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Resolution reportTuesday, August 11, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
74%
1,158 right414 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
13,450
No consensus
11,878

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 5,688 provider closure; 7,762 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Russia target Kyiv by August 14, 2026?

    Right

    Geopolitics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF Turku: Melvin Kumar vs Markus Molder

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Markus Molder
    Won
    Markus Molder
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    73%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Markus Molder+$108.35
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Markus Molder+$35.40
    • A
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Markus Molder+$6.86

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Arizona Diamondbacks
    Won
    Arizona Diamondbacks
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Arizona Diamondbacks+$198.23
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Colorado Rockies-$137.15
    • S
      Adorable-AcquaintanceLast traded
      Arizona Diamondbacks+$116.40

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?

    Right

    Geopolitics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Olympique Lyonnais vs. AC Sparta Praha: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      Over+$21.86
    • S
      MiLiveLast traded
      Over+$0.69
    • A
      acount3Last traded
      Over+$50.18

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Qairat FK 1 - 0 PFK Levski Sofia?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 11?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will 180-199 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?

    Right

    Geopolitics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Qairat FK 2 - 0 PFK Levski Sofia?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Yes-$125.78
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$125.25
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$70.95

  • FK Bodø/Glimt vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: FK Bodø/Glimt O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over-$365.93
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over-$246.34
    • A
      acount3Last traded
      Under+$360

  • Olympique Lyonnais vs. AC Sparta Praha: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$184.57
    • S
      Neat-RobotLast traded
      Under+$21.38
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$6.78

  • Olympique Lyonnais vs. AC Sparta Praha: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Qairat FK 0 - 3 PFK Levski Sofia?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$42.13
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$26.38
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$7.04

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 11?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Back to Back vs Damajuana - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Back to Back
    Won
    Back to Back
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    79%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      youngwhaleLast traded
      Back to Back +$32.86
    • S
      fatdog-012Last traded
      Back to Back +$16.09
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Back to Back +$13.32

  • Qairat FK vs. PFK Levski Sofia: 1st Half O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      Under+$29.57
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$26.87
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$21.43

  • Exact Score: FK Bodø/Glimt 2 - 3 RU Saint-Gilloise?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?

    Right

    World

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • GNK Dinamo Zagreb leading at halftime?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down on August 11?

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • B
      0x87b5…0fceLast traded
      Up-$2,294.93
    • B
      AristotLast traded
      Up-$265.50
    • B
      hnwdgfLast traded
      Up-$237.20

  • Metro Bank One Day Cup: Warwickshire vs Kent

    Wrong

    Cricket

    Called
    Kent
    Won
    Warwickshire
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    77%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Macarthur FC (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    SD Raiders FC
    Won
    SD Raiders FC
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      SD Raiders FC+$850.74
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      SD Raiders FC+$344.34
    • S
      Bagwell306Last traded
      Macarthur FC-$239.99

  • ITF W35 Aldershot 2 Women: Yuno Kitahara vs Alana Smith

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Alana Smith
    Won
    Alana Smith
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Alana Smith+$1,961.92
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Alana Smith+$90.90
    • A
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Yuno Kitahara-$114.75

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Gangwon FC vs. Gamba Osaka: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • SD Raiders FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    73%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$956.08
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$536.03
    • S
      SyrrokLast traded
      Under+$3.53

  • Game Handicap: G2N (-1.5) vs Kaufland Hangry Knights (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Kaufland Hangry Knights
    Won
    Kaufland Hangry Knights
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      antecLast traded
      Kaufland Hangry Knights+$207.48
    • A
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      G2 NORD-$1,280.45
    • A
      dancingmonkey1Last traded
      G2 NORD-$189.53

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-7.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Colorado Rockies
    Won
    Arizona Diamondbacks
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Paysandu SC PA vs. AD Confianca SE: O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$675.02
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$196.86
    • A
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Under-$53.05

  • Anapolis FC GO vs. Guarani FC SP: O/U 3.5

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Map Handicap: WAL (-1.5) vs Black Phoenix (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Black Phoenix
    Won
    Black Phoenix
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Thin-MissLast traded
      Walczaki+$45
    • S
      zxc368Last traded
      Black Phoenix+$6.72
    • S
      Rock.SanLast traded
      Black Phoenix+$2.71

  • Games Total: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      bloodmasterLast traded
      Under+$1,074.06
    • S
      youngwhaleLast traded
      Over-$106.03
    • S
      antecLast traded
      Over-$50.07

  • Spread: CA Unión (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    CA Central Córdoba
    Won
    CA Central Córdoba
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      CA Central Córdoba+$879.87
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      CA Unión-$103.46
    • A
      pelikLast traded
      CA Central Córdoba+$0.18

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    83%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FK Bodø/Glimt vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CD Cuenca vs. Manta FC: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Polokwane City win on 2026-08-11?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • National Bank Open (Doubles): Arribage/Olivetti vs Marozsan/Medvedev

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Arribage/Olivetti
    Won
    Arribage/Olivetti
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      User7429Last traded
      Arribage/Olivetti+$4.27
    • A
      hihheLast traded
      Arribage/Olivetti+$1.31
    • B
      Zelenskys-suitLast traded
      Arribage/Olivetti+$673.83

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

11,795 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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