield 2 - 2 CA Belgrano?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during Tele-Rally?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      DREAMBIG.Last traded
      No+$9.22
    • B
      C6H6Last traded
      No+$0.73
    • B
      solomilloLast traded
      No+$0.25

  • NK Celje vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: Neither team to score first?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs banda chuya (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    banda chuya
    Won
    Falcons Force
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will 220 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?

    Right

    Geopolitics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: FK Bodø/Glimt 1 - 3 RU Saint-Gilloise?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$5.95
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$2.69
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$0.97

  • ITF M15 Trier Men: Niklas Schell vs Lucas Ernst

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Niklas Schell
    Won
    Niklas Schell
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on August 10?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 11?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Caracas FC vs. Deportivo La Guaira: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Over $15M committed to the Ryvo public sale?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Apóllon Lemesoú 2 - 2 SK Brann?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: CD Santa Clara 1 - 3 CD Nacional?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz 3 - 2 Fenerbahçe SK?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No+$3.81
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$2
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$1.46

  • CD Cuenca vs. Manta FC: Both Teams to Score

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Vladislav Artemiev win Titled Tuesday on August 11?

    Right

    Sports

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 9 million views this week?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      zxc368Last traded
      Yes+$0.35
    • B
      SpectrumLast traded
      Yes+$5.64
    • B
      solomilloLast traded
      Yes+$0.19

  • Exact Score: NK Celje 0 - 2 Ararat-Armenia FA?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      No+$4.76
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$0.71
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      No+$0.67

11,795 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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