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Resolution reportTuesday, August 11, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
74%
1,158 right414 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
13,450
No consensus
11,878

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 5,688 provider closure; 7,762 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Qairat FK 0 - 2 PFK Levski Sofia?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    66%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$115.98
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$67.64
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$45.61

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: NightBirds vs Onion Team - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    NightBirds
    Won
    NightBirds
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: CA Unión 2 - 3 CA Central Córdoba?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Yes-$185.87
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$1.29
    • A
      aHjCzLast traded
      No-$110.07

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 East Lansing Men: Spencer Papa vs Alexander Okonkwo

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Spencer Papa
    Won
    Alexander Okonkwo
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Spencer Papa-$446.90
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Spencer Papa-$156.60
    • A
      VTL777Last traded
      Alexander Okonkwo+$784.90

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Deportivo Maldonado vs. Racing Club Montevideo: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$1,176.32
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$10.63
    • A
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Under+$2,187.23

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz 0 - 0 Fenerbahçe SK?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$92.35
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$90.10
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$25.96

  • Counter-Strike: Rooster vs Mindfreak - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Rooster
    Won
    Rooster
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 55 million views on day 3?

    Wrong

    Culture

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Todi: Juan Martin vs Federico Agustin Gomez

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Federico Agustin Gomez
    Won
    Federico Agustin Gomez
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Juan Martin-$236.60
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Federico Agustin Gomez+$179.21
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Federico Agustin Gomez-$51.58

  • Will Al Jazira (UAE) win on 2026-08-11?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FK Bodø/Glimt vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: FK Bodø/Glimt O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$340.67
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over+$111.07
    • A
      acount3Last traded
      Over+$178.31

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    85%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Chicago Sky vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 181.5

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • NEC vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: FK Bodø/Glimt 3 - 3 RU Saint-Gilloise?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    70%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$29.35
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$15.11
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      No+$6.89

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$249.65
    • A
      En111006Last traded
      Down+$152.09
    • A
      PBot-10Last traded
      Up-$36.63

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set Handicap: Svitolina (-1.5) vs Alexandrova (+1.5)

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Alexandrova
    Won
    Alexandrova
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mishipolisLast traded
      Svitolina-$167.84
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Alexandrova+$3.69
    • S
      MiLiveLast traded
      Alexandrova+$0.99

  • Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    San Francisco Giants
    Won
    Houston Astros
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Houston Astros+$3,370.27
    • S
      heatwave0521Last traded
      San Francisco Giants-$116.64
    • S
      shoemanhereLast traded
      San Francisco Giants-$79.75

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 11?

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Minnesota Twins
    Won
    Minnesota Twins
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    90%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CD Cuenca vs. Manta FC: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Gangwon FC vs. Gamba Osaka: Both Teams to Score

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Map Handicap: Inner Circle Prospect (-1.5) vs ENCE Prospects (+1.5)

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    ENCE Prospects
    Won
    Inner Circle Prospect
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Deportivo Rayo Zuliano vs. Estudiantes de Merida: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    86%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Games Total: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      am100Last traded
      Under-$476.02
    • S
      antecLast traded
      Over+$224.77
    • S
      Hard-IroncladLast traded
      Over+$1.70

  • Will Gangwon FC vs. Gamba Osaka end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will KR Reykjavik win on 2026-08-10?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    San Diego Padres
    Won
    San Diego Padres
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      San Diego Padres+$804.20
    • S
      justaluckydudeLast traded
      San Diego Padres+$271.19
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Milwaukee Brewers-$124.61

  • SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 11?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set Handicap: Montgomery (-1.5) vs Grabher (+1.5)

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Grabher
    Won
    Grabher
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      JAMJAMJAM4Last traded
      Montgomery-$1,368.83
    • S
      zxc368Last traded
      Grabher+$1.39
    • A
      clownlyLast traded
      Grabher+$348

  • FK Bodø/Glimt vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$1,170.56
    • S
      SyrrokLast traded
      Under+$837.25
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Over-$92.39

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    87%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CA Banfield vs. CA Belgrano: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$219.35
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$43.84
    • S
      LeLynxMalynxLast traded
      Under+$10.63

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

11,795 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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