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Resolution reportTuesday, August 11, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
74%
1,158 right414 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
13,450
No consensus
11,878

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 5,688 provider closure; 7,762 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs Axolotl (BO3) - VCT Game Changers North America Group Stage

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Shopify Rebellion Gold
    Won
    Shopify Rebellion Gold
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      Black-FacilityLast traded
      Shopify Rebellion Gold+$44.92
    • A
      RadioFreeZergLast traded
      Shopify Rebellion Gold+$21.92
    • A
      asphyxia777Last traded
      Shopify Rebellion Gold+$12.11

  • Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 11?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Game Handicap: Z5 (-1.5) vs 3v Team (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Zeu5 Esports
    Won
    Zeu5 Esports
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      bloodmasterLast traded
      Zeu5 Esports+$927.88
    • S
      JAMJAMJAM4Last traded
      Zeu5 Esports+$167.57
    • S
      youngwhaleLast traded
      3v Team-$153.87

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will CD Cuenca vs. Manta FC end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Libertad Loja vs. CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will July 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?

    Wrong

    Science

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: FK Kauno Žalgiris 0 - 3 GNK Dinamo Zagreb?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    82%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$79.91
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$58.76
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$58.06

  • SD Raiders FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in July 2026?

    No consensus

    Science

    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Fram Reykjavik vs. KR Reykjavik: Both Teams to Score

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Hims say "Amazon" during earnings call?

    Right

    Tech

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      Hakei.Last traded
      Yes-$650
    • A
      shiifooLast traded
      No+$102.15
    • B
      motardioLast traded
      No+$102.65

  • Mjällby AIF leading at halftime?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes-$458.35
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$22.99
    • S
      MarquisDeMottLast traded
      No+$0.69

  • Will Libertad Loja vs. CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes+$167.01
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$152.87
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No+$145.88

  • Games Total: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      antecLast traded
      Under-$163.20
    • S
      funfactsLast traded
      Over-$39.20
    • S
      ameisgoat11Last traded
      Over+$22.57

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CD Cuenca vs. Manta FC: CD Cuenca 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 11?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Arthur Fils Win ATP Montreal

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Chicago Sky (-2.5)

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Seattle Storm
    Won
    Seattle Storm
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Deportivo Rayo Zuliano win on 2026-08-10?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Colorado Rockies
    Won
    Arizona Diamondbacks
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    79%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

11,795 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 11,438 more positions across 1,274 markets on this day.

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