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Resolution reportTuesday, August 11, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
74%
1,158 right414 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
13,450
No consensus
11,878

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 5,688 provider closure; 7,762 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Los Angeles Angels
    Won
    Texas Rangers
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will White House post 160-179 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    77%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Game Handicap: FEC (-1.5) vs mCon esports (+1.5)

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    mCon esports
    Won
    Frites Esports Club
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      bloodmasterLast traded
      Frites Esports Club+$1,464.56
    • S
      spartachioLast traded
      mCon esports-$116.07
    • S
      youngwhaleLast traded
      mCon esports-$93.02

  • Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Baltimore Orioles
    Won
    Minnesota Twins
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set 1 Winner: Jodar vs Fils

    No consensus

    Tennis

    Won
    Jodar
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Kia Tigers

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Kia Tigers
    Won
    Kia Tigers
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    82%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 186.5

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      hi774cLast traded
      Under-$1,373.50
    • S
      justaluckydudeLast traded
      Over+$303.21
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Over+$290.91

  • Spread: MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva
    Won
    MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva+$1,073.25
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      FK Crvena zvezda-$566.89
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva+$446.88

  • FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Prospect vs ENCE Prospects (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group C

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Inner Circle Prospect
    Won
    Inner Circle Prospect
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    79%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Texas Rangers
    Won
    Texas Rangers
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      ghorrockLast traded
      No+$7.66
    • A
      dsafhhjLast traded
      Yes+$1.31
    • B
      BigMackyGLast traded
      Yes-$260.82

  • Exact Score: Qairat FK 0 - 0 PFK Levski Sofia?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$677.74
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$170.26
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$68.89

  • FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 4.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      En111006Last traded
      Up+$197.39
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$121.67
    • A
      PBot-10Last traded
      Up+$97.58

  • Metro Bank One Day Cup: Surrey vs Nottinghamshire

    Wrong

    Cricket

    Called
    Surrey
    Won
    Nottinghamshire
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    St. Louis Cardinals
    Won
    St. Louis Cardinals
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      St. Louis Cardinals+$3,306.97
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Philadelphia Phillies-$2,817.72
    • S
      curieLast traded
      St. Louis Cardinals+$660.77

  • New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    San Diego Padres
    Won
    Milwaukee Brewers
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      shoemanhereLast traded
      Milwaukee Brewers+$221.86
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      San Diego Padres-$198.85
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      San Diego Padres-$154.87

  • FK CSKA 1948 Sofia vs. Panathinaikós AO: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • NEC vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Qairat FK vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$218.28
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over-$36.17
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over+$12.67

  • CD Cuenca leading at halftime?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$412.06
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$258.68
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes-$134.32

  • ITF W50 Hamburg Women: Lola Giza vs Momoko Kobori

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Momoko Kobori
    Won
    Lola Giza
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Lola Giza+$703.45
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Momoko Kobori-$466.23
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Momoko Kobori+$77.22

  • Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Level UP - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Level UP
    Won
    Level UP
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 11?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 11?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      VasiliSkoLast traded
      No+$132.44
    • B
      IH2PLast traded
      No+$27
    • B
      elrahLast traded
      No+$20.39

  • Game Handicap: TOG (-1.5) vs VfB eSports (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    VfB eSports
    Won
    VfB eSports
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    83%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Colorado Rockies
    Won
    Arizona Diamondbacks
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will White House post 200+ posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 11?

    Right

    SPX

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      1lovejumpLast traded
      Up-$285.09
    • A
      sweetjLast traded
      Down+$137.14
    • A
      PBot-10Last traded
      Down+$73.38

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      En111006Last traded
      Down+$330.86
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$277.13
    • A
      PBot-10Last traded
      Down+$55.23

  • Spread: Athletics (-2.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Tampa Bay Rays
    Won
    Tampa Bay Rays
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?

    Right

    Geopolitics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova Men: Dan Added vs Joao Dinis Silva

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Dan Added
    Won
    Dan Added
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Joao Dinis Silva-$256.31
    • S
      zxc368Last traded
      Dan Added+$3.68
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Dan Added+$1.03

  • KBO: Lotte Giants vs. SSG Landers

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    SSG Landers
    Won
    SSG Landers
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    77%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FK Crvena zvezda vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$376.46
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$305.42
    • S
      SyrrokLast traded
      Under+$26.17

  • Olympique Lyonnais vs. AC Sparta Praha: AC Sparta Praha O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$468.52
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      Under+$250.51
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$194.28

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Kai or Speed die to a spider?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

11,795 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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