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Resolution reportTuesday, August 11, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
74%
1,158 right414 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
13,450
No consensus
11,878

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 5,688 provider closure; 7,762 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 11?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Metro Bank One Day Cup: Middlesex vs Sussex

    Wrong

    Cricket

    Called
    Sussex
    Won
    Middlesex
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 11?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    85%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Grêmio Esports - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Isurus
    Won
    Isurus
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      iii252Last traded
      Isurus+$295.01
    • S
      AbsingLast traded
      Isurus+$5
    • S
      RandomGameBetLast traded
      Grêmio Esports-$3.40

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    73%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • NK Celje vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: NK Celje O/U 2.5

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over-$770.26
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over-$357.96
    • A
      acount3Last traded
      Under+$106.23

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Flau'jae Johnson: Assists O/U 2.5

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • SK Iberia 1999 vs. Larne FC: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Libertad Loja vs. CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    79%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Over+$164.42
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over+$91.41
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over+$78.43

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W35 Aldershot 2 Women: Hikaru Sato vs Indianna Spink

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Hikaru Sato
    Won
    Hikaru Sato
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Sabah FK 2 - 1 Aarhus GF?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes-$604.01
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$118.97
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$110

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Turku Men: Felix Alopaeus vs Andrea Bacaloni

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Andrea Bacaloni
    Won
    Andrea Bacaloni
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: PFK Levski Sofia (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Qairat FK
    Won
    Qairat FK
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Qairat FK+$413.72
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      Qairat FK+$158.72
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      PFK Levski Sofia-$50.27

  • Lions FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$304.57
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over-$71.17
    • S
      SyrrokLast traded
      Under+$2.30

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Apóllon Lemesoú vs. SK Brann: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: CA Unión 2 - 0 CA Central Córdoba?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$301.11
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes-$131.59
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No+$28.87

  • Olympique Lyonnais leading at halftime?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CD Cuenca vs. Manta FC: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over+$180.47
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$26.26
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Over+$19.51

  • Game Handicap: NS.EA (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA Challengers (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Dplus KIA Challengers
    Won
    Dplus KIA Challengers
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      youngwhaleLast traded
      Dplus KIA Challengers+$45.08
    • S
      ameisgoat11Last traded
      Dplus KIA Challengers-$1.50
    • A
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Nongshim Esports Academy-$739.25

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. Mjällby AIF: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Lions FC vs. Melbourne City FC: Both Teams to Score

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Lodis vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Lodis
    Won
    Lodis
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FK Bodø/Glimt vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: RU Saint-Gilloise O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under-$289.43
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$216.63
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      Over+$176.64

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Qairat FK vs. PFK Levski Sofia: Draw at halftime?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Palermo FC vs. Juventus Turin: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova Men: Goncalo Marques vs Sergio Callejon Hernando

    No consensus

    Tennis

    Won
    Goncalo Marques
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Sergio Callejon Hernando-$484.22
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Sergio Callejon Hernando-$16.45
    • A
      HarryRitterLast traded
      Goncalo Marques+$100.43

  • ITF W35 Aldershot 2 Women: Allegra Korpanec Davies vs Ayla Aksu

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Ayla Aksu
    Won
    Ayla Aksu
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Allegra Korpanec Davies-$487.52
    • S
      fortunekingLast traded
      Ayla Aksu+$461.12
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Allegra Korpanec Davies-$389.87

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Sabah FK vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$92.42
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$14.79
    • A
      ZeljkoLast traded
      Over+$242.99

  • Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. Mjällby AIF: O/U 0.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under-$127.52
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under-$96.67
    • S
      Neat-RobotLast traded
      Under-$10.73

  • Exact Score: Qairat FK 1 - 1 PFK Levski Sofia?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    68%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$476.07
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$310.99
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$149.42

  • Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 11?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Pakhtakor vs. Al Hussein Irbid: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Qairat FK (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    PFK Levski Sofia
    Won
    PFK Levski Sofia
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      Qairat FK-$37.10
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      PFK Levski Sofia+$32.47
    • S
      LeLynxMalynxLast traded
      PFK Levski Sofia+$27.67

  • Libertad Loja vs. CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador: Both Teams to Score

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Barcząca Esports vs devils.one - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    devils.one
    Won
    devils.one
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      calculate10Last traded
      devils.one+$72.67
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      devils.one+$35.75
    • S
      antecLast traded
      devils.one+$25.01

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

11,795 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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