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Resolution reportTuesday, August 11, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
74%
1,158 right414 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
13,450
No consensus
11,878

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 5,688 provider closure; 7,762 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W35 Aldershot 2 Women: Susan Bandecchi vs Brooke Black

    No consensus

    Tennis

    Won
    Susan Bandecchi
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Susan Bandecchi+$44.39
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Brooke Black+$3.01
    • A
      clownlyLast traded
      Brooke Black-$150

  • Exact Score: FK Kauno Žalgiris 1 - 0 GNK Dinamo Zagreb?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$179.34
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$21.21
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$20.27

  • LoL: NightBirds vs Onion Team - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    NightBirds
    Won
    NightBirds
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 Muttenz Men: Matteo Covato vs Adrien Berrut

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Adrien Berrut
    Won
    Adrien Berrut
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Matteo Covato+$72.57
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Adrien Berrut+$21.04
    • A
      HarryRitterLast traded
      Adrien Berrut+$62.61

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    83%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    82%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$402.02
    • A
      En111006Last traded
      Down+$168.29
    • A
      PBot-10Last traded
      Up-$31.63

  • Exact Score: CA Unión 1 - 0 CA Central Córdoba?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 11?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Boston Red Sox
    Won
    Boston Red Sox
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Boston Red Sox+$291.35
    • S
      fatdog-012Last traded
      Toronto Blue Jays-$92.78
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Boston Red Sox+$21

  • Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: RoundsGG vs NEW VISION (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    NEW VISION
    Won
    NEW VISION
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • SK Iberia 1999 vs. Larne FC: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$126.75
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$24.12
    • S
      Sharky6999Last traded
      Under+$0.72

  • ITF W35 Vigo Women: Esther Lopez Alcaraz vs Maria Berlanga Bandera

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Maria Berlanga Bandera
    Won
    Maria Berlanga Bandera
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      cruzzzzLast traded
      Esther Lopez Alcaraz-$96.42
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Maria Berlanga Bandera+$10.06
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Maria Berlanga Bandera+$4.80

  • FK Crvena zvezda vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Under+$330.43
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$102.17
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over-$37.52

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Back to Back vs Damajuana (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #2 Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Back to Back
    Won
    Back to Back
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Back to Back +$43.89
    • A
      467j6yjLast traded
      Back to Back +$2.70
    • A
      owlgorithm-betaLast traded
      Back to Back +$0.74

  • AC Sparta Praha leading at halftime?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes-$214.89
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No+$84.43
    • S
      Neat-RobotLast traded
      No+$9.10

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Sabah FK vs. Aarhus GF: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over-$267.23
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$53.27
    • S
      Flawed-TranceLast traded
      Under+$44.50

  • Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs Teletubisie - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    INFURITY Gaming
    Won
    INFURITY Gaming
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • SD Raiders FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over-$1,111.06
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$351.43
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Over-$177.64

  • FK Bodø/Glimt vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 11?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz 1 - 1 Fenerbahçe SK?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$86.79
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$71.45
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$47.91

  • Will CD Coria win on 2026-08-11?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Pakhtakor vs. Al Hussein Irbid end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    86%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W35 Aldershot 2 Women: Jodie Burrage vs Esther Adeshina

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Jodie Burrage
    Won
    Jodie Burrage
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    88%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CA Unión vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: FK Bodø/Glimt 3 - 2 RU Saint-Gilloise?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: PFK Levski Sofia (-2.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Qairat FK
    Won
    Qairat FK
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      Qairat FK+$47.11
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      PFK Levski Sofia-$15.45
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Qairat FK+$10

  • Exact Score: Sabah FK 0 - 0 Aarhus GF?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    88%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$50
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$50
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$48.87

  • National Bank Open (Doubles): Mihalikova/Nicholls vs Mertens/Shnaider

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Mihalikova/Nicholls
    Won
    Mihalikova/Nicholls
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Mertens/Shnaider-$82.69
    • A
      looppauLast traded
      Mihalikova/Nicholls+$1.24
    • A
      pelikLast traded
      Mihalikova/Nicholls+$1

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FK Crvena zvezda vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 11?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

11,795 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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