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Resolution reportTuesday, August 11, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
74%
1,158 right414 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
13,450
No consensus
11,878

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 5,688 provider closure; 7,762 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Athletics (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Tampa Bay Rays
    Won
    Tampa Bay Rays
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Tampa Bay Rays+$184.72
    • S
      justaluckydudeLast traded
      Athletics-$134.80
    • S
      heatwave0521Last traded
      Tampa Bay Rays+$72.98

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Paysandu SC PA win on 2026-08-10?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$1,586
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No-$757.74
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Yes+$433.20

  • Gangwon FC vs. Gamba Osaka: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Olympique Lyonnais 3 - 0 AC Sparta Praha?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$655.04
    • S
      Neat-RobotLast traded
      No-$151.06
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No-$122.44

  • Exact Score: Olympique Lyonnais 2 - 1 AC Sparta Praha?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$1,011.01
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$120.82
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$112.27

  • FK Bodø/Glimt leading at halftime?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    73%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Deportivo La Guaira win on 2026-08-10?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    88%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    JD Gaming
    Won
    JD Gaming
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Yomiuri Giants vs. Hanshin Tigers

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Hanshin Tigers
    Won
    Hanshin Tigers
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Hanshin Tigers+$928.11
    • S
      heatwave0521Last traded
      Yomiuri Giants-$116.10
    • S
      Dimkov27Last traded
      Hanshin Tigers+$20.22

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W35 Aldershot 2 Women: Naiktha Bains vs Lina Glushko

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Lina Glushko
    Won
    Naiktha Bains
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Deportivo Maldonado win on 2026-08-10?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    79%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Toronto Blue Jays
    Won
    Toronto Blue Jays
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      0xheavy888Last traded
      Toronto Blue Jays+$720
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Toronto Blue Jays+$235.02
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Boston Red Sox-$107.57

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. Mjällby AIF: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Doosan Bears

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Doosan Bears
    Won
    Doosan Bears
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • SK Iberia 1999 vs. Larne FC: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 184.5

    Wrong

    WNBA

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Game Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs Level UP (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Natus Vincere
    Won
    Natus Vincere
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      vibing123Last traded
      Level UP-$442.19
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Natus Vincere+$300
    • S
      antecLast traded
      Natus Vincere+$222.31

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Goiás EC vs. Londrina EC end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    92%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$180.08
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$133.74
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$78.40

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: FK Crvena zvezda 0 - 0 MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    70%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$182.92
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$56.24
    • S
      foxchaserLast traded
      No+$15.36

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5

    No consensus

    Baseball

    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Metro Bank One Day Cup: Worcestershire vs Durham

    Wrong

    Cricket

    Called
    Durham
    Won
    Worcestershire
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • NK Celje vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$483.06
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Under+$442.31
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over+$2.83

  • Jodar vs. Fils: Match O/U 21.5

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz 1 - 3 Fenerbahçe SK?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$270
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$131.98
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$77.02

11,795 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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